分析師表示，根據先前的周期，比特幣可能會達到 25 萬美元

比特幣的持續波動長期以來一直是投資者關注的問題，但下行波動可能與上行波動一樣劇烈。

Bitcoin’s ongoing volatility has been a point of concern for investors, but swings to the downside can be just as impactful as those to the upside. If prior cycles are any indication, a blow-off-the-top rally could have $250,000 in play over the coming years.

比特幣的持續波動一直是投資人關注的問題，但下行波動的影響力與上行波動的影響力一樣。如果之前的周期有任何跡象的話，那麼未來幾年的爆發性反彈可能會帶來 25 萬美元的影響。

Firstly, bitcoin’s price movement this cycle has already moved more quickly in a positive direction this year than in previous cycles. This is due, in part, to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) approval of bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) this January, which have driven record inflows to the world’s largest cryptocurrency by market cap.

首先，比特幣本週期的價格走勢今年已經比之前的周期更快地朝著正面方向發展。這在一定程度上是由於美國證券交易委員會 (SEC) 今年 1 月批准了比特幣交易所交易基金 (ETF)，這推動了全球市值最大的加密貨幣的資金流入創歷史新高。

Institutional adoption of bitcoin ETFs has mushroomed, with major Wall Street players like Goldman Sachs now entering the bitcoin investment scene.

比特幣 ETF 的機構採用如雨後春筍般湧現，高盛等華爾街主要參與者現已進入比特幣投資領域。

Goldman Sachs, for example, now maintains a $418 million exposure to bitcoin ETFs, and other institutions on Wall Street are expected to closely follow in its footsteps as growth accelerates.

例如，高盛目前持有 4.18 億美元的比特幣 ETF 敞口，隨著成長加速，華爾街的其他機構預計將緊跟其腳步。

It’s not far-fetched for bitcoin to break $250,000 in the coming years, given the macroeconomic factors driving positive price momentum of the world’s largest cryptocurrency and renewed confidence around bitcoin. Surging political interest in bitcoin – from former president Donald Trump and other political heavyweights – will also keep focused attention on bitcoin and alternative cryptocurrencies, potentially influencing its price over the election cycle.

考慮到宏觀經濟因素推動了全球最大加密貨幣的積極價格勢頭以及人們對比特幣的信心重燃，比特幣在未來幾年突破 25 萬美元並非遙不可及。前總統川普和其他政治重量級人物對比特幣的政治興趣不斷高漲，也將繼續關注比特幣和替代加密貨幣，可能會影響其在選舉週期中的價格。

Bitcoin could be poised for $250,000 based on prior cycles, per analyst

分析師稱，根據先前的周期，比特幣價格可能會達到 25 萬美元

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Is this the beginning of the end for Bitcoin's dominance in crypto?

這是比特幣在加密貨幣領域統治地位終結的開始嗎？

Bitcoin’s low this cycle has been $15,000, but in 2021, bitcoin broke past $65,000, stunning investors worldwide. On the whole, bitcoin will likely scale a similar upward price trajectory this year, making potential price apexes of $250,000 reasonable. In previous cycles, it took approximately 200 to 250 days to break through, but 2024 has already been a transformative year, and could continue on a positive price path.

比特幣本週期的最低價為15,000美元，但在2021年，比特幣突破了65,000美元，令全球投資者震驚。總體而言，比特幣今年可能會出現類似的價格上漲軌跡，使 25 萬美元的潛在價格高峰合理。在先前的周期中，大約需要 200 到 250 天才能突破，但 2024 年已經是變革的一年，並且可能會繼續走上積極的價格道路。