比特币峰值将在不到一年的时间内出现

通过分析历史数据，Crypto Con 确定了可能确定市场上最大的加密货币资产达到本周期最高点的时间的趋势。

Cryptocurrency investors are optimistic and confident in the market, and Crypto Con, a popular crypto analyst and enthusiast, has used past BTC runs and their cumulative peaks to predict when Bitcoin will reach its peak in the current bull cycle.

加密货币投资者对市场持乐观和信心，而受欢迎的加密货币分析师和爱好者 Crypto Con 已经利用过去的 BTC 运行及其累积峰值来预测比特币何时会在当前牛市周期中达到峰值。

According to Crypto Con's analysis of historical data, the Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) Ergodic Indicator shows that Bitcoin is exactly where it should be in the cycle. However, the analyst believes that there is still a lot of room for growth in the upcoming days.

根据 Crypto Con 对历史数据的分析，随机动量指数（SMI）遍历指标显示，比特币正是处于周期中应有的位置。不过，分析师认为，未来几天仍有很大的增长空间。

Hence, BTC's current position, which is around a year from cycle peaks, places this cycle’s peak between January and February of 2025. However, December 2024 remains the analyst’s focus, which, at the current rate, is expected to be the cycle’s top month.

因此，BTC 目前的位置距离周期峰值大约一年，因此该周期的峰值位于 2025 年 1 月至 2 月之间。然而，2024 年 12 月仍然是分析师的焦点，按照目前的速度，预计该月将成为该周期的最高月份。

Crypto Con also hinted at the recent recovery from a healthy correction observed in the crypto market as a potential catalyst to drive the price of Bitcoin higher.

Crypto Con 还暗示，最近加密货币市场从健康调整中恢复过来，是推动比特币价格走高的潜在催化剂。

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The SMI tells us that Bitcoin is right where it should be in the cycle, with much more room for growth. Our current position lines up at about 1 year from cycle tops, which would make this cycle’s top in Jan – Feb 2025. My eye is still on December 2024, a likely cycle top month at our current rate.

SMI 告诉我们，比特币正处于周期中应有的位置，具有更大的增长空间。我们目前的仓位距周期顶部约 1 年，这将使该周期的顶部出现在 2025 年 1 月至 2 月。我的目光仍在 2024 年 12 月，按照我们目前的利率，这可能是周期顶部月份。

Given that the analyst previously predicted BTC to reach $149,000 by the end of the year, it could mean the expert expects the asset to top out at the level by December. “Bitcoin is still on track for a layer 7 price target of $149,000 by the end of this year,” he stated.

鉴于分析师此前预测 BTC 到今年年底将达到 149,000 美元，这可能意味着专家预计该资产将在 12 月达到顶峰。他表示：“到今年年底，比特币仍有望实现 149,000 美元的 Layer 7 价格目标。”

Crypto Con's prediction is in line with the most precise measurements for Log Regression Curves and the cycle tops in 2021. By then, the more cautious layer 6, which is the layer that denoted the 2013 cycle top, aims to reach the $108,000 level.

Crypto Con 的预测与对数回归曲线和 2021 年周期顶部的最精确测量结果一致。到那时，更加谨慎的第 6 层（即表示 2013 年周期顶部的层）的目标是达到 108,000 美元的水平。

During the prediction, the expert highlighted a price consolidation, which is a new development in this cycle. However, as volatility decreases, this consolidation is accurate.

在预测过程中，专家强调了价格盘整，这是本周期的新发展。然而，随着波动性的降低，这种整合是准确的。

Determining BTC's Peak Through Fibonacci Extension

通过斐波那契扩展确定 BTC 的峰值

Crypto Con has also utilized the Fibonacci Extensions to determine the Bitcoin price peak this cycle. According to cycle retraces highlighted in his chart, the first two cycles approached the 2.618 extension quite closely, while the last struck the 1.618 extension.

Crypto Con 还利用斐波那契扩展来确定本周期的比特币价格峰值。根据他的图表中突出显示的周期回撤，前两个周期非常接近 2.618 延伸线，而最后一个周期则触及 1.618 延伸线。

Related Reading: Economist Foresees $115,000 Bitcoin Peak, Followed By Largest Crash Since 1929

相关阅读：经济学家预计比特币将达到 115,000 美元峰值，随后将出现 1929 年以来最严重的崩盘

On the possibility that the 1.618 point will repeat itself this cycle, BTC's price will be at $159,128. “This is one of the many perspectives to be balanced in the basket of possibilities, and I would consider this estimate to be on the optimistic for this cycle,” he added.

如果本周期重演 1.618 点，BTC 的价格将达到 159,128 美元。他补充说：“这是在可能性篮子中需要平衡的众多观点之一，我认为这一估计对于本周期来说是乐观的。”

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is slowly gaining momentum toward $70,000, indicating a 5% increase in the past week. Its market cap is down by 0.25%, while its trading volume is down by 12% in the past 24 hours.

截至撰写本文时，比特币正缓慢向 70,000 美元上涨，表明过去一周上涨了 5%。过去24小时内，其市值下降了0.25%，而交易量下降了12%。