比特幣動量可能會根據這些跡象停滯不前

一位分析師已經解釋了一些與比特幣有關的圖表可能會說明當前運行是否會導致新的高潮。

Analyst Ali Martinez has explained some technical analysis (TA) signs that could reveal if it’s time for Bitcoin (BTC) to reach a new all-time high (ATH).

分析師阿里·馬丁內斯（Ali Martinez）解釋了一些技術分析（TA）的跡象，這些跡象可能揭示了比特幣（BTC）達到新歷史高（ATH）的時候了。

In a recent post on X, (formerly Twitter) Martinez shared three charts that suggest that the momentum for BTC may be stalling.

在最近的X上（以前是Twitter）的一篇文章中，馬丁內斯分享了三張圖表，表明BTC的勢頭可能正在停滯不前。

Parallel Channel

並行通道

The first chart highlights a TA pattern that Bitcoin has potentially been trading inside for the last few months. The pattern in question is a “Parallel Channel,” which emerges whenever an asset’s price observes consolidation between two parallel trendlines.

第一張圖表強調了比特幣在過去幾個月內可能一直在內部進行交易的TA模式。所討論的模式是一個“平行通道”，每當資產的價格觀察到兩個並行趨勢線之間的合併時，它就會出現。

There are different types of Parallel Channels, but in the context of the current topic, the most ordinary version is of interest: the one with the channel parallel to the time-axis. This case naturally corresponds to a completely sideways movement from the cryptocurrency.

平行通道有不同類型的類型，但是在當前主題的上下文中，最普通的版本感興趣：一個與時軸平行的通道。這種情況自然對應於加密貨幣的完全側向運動。

From the chart, it’s visible that BTC has recently observed a rise to the upper line of the pattern. During previous retests, the coin ended up finding rejection at this mark. Thus, it’s possible that it may also face resistance here during the current retest.

從圖表來看，BTC最近觀察到圖案上線的上升是可以看到的。在先前的重新測試期間，硬幣最終在此標記處發現拒絕。因此，在當前重新測試期間，它可能也可能在這裡遇到阻力。

RSI Divergence

RSI差異

As is visible from the second graph, the RSI has shown divergence from the Bitcoin price recently. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) here refers to an indicator that keeps track of the speed and magnitude of changes that the asset’s price has witnessed recently. This metric is generally used for judging overpriced and underpriced conditions for the token.

從第二個圖中可以看到，RSI最近顯示出與比特幣價格的差異。這裡的相對強度指數（RSI）是指一個指標，該指標可以跟踪資產價格最近見證的變化的速度和幅度。該指標通常用於判斷代幣定價過高和價格低廉的條件。

BTC’s RSI formed a peak in the overbought region earlier in the month, but while the price has gone up since then, the indicator has only managed to form a smaller peak. This type of divergence between the asset and the RSI is often considered to be a bearish signal.

BTC的RSI在本月早些時候在超額購買區域中形成了一個高峰，但自那時以來的價格上漲，指標僅設法形成了一個較小的高峰。資產和RSI之間的這種差異通常被認為是看跌信號。

MACD Crossover

MACD跨界

Lastly, there is also a bearish development in the MACD, displayed in the third chart. The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is another TA indicator that’s used for gauging momentum.

最後，MACD中還顯示了第三張圖表中的看跌開發。移動平均值收斂/發散（MACD）是用於測量動量的另一個TA指標。

It involves two lines: the MACD line calculated by taking the difference between the 12-day and 26-day exponential moving averages (EMAs) of the price and the signal line determined as the 9-day EMA of the MACD line. Recently, the MACD line for Bitcoin has dipped under the signal line, which is usually considered as a bearish crossover.

它涉及兩條線：MACD線是通過將價格的12天和26天的指數移動平均值（EMA）和信號線確定為MACD線的9天EMA所計算的。最近，比特幣的MACD系列已下降到信號線下，通常被認為是看跌的交叉。

Overall, these patterns suggest that momentum is stalling for BTC. It now remains to be seen how the asset would develop in the coming days and if a reversal to the downside would happen.

總體而言，這些模式表明，BTC的動量正在停滯不前。現在，在接下來的幾天里以及是否會發生不利的一面是如何發展資產的情況，還有待觀察。