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当价格导航波动性时,八月的“比特币诅咒”隐约可见。机构购买和技术模式会推动BTC集会,还是历史重演?
Bitcoin Price in August: Will the BTC Rally Continue?
八月份的比特币价格:BTC集会会继续吗?
Bitcoin's got everyone on the edge of their seats this August. Between historical headwinds and analysts' predictions, it's a wild ride. Let's dive into what's driving the Bitcoin price, and whether this BTC rally has legs.
比特币今年八月让每个人都坐在座位的边缘。在历史逆风和分析师的预测之间,这是一个疯狂的旅程。让我们深入了解是什么推动了比特币价格,以及该BTC拉力赛是否有腿。
The August Curse: Fact or Fiction?
八月的诅咒:事实还是虚构?
Robert Kiyosaki, the 'Rich Dad Poor Dad' author, threw a curveball by mentioning the "August Curse," suggesting a potential dip to $90,000. Historically, August hasn't been Bitcoin's best month, with data showing negative returns in most years. Is this year any different?
罗伯特·基亚萨基(Robert Kiyosaki)是“有钱的爸爸爸爸”作家,他提到“八月诅咒”,提出了潜在的倾向至90,000美元。从历史上看,八月并不是比特币的最佳月份,数据在大多数年份都显示出负回报。今年有什么不同吗?
Current Market Dynamics
当前的市场动态
As of August 5, 2025, Bitcoin is trading around $114,500, showing the same volatility we've come to expect. Despite potential pullbacks, key support levels are holding. Michael van de Poppe noted that holding above $114,755 could push Bitcoin to new all-time highs, while Captain Faibik highlighted resistance at $115,000. A break above that could send Bitcoin toward $118,000.
截至2025年8月5日,比特币的交易约为114,500美元,显示出与我们预期的相同波动。尽管有潜在的回调,但钥匙支持水平仍保持着。迈克尔·范·德·波普(Michael van de Poppe)指出,持有超过114,755美元的售价可能会将比特币推向新的历史高点,而Faibik上尉则以115,000美元的价格强调了阻力。超出可能将比特币转移到118,000美元的休息时间。
Institutional Buying: A Bullish Signal?
机构购买:看涨信号?
Institutional interest remains strong. Metaplanet recently acquired 463 additional Bitcoins for $53.7 million at an average price of $115,895, increasing their total holdings to 17,595 BTC. This shows confidence in Bitcoin's long-term value, even amidst short-term volatility.
机构利益仍然很大。 Metaplanet最近以5370万美元的价格以115,895美元的价格收购了463个额外的比特币,将其总持股量增加到17,595 BTC。这表明了对比特币的长期价值,甚至在短期波动中的信心。
Technical Analysis: Ascending Triangles and Bull Flags
技术分析:上升三角形和公牛旗
Technically, Bitcoin has reclaimed its bull flag pattern, trading above the lower trendline. Consolidation above $112,000 support could set the stage for a breakout toward $118,000. The TD Sequential indicator is flashing a buy signal, supporting this bullish outlook.
从技术上讲,比特币已收回其牛市旗模式,其交易高于较低的趋势线。合并高于$ 112,000的支持可能会使突破的舞台迈向118,000美元。 TD顺序指示器正在闪烁购买信号,支持这种看涨的前景。
Long-Term Projections: Boom or Bust?
长期预测:繁荣还是胸围?
Market expert Mike Alfred projects a cycle top above $300,000, specifically $312,000, before a major correction. He anticipates a crash to $75,000 in 2026, a 76% decline from the peak. While these projections are extreme, they highlight the potential volatility in the crypto market.
在重大更正之前,市场专家迈克·阿尔弗雷德(Mike Alfred)将周期高于$ 300,000,尤其是312,000美元。他预计,2026年的撞车事故将达到75,000美元,比峰值下降了76%。尽管这些预测是极端的,但它们强调了加密市场的潜在波动。
SegWit Anniversary: A Look Back
赛格威特周年纪念日:回顾
August 1 marked the 8th anniversary of the SegWit upgrade, a pivotal moment in Bitcoin's history. This upgrade paved the way for scalability solutions like the Lightning Network and reduced the influence of large mining pools. It's a reminder of Bitcoin's resilience and adaptability.
8月1日是Segwit升级八周年,这是比特币历史上关键时刻。此升级为诸如闪电网络之类的可扩展性解决方案铺平了道路,并减少了大型采矿池的影响。这提醒了比特币的韧性和适应性。
Final Thoughts
最后的想法
So, will Bitcoin defy the August curse and continue its rally? Only time will tell. Keep an eye on those key support and resistance levels, and remember, in the world of crypto, anything can happen. Buckle up, folks, it's gonna be an interesting month!
那么,比特币会违背八月的诅咒并继续集会吗?只有时间会证明。请密切关注这些关键的支持和阻力水平,并记住在加密世界中,任何事情都可能发生。搭扣,伙计们,这将是一个有趣的月份!
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