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加密貨幣新聞文章

比特幣的價格動作和破壞的天數:解碼市場信號

2025/09/29 20:30

通過破壞硬幣日(CDD)和長期持有人(LTH)行為來分析比特幣的價格行動,以了解潛在的市場變化。

比特幣的價格動作和破壞的天數:解碼市場信號

Bitcoin's Price Action and Days Destroyed: Decoding Market Signals

比特幣的價格動作和破壞的天數:解碼市場信號

Bitcoin's movements are often a puzzle, but by looking at metrics like Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) and Long-Term Holder (LTH) behavior, we can gain some clarity. The current market shows interesting trends.Let's dive in!

比特幣的動作通常是一個難題,但是通過查看諸如破壞硬幣日(CDD)和長期持有人(LTH)行為之類的指標,我們可以清楚地表明。當前的市場顯示出有趣的趨勢。

Bitcoin's Resilience: CDD Signals

比特幣的彈性:CDD信號

Bitcoin's price has been wrestling with volatility, but on-chain metrics are hinting at renewed resilience. A key indicator here is the Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) metric, which is all about the activity of long-term holders. A recent decline in CDD suggests experienced investors are holding onto their coins rather than selling.

比特幣的價格一直在隨著波動而奮鬥,但鏈量指標正在暗示更新的彈性。這裡的一個關鍵指標是破壞的硬幣日(CDD)度量,這全都與長期持有人的活動有關。 CDD最近的下降表明,經驗豐富的投資者正在堅持自己的硬幣而不是銷售。

CDD essentially measures the 'firepower' of LTHs by considering how long coins have been held before being moved. A drop in CDD can signal a slowdown in selling pressure from these experienced players, potentially leading to market consolidation before the next uptrend.

CDD基本上通過考慮持有在搬遷之前已經持有多長時間的硬幣來衡量L​​TH的“火力”。 CDD的下降可以表明這些經驗豐富的球員的銷售壓力放緩,這可能會導致下一次上升趨勢之前的市場合併。

Long-Term Holder SOPR: A Note of Caution

長期持有人SOPR:注意事項

While the CDD paints a positive picture, there's another metric to consider: the Long-Term Holders Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR). This indicator tracks whether coins are being sold for a profit or a loss. Currently, the SOPR suggests that long-term holders might be showing signs of fatigue, with the metric at its lowest level since February 2024.

雖然CDD繪製了積極的幅度,但還有另一個指標:長期持有人花費了產出利潤率(SOPR)。該指標跟踪是否要出售硬幣是為了利潤還是損失。目前,SOPR建議長期持有人可能表現出疲勞的跡象,該指標的水平達到了2024年2月以來的最低水平。

This decline in SOPR indicates potentially less selling pressure from LTHs. Even with market changes, their activity remains a key factor to watch due to their market influence.

SOPR的這種下降表明,LTH的銷售壓力可能會降低。即使有市場變化,由於市場影響力,他們的活動仍然是關注的關鍵因素。

PancakeSwap Consolidates: A Different Perspective

Pancakeswap合併:不同的觀點

While we're discussing market dynamics, let's briefly touch on PancakeSwap (CAKE). Recent analysis shows CAKE consolidating above key support levels, despite mixed momentum signals. This suggests underlying strength, with traders eyeing potential developments as Q4 2025 approaches. The current environment favors patience, with opportunities likely emerging at the extremes of the current range.

當我們討論市場動態時,讓我們簡要介紹一下pancakeswap(蛋糕)。最近的分析表明,儘管動量信號混合,但蛋糕在關鍵支持水平上面鞏固了蛋糕。這表明了基本的力量,隨著第四季度2025的臨近,交易者關注潛在的發展。當前的環境有利於耐心,可能會出現在當前範圍的極端。

Putting It All Together: What Does It Mean?

將所有內容放在一起:這是什麼意思?

Analyzing Bitcoin through the lens of CDD and LTH SOPR provides valuable insights. The declining CDD suggests reduced selling pressure from long-term holders, which is historically linked to consolidation periods before uptrends. However, the weakening LTH SOPR warrants caution, indicating potential fatigue among experienced investors.

通過CDD和LTH SOPR的鏡頭分析比特幣提供了寶貴的見解。 CDD的下降表明,長期持有人的銷售壓力減輕了,這在歷史上與上升趨勢之前的合併期有關。但是,第lth的副稱削弱了,表明經驗豐富的投資者潛在的疲勞。

In my opinion, these mixed signals highlight the complex nature of the Bitcoin market. While long-term indicators suggest potential bullish momentum, short-term caution is advised. Watching these metrics closely can provide a better understanding of future price action.

我認為,這些混合信號突出了比特幣市場的複雜性質。儘管長期指標表明潛在的看漲勢頭,但建議短期謹慎。密切觀察這些指標可以更好地了解未來的價格行動。

Final Thoughts

最後的想法

Navigating the world of Bitcoin can feel like deciphering ancient runes, but by keeping an eye on key metrics like CDD and SOPR, we can at least get a better sense of what the market's trying to tell us. So, keep your wits about you, and remember: even in the wild world of crypto, knowledge is power! Now, go forth and conquer (or at least understand) the market!

瀏覽比特幣世界就像是解密的古代符文,但是通過關注CDD和SOPR等關鍵指標,我們至少可以更好地了解市場試圖告訴我們的內容。因此,請保持智慧,並記住:即使在加密的野生世界中,知識也是力量!現在,出去征服(或至少了解)市場!

原始來源:bitcoinist

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