为什么比特币价格可能永远不会再跌破 70,000 美元

自周一以来，比特币一直处于上涨趋势，从 67,000 美元反弹至上行后开始上涨。

The 2024 US presidential elections took place on Tuesday, and as the dust settles, one interesting snapshot from the day was the Bitcoin price, which showed the coin trading just above the $70,000 price level. This is a price point to watch, as history shows this might be the price support for Bitcoin in the coming years.

2024 年美国总统选举于周二举行，随着尘埃落定，当天的一个有趣的快照是比特币价格，显示比特币交易价格略高于 70,000 美元。这是一个值得关注的价格点，历史表明这可能是未来几年比特币的价格支撑。

Interestingly, this phenomenon goes back to the Bitcoin price levels in previous US elections.

有趣的是，这种现象可以追溯到之前美国大选时的比特币价格水平。

Why Bitcoin Price Might Never Dip Below $70,000 Again

为什么比特币价格可能永远不会再跌破 70,000 美元

Bitcoin has largely been on an uptrend since Monday, when it kicked off a run after it rebounded to the upside from $67,000. This run continued, allowing the Bitcoin average price during the 2024 presidential elections to be around $70,110.

自周一以来，比特币一直处于上涨趋势，从 67,000 美元反弹至上行后开始上涨。这种走势持续下去，使得 2024 年总统选举期间的比特币平均价格达到 70,110 美元左右。

Now, while this might not be the all-time high price for the day, considering past election cycles, this price point might never be revisited again by Bitcoin on the downside. Here’s why.

现在，虽然这可能不是当天的历史最高价格，但考虑到过去的选举周期，比特币可能永远不会再次回到这个价格点。原因如下。

Historically, U.S. election cycles have often been accompanied by shifts in Bitcoin’s value, marking crucial price points that tend to establish longer-term support levels.

从历史上看，美国选举周期往往伴随着比特币价值的变化，标志着往往会建立长期支撑位的关键价格点。

To understand this trend, we need to look at the past four election cycles. Back in 2012, during the early days of the crypto industry, the Bitcoin price traded at a modest $10 on the US presidential election day, a price point that now seems almost unimaginable. By 2016, Bitcoin’s election-day price had climbed to $710, setting a new baseline that it has never revisited since.

为了理解这一趋势，我们需要回顾过去的四个选举周期。早在 2012 年，在加密行业的早期，比特币价格在美国总统选举日的交易价格为 10 美元，这个价格现在看来几乎难以想象。到 2016 年，比特币的选举日价格已攀升至 710 美元，设定了一个新的基准，此后从未重新审视过。

After the 2016 election, Bitcoin’s price continued to rise significantly, reaching new all-time highs in the thousands of dollars. However, despite the coin’s massive gains, the 2016 election-day price of $710 remained a crucial support level, acting as a floor that the price never fell below in subsequent bear markets.

2016年大选后，比特币价格持续大幅上涨，创下数千美元的历史新高。然而，尽管代币大幅上涨，2016 年选举日 710 美元的价格仍然是关键的支撑位，作为价格在随后的熊市中永远不会跌破的底部。

The next presidential election was in 2020, and at the time, the Bitcoin price was trading around $13,555. This was another key price point, as the Bitcoin price has never revisited this price point again since then up until the time of writing. What’s more interesting is that this price point even served as the lowest support level during the 2022 bear market price crash.

下一次总统选举是在 2020 年，当时比特币价格约为 13,555 美元。这是另一个关键价格点，因为从那时起直到撰写本文时，比特币价格从未再次触及该价格点。更有趣的是，这个价格点甚至是2022年熊市价格暴跌期间的最低支撑位。

If these historical trends are any indication, the 2024 election-day price of $70,110 could become a similar stronghold and a price floor for Bitcoin in the coming years. This level might even serve as critical support should a bear market eventually take hold at any point.

如果这些历史趋势有任何迹象的话，那么 2024 年选举日 70,110 美元的价格可能会成为未来几年比特币的类似据点和价格下限。如果熊市最终在任何时候站稳脚跟，这个水平甚至可能成为关键支撑。

Bitcoin Price Analysis

比特币价格分析

Bitcoin is currently trading at a price of $73,180, up by about 7.36% over the past 24 hours. The second-ranked crypto has also seen a 10.23% price increase over the past week.

比特币目前交易价格为 73,180 美元，过去 24 小时上涨约 7.36%。排名第二的加密货币在过去一周的价格也上涨了 10.23%。

Bitcoin’s total market cap now stands at $1.41 trillion, with the coin’s 24-hour trading volume being around $63 billion.

比特币总市值目前为 1.41 万亿美元，24 小时交易量约为 630 亿美元。

After kicking off the week with a price at $67,000, Bitcoin began an uptrend that saw the coin rally by over 10% in a single day on Monday. This brought Bitcoin to an average price of $70,110 during the 2024 presidential elections.

在本周以 67,000 美元的价格开始后，比特币开始了上升趋势，周一单日涨幅超过 10%。这使得 2024 年总统选举期间比特币的平均价格达到 70,110 美元。

From there, Bitcoin continued its rally, reaching an intraday high of $75,358. This milestone marks Bitcoin’s highest trading level yet, besting its previous all-time high of $73,737 in March 2024.

此后，比特币继续上涨，达到日内高点 75,358 美元。这一里程碑标志着比特币迄今为止的最高交易水平，超过了 2024 年 3 月创下的历史新高 73,737 美元。

However, the price pulled back slightly as some traders chose to cash in on recent profits. Despite this, the rally is expected to continue, with Bitcoin remaining on track to hit the $80,000 mark before the month ends, especially if buying interest helps sustain the current uptrend.

然而，由于一些交易商选择兑现近期利润，价格小幅回落。尽管如此，预计反弹仍将持续，比特币有望在月底前触及 80,000 美元大关，特别是如果购买兴趣有助于维持当前的上升趋势的话。