分析师预测比特币将暴跌

香港的比特币和以太坊 ETF 未能给投资者留下深刻印象，引发担忧。比特币的下跌趋势持续存在，本周下跌了 4%。分析师预测 6 月份可能会跌至 54,000 美元，一些人预测进一步跌至 40,000-50,000 美元。技术分析表明，2021 年的价格调整可能会重演，到 6 月，下行目标将达到 46,110 美元。尽管减半和 ETF 推出，但比特币的看跌情绪仍围绕着比特币，引发了人们对其复苏前景的质疑。

Bitcoin's Continued Struggle: Analysts Predict a Drastic Downtrend

比特币的持续挣扎：分析师预测将出现大幅下跌趋势

Despite the highly anticipated halving event, Bitcoin's price has failed to gain traction, disappointing observers and shattering optimistic projections of reaching six-figure values in the near future. This has necessitated a somber revision of forecasts, casting doubt on the viability of Bitcoin as a short-term investment.

尽管发生了备受期待的减半事件，但比特币的价格未能获得牵引力，令观察人士失望，并打破了在不久的将来达到六位数价值的乐观预测。这需要对预测进行严峻的修改，使人对比特币作为短期投资的可行性产生怀疑。

Descending Wedge Pattern Points to $54,000 Target

下降楔形形态指向 54,000 美元目标

Technical analysis reveals a descending wedge pattern in Bitcoin's price movement, with a peak estimated at $54,000. Analysts predict that if the current trend persists, Bitcoin could plunge to this level by June. While this represents a potential buying opportunity at each dip, some experts remain wary.

技术分析显示，比特币价格走势呈下降楔形模式，峰值估计为 54,000 美元。分析师预测，如果当前趋势持续下去，比特币可能会在 6 月份跌至这一水平。虽然这代表着每次下跌时都有潜在的买入机会，但一些专家仍持谨慎态度。

Pessimistic Projections: Dive to $40,000-$50,000 Range

悲观预测：跌至 40,000 美元至 50,000 美元区间

Seasoned trader Peter Brandt believes that Bitcoin could experience a significant correction, descending towards the $40,000-$50,000 range. He attributes this prediction to Bitcoin's failure to surpass its previous highs despite the halving and the introduction of ETFs. Brandt warns of a potential drop into the "early 40s" before a recovery.

经验丰富的交易员 Peter Brandt 认为，比特币可能会经历大幅调整，跌向 40,000 美元至 50,000 美元的区间。他将这一预测归因于比特币未能突破之前的高点，尽管减半并推出了 ETF。布兰特警告说，在复苏之前，人口可能会跌至“40岁出头”。

2021 Fractal Suggests Further Downside

2021 年分形表明进一步下行

A technical analysis based on the 2021 fractal indicates more trouble ahead for Bitcoin. The recent correction has been accompanied by a decline in the weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI), mirroring the trend observed before a steep price correction in 2021. This suggests a potential downside target of $46,110 by June, aligning with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement line.

基于 2021 年分形的技术分析表明，比特币面临更多麻烦。最近的调整伴随着每周相对强弱指数 (RSI) 的下降，反映了 2021 年价格大幅调整之前观察到的趋势。这表明 6 月份的潜在下行目标为 46,110 美元，与 0.618 斐波那契回撤线一致。

Potential Collapse to $32,410

可能跌至 32,410 美元

A significant break below the 50-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) could trigger a further decline towards the 200-week EMA, hovering around $32,410. This would represent a staggering 58% drop from current price levels, raising concerns about the long-term viability of Bitcoin as an investment.

大幅跌破 50 周指数移动平均线 (EMA) 可能会引发进一步下跌，跌向 200 周指数移动平均线，徘徊在 32,410 美元附近。这将比当前价格水平大幅下跌 58%，引发人们对比特币作为投资的长期可行性的担忧。

Conclusion

结论

While the halving and ETF launches were expected to provide a major boost to Bitcoin's price, the cryptocurrency has failed to live up to expectations. Analysts are now predicting a significant downturn, with some forecasting a potential drop below $40,000. Investors should proceed with caution and carefully consider their risk tolerance before making any investment decisions in Bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies.

虽然减半和 ETF 的推出预计将大幅提振比特币的价格，但这种加密货币却未能达到预期。分析师现在预测价格将大幅下滑，其中一些人预测价格可能跌破 40,000 美元。在对比特币或其他加密货币做出任何投资决定之前，投资者应谨慎行事并仔细考虑自己的风险承受能力。