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香港的比特幣和以太幣 ETF 未能給投資者留下深刻印象,引發擔憂。比特幣的下跌趨勢持續存在,本週下跌了 4%。分析師預測 6 月可能會跌至 54,000 美元,有些人預測進一步跌至 40,000-50,000 美元。技術分析表明,2021 年的價格調整可能會重演,到 6 月,下行目標將達到 46,110 美元。儘管減半和 ETF 推出,但比特幣的看跌情緒仍圍繞著比特幣,引發了人們對其復甦前景的質疑。

Bitcoin's Continued Struggle: Analysts Predict a Drastic Downtrend
比特幣的持續掙扎:分析師預測將出現大幅下跌趨勢
Despite the highly anticipated halving event, Bitcoin's price has failed to gain traction, disappointing observers and shattering optimistic projections of reaching six-figure values in the near future. This has necessitated a somber revision of forecasts, casting doubt on the viability of Bitcoin as a short-term investment.
儘管發生了備受期待的減半事件,但比特幣的價格未能獲得牽引力,令觀察者失望,並打破了在不久的將來達到六位數價值的樂觀預測。這需要對預測進行嚴峻的修改,使人們對比特幣作為短期投資的可行性產生懷疑。
Descending Wedge Pattern Points to $54,000 Target
下降楔形形態指向 54,000 美元目標
Technical analysis reveals a descending wedge pattern in Bitcoin's price movement, with a peak estimated at $54,000. Analysts predict that if the current trend persists, Bitcoin could plunge to this level by June. While this represents a potential buying opportunity at each dip, some experts remain wary.
技術分析顯示,比特幣價格走勢呈下降楔形模式,高峰估計為 54,000 美元。分析師預測,如果當前趨勢持續下去,比特幣可能會在 6 月跌至這一水平。雖然這代表著每次下跌時都有潛在的買入機會,但一些專家仍持謹慎態度。
Pessimistic Projections: Dive to $40,000-$50,000 Range
悲觀預測:跌至 40,000 美元至 50,000 美元區間
Seasoned trader Peter Brandt believes that Bitcoin could experience a significant correction, descending towards the $40,000-$50,000 range. He attributes this prediction to Bitcoin's failure to surpass its previous highs despite the halving and the introduction of ETFs. Brandt warns of a potential drop into the "early 40s" before a recovery.
經驗豐富的交易員 Peter Brandt 認為,比特幣可能會經歷大幅調整,跌向 40,000 美元至 50,000 美元的區間。他將這一預測歸因於比特幣未能突破先前的高點,儘管減半並推出了 ETF。布蘭特警告說,在復甦之前,人口可能會跌至「40歲出頭」。
2021 Fractal Suggests Further Downside
2021 年分形顯示進一步下行
A technical analysis based on the 2021 fractal indicates more trouble ahead for Bitcoin. The recent correction has been accompanied by a decline in the weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI), mirroring the trend observed before a steep price correction in 2021. This suggests a potential downside target of $46,110 by June, aligning with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement line.
基於 2021 年分形的技術分析表明,比特幣面臨更多麻煩。最近的調整伴隨著每週相對強弱指數(RSI) 的下降,反映了2021 年價格大幅調整之前觀察到的趨勢。線一致。
Potential Collapse to $32,410
可能跌至 32,410 美元
A significant break below the 50-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) could trigger a further decline towards the 200-week EMA, hovering around $32,410. This would represent a staggering 58% drop from current price levels, raising concerns about the long-term viability of Bitcoin as an investment.
大幅跌破 50 週指數移動平均線 (EMA) 可能會引發進一步下跌,跌向 200 週指數移動平均線,徘徊在 32,410 美元附近。這將比當前物價水準大幅下跌 58%,引發人們對比特幣作為投資的長期可行性的擔憂。
Conclusion
結論
While the halving and ETF launches were expected to provide a major boost to Bitcoin's price, the cryptocurrency has failed to live up to expectations. Analysts are now predicting a significant downturn, with some forecasting a potential drop below $40,000. Investors should proceed with caution and carefully consider their risk tolerance before making any investment decisions in Bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies.
雖然減半和 ETF 的推出預計將大幅提振比特幣的價格,但這種加密貨幣卻未能達到預期。分析師現在預測價格將大幅下滑,其中一些預測價格可能跌破 4 萬美元。在對比特幣或其他加密貨幣做出任何投資決定之前,投資者應謹慎行事並仔細考慮自己的風險承受能力。
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