分析师表示，根据之前的周期，比特币可能会达到 25 万美元

比特币的持续波动长期以来一直是投资者关注的一个问题，但下行波动可能与上行波动一样剧烈。

Bitcoin’s ongoing volatility has been a point of concern for investors, but swings to the downside can be just as impactful as those to the upside. If prior cycles are any indication, a blow-off-the-top rally could have $250,000 in play over the coming years.

比特币的持续波动一直是投资者关注的一个问题，但下行波动的影响力与上行波动的影响力一样。如果之前的周期有任何迹象的话，那么未来几年的爆发性反弹可能会带来 250,000 美元的影响。

Firstly, bitcoin’s price movement this cycle has already moved more quickly in a positive direction this year than in previous cycles. This is due, in part, to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) approval of bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) this January, which have driven record inflows to the world’s largest cryptocurrency by market cap.

首先，比特币本周期的价格走势今年已经比之前的周期更快地朝积极方向发展。这在一定程度上是由于美国证券交易委员会 (SEC) 今年 1 月批准了比特币交易所交易基金 (ETF)，这推动了全球市值最大的加密货币的资金流入创历史新高。

Institutional adoption of bitcoin ETFs has mushroomed, with major Wall Street players like Goldman Sachs now entering the bitcoin investment scene.

比特币 ETF 的机构采用如雨后春笋般涌现，高盛等华尔街主要参与者现已进入比特币投资领域。

Goldman Sachs, for example, now maintains a $418 million exposure to bitcoin ETFs, and other institutions on Wall Street are expected to closely follow in its footsteps as growth accelerates.

例如，高盛目前持有 4.18 亿美元的比特币 ETF 敞口，随着增长加速，华尔街的其他机构预计将紧随其脚步。

It’s not far-fetched for bitcoin to break $250,000 in the coming years, given the macroeconomic factors driving positive price momentum of the world’s largest cryptocurrency and renewed confidence around bitcoin. Surging political interest in bitcoin – from former president Donald Trump and other political heavyweights – will also keep focused attention on bitcoin and alternative cryptocurrencies, potentially influencing its price over the election cycle.

考虑到宏观经济因素推动了全球最大加密货币的积极价格势头以及人们对比特币的信心重燃，比特币在未来几年突破 25 万美元并非遥不可及。前总统唐纳德·特朗普和其他政治重量级人物对比特币的政治兴趣不断高涨，也将继续关注比特币和替代加密货币，可能会影响其在选举周期中的价格。

Bitcoin could be poised for $250,000 based on prior cycles, per analyst

分析师称，根据之前的周期，比特币价格可能会达到 25 万美元

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Is this the beginning of the end for Bitcoin's dominance in crypto?

这是比特币在加密货币领域统治地位终结的开始吗？

Bitcoin’s low this cycle has been $15,000, but in 2021, bitcoin broke past $65,000, stunning investors worldwide. On the whole, bitcoin will likely scale a similar upward price trajectory this year, making potential price apexes of $250,000 reasonable. In previous cycles, it took approximately 200 to 250 days to break through, but 2024 has already been a transformative year, and could continue on a positive price path.

比特币本周期的最低价为15,000美元，但在2021年，比特币突破了65,000美元，令全球投资者震惊。总体而言，比特币今年可能会出现类似的价格上涨轨迹，从而使 25 万美元的潜在价格峰值合理。在之前的周期中，大约需要 200 到 250 天才能突破，但 2024 年已经是变革的一年，并且可能会继续走上积极的价格道路。