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當價格導航波動性時,八月的“比特幣詛咒”隱約可見。機構購買和技術模式會推動BTC集會,還是歷史重演?
Bitcoin Price in August: Will the BTC Rally Continue?
八月份的比特幣價格:BTC集會會繼續嗎?
Bitcoin's got everyone on the edge of their seats this August. Between historical headwinds and analysts' predictions, it's a wild ride. Let's dive into what's driving the Bitcoin price, and whether this BTC rally has legs.
比特幣今年八月讓每個人都坐在座位的邊緣。在歷史逆風和分析師的預測之間,這是一個瘋狂的旅程。讓我們深入了解是什麼推動了比特幣價格,以及該BTC拉力賽是否有腿。
The August Curse: Fact or Fiction?
八月的詛咒:事實還是虛構?
Robert Kiyosaki, the 'Rich Dad Poor Dad' author, threw a curveball by mentioning the "August Curse," suggesting a potential dip to $90,000. Historically, August hasn't been Bitcoin's best month, with data showing negative returns in most years. Is this year any different?
羅伯特·基亞薩基(Robert Kiyosaki)是“有錢的爸爸爸爸”作家,他提到“八月詛咒”,提出了潛在的傾向至90,000美元。從歷史上看,八月並不是比特幣的最佳月份,數據在大多數年份都顯示出負回報。今年有什麼不同嗎?
Current Market Dynamics
當前的市場動態
As of August 5, 2025, Bitcoin is trading around $114,500, showing the same volatility we've come to expect. Despite potential pullbacks, key support levels are holding. Michael van de Poppe noted that holding above $114,755 could push Bitcoin to new all-time highs, while Captain Faibik highlighted resistance at $115,000. A break above that could send Bitcoin toward $118,000.
截至2025年8月5日,比特幣的交易約為114,500美元,顯示出與我們預期的相同波動。儘管有潛在的回調,但鑰匙支持水平仍保持著。邁克爾·範·德·波普(Michael van de Poppe)指出,持有超過114,755美元的售價可能會將比特幣推向新的歷史高點,而Faibik上尉則以115,000美元的價格強調了阻力。超出可能將比特幣轉移到118,000美元的休息時間。
Institutional Buying: A Bullish Signal?
機構購買:看漲信號?
Institutional interest remains strong. Metaplanet recently acquired 463 additional Bitcoins for $53.7 million at an average price of $115,895, increasing their total holdings to 17,595 BTC. This shows confidence in Bitcoin's long-term value, even amidst short-term volatility.
機構利益仍然很大。 Metaplanet最近以5370萬美元的價格以115,895美元的價格收購了463個額外的比特幣,將其總持股量增加到17,595 BTC。這表明了對比特幣的長期價值,甚至在短期波動中的信心。
Technical Analysis: Ascending Triangles and Bull Flags
技術分析:上升三角形和公牛旗
Technically, Bitcoin has reclaimed its bull flag pattern, trading above the lower trendline. Consolidation above $112,000 support could set the stage for a breakout toward $118,000. The TD Sequential indicator is flashing a buy signal, supporting this bullish outlook.
從技術上講,比特幣已收回其牛市旗模式,其交易高於較低的趨勢線。合併高於$ 112,000的支持可能會使突破的舞台邁向118,000美元。 TD順序指示器正在閃爍購買信號,支持這種看漲的前景。
Long-Term Projections: Boom or Bust?
長期預測:繁榮還是胸圍?
Market expert Mike Alfred projects a cycle top above $300,000, specifically $312,000, before a major correction. He anticipates a crash to $75,000 in 2026, a 76% decline from the peak. While these projections are extreme, they highlight the potential volatility in the crypto market.
在重大更正之前,市場專家邁克·阿爾弗雷德(Mike Alfred)將周期高於$ 300,000,尤其是312,000美元。他預計,2026年的撞車事故將達到75,000美元,比峰值下降了76%。儘管這些預測是極端的,但它們強調了加密市場的潛在波動。
SegWit Anniversary: A Look Back
賽格威特週年紀念日:回顧
August 1 marked the 8th anniversary of the SegWit upgrade, a pivotal moment in Bitcoin's history. This upgrade paved the way for scalability solutions like the Lightning Network and reduced the influence of large mining pools. It's a reminder of Bitcoin's resilience and adaptability.
8月1日是Segwit升級八週年,這是比特幣歷史上關鍵時刻。此升級為諸如閃電網絡之類的可擴展性解決方案鋪平了道路,並減少了大型採礦池的影響。這提醒了比特幣的韌性和適應性。
Final Thoughts
最後的想法
So, will Bitcoin defy the August curse and continue its rally? Only time will tell. Keep an eye on those key support and resistance levels, and remember, in the world of crypto, anything can happen. Buckle up, folks, it's gonna be an interesting month!
那麼,比特幣會違背八月的詛咒並繼續集會嗎?只有時間會證明。請密切關注這些關鍵的支持和阻力水平,並記住在加密世界中,任何事情都可能發生。搭扣,伙計們,這將是一個有趣的月份!
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