比特幣必須突破 200 日移動平均線才能扭轉趨勢

200 天移動平均線被認為是衡量資產即將出現的價格走勢的更可靠的長期指標之一。比特幣200日均線顯示看漲勢頭減弱

Bitcoin’s 200-day simple moving average (SMA) has shown a weakening bullish momentum as the US economy added fewer jobs in August 2024.

隨著 2024 年 8 月美國經濟新增就業機會減少，比特幣的 200 天簡單移動平均線 (SMA) 顯示看漲勢頭減弱。

The 200-day SMA is considered one of the more reliable long-term indicators to gauge an asset’s upcoming price action. Bitcoin’s 200-day SMA shows a weakening bullish momentum, giving short-term traders little joy.

200 天移動平均線被認為是衡量資產即將出現的價格走勢的更可靠的長期指標之一。比特幣的 200 日移動平均線顯示看漲勢頭減弱，這讓短期交易者感到高興。

This is the first time since October 2023 that the 200-day SMA looks poised to enter bearish territory. Since late August, the daily increase in average price increases for BTC has not crossed $50, while it used to consistently record moves of more than $200 per day during the first half of 2024.

這是自 2023 年 10 月以來首次出現 200 日移動平均線看起來準備進入看跌區域的情況。自 8 月下旬以來，BTC 的日均漲幅尚未超過 50 美元，而在 2024 年上半年，比特幣的日均漲幅一直超過 200 美元。

At press time, the 200-day SMA stands at $63,840, about 13.96% higher than the current BTC price of $56,840.

截至發稿，200 日移動均線為 63,840 美元，比目前 BTC 價格 56,840 美元高出約 13.96%。

Short-term moving average indicators such as the 50-day SMA and the 100-day SMA are already past their peak and have been trending downward. A bearish crossover was seen recently when the 100-day SMA fell below the 200-day SMA.

50日移動平均線和100日移動平均線等短期移動平均線指標已經過了峰值，並且一直呈下降趨勢。最近，當 100 日移動平均線跌破 200 日移動平均線時，出現了看跌交叉。

The Stochastic relative-strength index (RSI) has signaled a trend reversal from bullish to bearish on the Bitcoin 2-month chart. If going by historical data, such a move has typically led to a significant correction of up to 75.50%.

隨機相對強度指數（RSI）顯示比特幣兩個月圖表上的趨勢從看漲轉向看跌。如果根據歷史數據，這樣的舉動通常會導致高達 75.50% 的大幅調整。

In addition, Google Trends shows that searches for the word “Bitcoin” have been at their lowest since October 2023, when BTC was hovering around $30,000.

此外，Google趨勢顯示，「比特幣」一詞的搜尋量已降至 2023 年 10 月以來的最低水平，當時 BTC 徘徊在 3 萬美元左右。

Adding to the overall bearish sentiment surrounding the leading digital asset, former CEO of BitMEX cryptocurrency exchange Arthur Hayes posted on X that he’s currently short Bitcoin and could see the crypto-asset crash to sub $50k level over the weekend.

BitMEX 加密貨幣交易所前首席執行官Arthur Hayes 在X 上發文稱，他目前做空比特幣，週末可能會看到加密資產暴跌至5 萬美元以下的水平，這加劇了圍繞領先數位資產的整體看跌情緒。

On the other hand, other market experts opine that Bitcoin will likely bottom at $55,000 before the influx of US liquidity helps re-ignite the severely lacking buying pressure in the crypto markets.

另一方面，其他市場專家認為，在美國流動性湧入重新點燃加密貨幣市場嚴重缺乏的購買壓力之前，比特幣可能會觸底至 55,000 美元。

Although several crypto analysts seem to lean bearish on Bitcoin’s short-term price movements, the long-term bull case for the leading digital asset remains unchanged.

儘管一些加密貨幣分析師似乎傾向於看跌比特幣的短期價格走勢，但這種領先數位資產的長期看漲理由仍然沒有改變。

Crypto analyst Crypto Jelle posits that Bitcoin’s tepid price action during the summer might reach its conclusion by early October before it could potentially resume another rally to the Bitcoin’s 200-day SMA Loses Steam As US Adds Fewer Jobs In August 2024upside.

加密貨幣分析師Crypto Jelle 認為，比特幣在夏季的不溫不火的價格走勢可能會在10 月初結束，然後可能會恢復另一次反彈，因為美國在2024 年8 月增加的就業機會減少，比特幣的200 天移動平均線失去了動力。

Institutional interest in Bitcoin also continues to rise, as Swiss banking giant ZKB recently rolled out Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) trading and custody services for its customers. At press time, BTC trades at $56,018.

隨著瑞士銀行巨頭 ZKB 最近為其客戶推出比特幣 (BTC) 和以太坊 (ETH) 交易和託管服務，機構對比特幣的興趣也持續上升。截至發稿時，BTC 交易價格為 56,018 美元。