比特幣高峰將在不到一年的時間內出現

透過分析歷史數據，Crypto Con 確定了可能確定市場上最大的加密貨幣資產達到本週期最高點的時間的趨勢。

Cryptocurrency investors are optimistic and confident in the market, and Crypto Con, a popular crypto analyst and enthusiast, has used past BTC runs and their cumulative peaks to predict when Bitcoin will reach its peak in the current bull cycle.

加密貨幣投資者對市場持樂觀和信心，而受歡迎的加密貨幣分析師和愛好者 Crypto Con 已經利用過去的 BTC 運行及其累積峰值來預測比特幣何時會在當前牛市週期中達到峰值。

According to Crypto Con's analysis of historical data, the Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) Ergodic Indicator shows that Bitcoin is exactly where it should be in the cycle. However, the analyst believes that there is still a lot of room for growth in the upcoming days.

根據 Crypto Con 對歷史資料的分析，隨機動量指數（SMI）遍歷指標顯示，比特幣正是處於週期中應有的位置。不過，分析師認為，未來幾天仍有很大的成長空間。

Hence, BTC's current position, which is around a year from cycle peaks, places this cycle’s peak between January and February of 2025. However, December 2024 remains the analyst’s focus, which, at the current rate, is expected to be the cycle’s top month.

因此，BTC 目前的位置距離週期峰值大約一年，因此該週期的峰值位於2025 年1 月至2 月之間。月將成為該週期的最高月份。

Crypto Con also hinted at the recent recovery from a healthy correction observed in the crypto market as a potential catalyst to drive the price of Bitcoin higher.

Crypto Con 也暗示，最近加密貨幣市場從健康調整中恢復過來，是推動比特幣價格走高的潛在催化劑。

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貼文內容如下：

The SMI tells us that Bitcoin is right where it should be in the cycle, with much more room for growth. Our current position lines up at about 1 year from cycle tops, which would make this cycle’s top in Jan – Feb 2025. My eye is still on December 2024, a likely cycle top month at our current rate.

SMI 告訴我們，比特幣正處於週期中應有的位置，具有更大的成長空間。我們目前的部位距離週期頂部約1 年，這將使該週期的頂部出現在2025 年1 月至2 月。 。

Given that the analyst previously predicted BTC to reach $149,000 by the end of the year, it could mean the expert expects the asset to top out at the level by December. “Bitcoin is still on track for a layer 7 price target of $149,000 by the end of this year,” he stated.

鑑於分析師先前預測 BTC 到今年年底將達到 149,000 美元，這可能意味著專家預計資產將在 12 月達到頂峰。他表示：“到今年年底，比特幣仍有望實現 149,000 美元的 Layer 7 價格目標。”

Crypto Con's prediction is in line with the most precise measurements for Log Regression Curves and the cycle tops in 2021. By then, the more cautious layer 6, which is the layer that denoted the 2013 cycle top, aims to reach the $108,000 level.

Crypto Con 的預測與對數回歸曲線和 2021 年周期頂部的最精確測量結果一致。

During the prediction, the expert highlighted a price consolidation, which is a new development in this cycle. However, as volatility decreases, this consolidation is accurate.

在預測過程中，專家強調了價格盤整，這是本週期的新發展。然而，隨著波動性的降低，這種整合是準確的。

Determining BTC's Peak Through Fibonacci Extension

透過斐波那契擴展確定 BTC 的峰值

Crypto Con has also utilized the Fibonacci Extensions to determine the Bitcoin price peak this cycle. According to cycle retraces highlighted in his chart, the first two cycles approached the 2.618 extension quite closely, while the last struck the 1.618 extension.

Crypto Con 也利用斐波那契擴充來確定本週期的比特幣價格峰值。根據他的圖表中突出顯示的周期回撤，前兩個週期非常接近 2.618 延伸線，而最後一個週期則觸及 1.618 延伸線。

Related Reading: Economist Foresees $115,000 Bitcoin Peak, Followed By Largest Crash Since 1929

相關閱讀：經濟學家預計比特幣將達到 115,000 美元峰值，隨後將出現 1929 年以來最嚴重的崩盤

On the possibility that the 1.618 point will repeat itself this cycle, BTC's price will be at $159,128. “This is one of the many perspectives to be balanced in the basket of possibilities, and I would consider this estimate to be on the optimistic for this cycle,” he added.

如果本週期重演 1.618 點，BTC 的價格將達到 159,128 美元。他補充說：“這是在可能性籃子中需要平衡的眾多觀點之一，我認為這一估計對於本週期來說是樂觀的。”

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is slowly gaining momentum toward $70,000, indicating a 5% increase in the past week. Its market cap is down by 0.25%, while its trading volume is down by 12% in the past 24 hours.

截至撰寫本文時，比特幣正緩慢地向 70,000 美元上漲，顯示過去一周上漲了 5%。過去24小時內，其市值下降了0.25%，而交易量下降了12%。