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比特币的价格动作和破坏的天数:解码市场信号

2025/09/29 20:30

通过破坏硬币日(CDD)和长期持有人(LTH)行为来分析比特币的价格行动,以了解潜在的市场变化。

比特币的价格动作和破坏的天数:解码市场信号

Bitcoin's Price Action and Days Destroyed: Decoding Market Signals

比特币的价格动作和破坏的天数:解码市场信号

Bitcoin's movements are often a puzzle, but by looking at metrics like Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) and Long-Term Holder (LTH) behavior, we can gain some clarity. The current market shows interesting trends.Let's dive in!

比特币的动作通常是一个难题,但是通过查看诸如破坏硬币日(CDD)和长期持有人(LTH)行为之类的指标,我们可以清楚地表明。当前的市场显示出有趣的趋势。

Bitcoin's Resilience: CDD Signals

比特币的弹性:CDD信号

Bitcoin's price has been wrestling with volatility, but on-chain metrics are hinting at renewed resilience. A key indicator here is the Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) metric, which is all about the activity of long-term holders. A recent decline in CDD suggests experienced investors are holding onto their coins rather than selling.

比特币的价格一直在随着波动而奋斗,但链量指标正在暗示更新的弹性。这里的一个关键指标是破坏的硬币日(CDD)度量,这全都与长期持有人的活动有关。 CDD最近的下降表明,经验丰富的投资者正在坚持自己的硬币而不是销售。

CDD essentially measures the 'firepower' of LTHs by considering how long coins have been held before being moved. A drop in CDD can signal a slowdown in selling pressure from these experienced players, potentially leading to market consolidation before the next uptrend.

CDD基本上通过考虑持有在搬迁之前已经持有多长时间的硬币来衡量LTH的“火力”。 CDD的下降可以表明这些经验丰富的球员的销售压力放缓,这可能会导致下一次上升趋势之前的市场合并。

Long-Term Holder SOPR: A Note of Caution

长期持有人SOPR:注意事项

While the CDD paints a positive picture, there's another metric to consider: the Long-Term Holders Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR). This indicator tracks whether coins are being sold for a profit or a loss. Currently, the SOPR suggests that long-term holders might be showing signs of fatigue, with the metric at its lowest level since February 2024.

虽然CDD绘制了积极的幅度,但还有另一个指标:长期持有人花费了产出利润率(SOPR)。该指标跟踪是否要出售硬币是为了利润还是损失。目前,SOPR建议长期持有人可能表现出疲劳的迹象,该指标的水平达到了2024年2月以来的最低水平。

This decline in SOPR indicates potentially less selling pressure from LTHs. Even with market changes, their activity remains a key factor to watch due to their market influence.

SOPR的这种下降表明,LTH的销售压力可能会降低。即使有市场变化,由于市场影响力,他们的活动仍然是关注的关键因素。

PancakeSwap Consolidates: A Different Perspective

Pancakeswap合并:不同的观点

While we're discussing market dynamics, let's briefly touch on PancakeSwap (CAKE). Recent analysis shows CAKE consolidating above key support levels, despite mixed momentum signals. This suggests underlying strength, with traders eyeing potential developments as Q4 2025 approaches. The current environment favors patience, with opportunities likely emerging at the extremes of the current range.

当我们讨论市场动态时,让我们简要介绍一下pancakeswap(蛋糕)。最近的分析表明,尽管动量信号混合,但蛋糕在关键支持水平上面巩固了蛋糕。这表明了基本的力量,随着第四季度2025的临近,交易者关注潜在的发展。当前的环境有利于耐心,可能会出现在当前范围的极端。

Putting It All Together: What Does It Mean?

将所有内容放在一起:这是什么意思?

Analyzing Bitcoin through the lens of CDD and LTH SOPR provides valuable insights. The declining CDD suggests reduced selling pressure from long-term holders, which is historically linked to consolidation periods before uptrends. However, the weakening LTH SOPR warrants caution, indicating potential fatigue among experienced investors.

通过CDD和LTH SOPR的镜头分析比特币提供了宝贵的见解。 CDD的下降表明,长期持有人的销售压力减轻了,这在历史上与上升趋势之前的合并期有关。但是,第lth的副称削弱了,表明经验丰富的投资者潜在的疲劳。

In my opinion, these mixed signals highlight the complex nature of the Bitcoin market. While long-term indicators suggest potential bullish momentum, short-term caution is advised. Watching these metrics closely can provide a better understanding of future price action.

我认为,这些混合信号突出了比特币市场的复杂性质。尽管长期指标表明潜在的看涨势头,但建议短期谨慎。密切观察这些指标可以更好地了解未来的价格行动。

Final Thoughts

最后的想法

Navigating the world of Bitcoin can feel like deciphering ancient runes, but by keeping an eye on key metrics like CDD and SOPR, we can at least get a better sense of what the market's trying to tell us. So, keep your wits about you, and remember: even in the wild world of crypto, knowledge is power! Now, go forth and conquer (or at least understand) the market!

浏览比特币世界就像是解密的古代符文,但是通过关注CDD和SOPR等关键指标,我们至少可以更好地了解市场试图告诉我们的内容。因此,请保持智慧,并记住:即使在加密的野生世界中,知识也是力量!现在,出去征服(或至少了解)市场!

原文来源:bitcoinist

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