比特币动量可能会根据这些迹象停滞不前

一位分析师已经解释了一些与比特币有关的图表可能会说明当前运行是否会导致新的高潮。

Analyst Ali Martinez has explained some technical analysis (TA) signs that could reveal if it’s time for Bitcoin (BTC) to reach a new all-time high (ATH).

分析师阿里·马丁内斯（Ali Martinez）解释了一些技术分析（TA）的迹象，这些迹象可能揭示了比特币（BTC）达到新历史高（ATH）的时候了。

In a recent post on X, (formerly Twitter) Martinez shared three charts that suggest that the momentum for BTC may be stalling.

在最近的X上（以前是Twitter）的一篇文章中，马丁内斯分享了三张图表，表明BTC的势头可能正在停滞不前。

Parallel Channel

并行通道

The first chart highlights a TA pattern that Bitcoin has potentially been trading inside for the last few months. The pattern in question is a “Parallel Channel,” which emerges whenever an asset’s price observes consolidation between two parallel trendlines.

第一张图表强调了比特币在过去几个月内可能一直在内部进行交易的TA模式。所讨论的模式是一个“平行通道”，每当资产的价格观察到两个并行趋势线之间的合并时，它就会出现。

There are different types of Parallel Channels, but in the context of the current topic, the most ordinary version is of interest: the one with the channel parallel to the time-axis. This case naturally corresponds to a completely sideways movement from the cryptocurrency.

平行通道有不同类型的类型，但是在当前主题的上下文中，最普通的版本感兴趣：一个与时轴平行的通道。这种情况自然对应于加密货币的完全侧向运动。

From the chart, it’s visible that BTC has recently observed a rise to the upper line of the pattern. During previous retests, the coin ended up finding rejection at this mark. Thus, it’s possible that it may also face resistance here during the current retest.

从图表来看，BTC最近观察到图案上线的上升是可以看到的。在先前的重新测试期间，硬币最终在此标记处发现拒绝。因此，在当前重新测试期间，它可能也可能在这里遇到阻力。

RSI Divergence

RSI差异

As is visible from the second graph, the RSI has shown divergence from the Bitcoin price recently. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) here refers to an indicator that keeps track of the speed and magnitude of changes that the asset’s price has witnessed recently. This metric is generally used for judging overpriced and underpriced conditions for the token.

从第二个图中可以看到，RSI最近显示出与比特币价格的差异。这里的相对强度指数（RSI）是指一个指标，该指标可以跟踪资产价格最近见证的变化的速度和幅度。该指标通常用于判断代币定价过高和价格低廉的条件。

BTC’s RSI formed a peak in the overbought region earlier in the month, but while the price has gone up since then, the indicator has only managed to form a smaller peak. This type of divergence between the asset and the RSI is often considered to be a bearish signal.

BTC的RSI在本月早些时候在超额购买区域中形成了一个高峰，但自那时以来的价格上涨，指标仅设法形成了一个较小的高峰。资产和RSI之间的这种差异通常被认为是看跌信号。

MACD Crossover

MACD跨界

Lastly, there is also a bearish development in the MACD, displayed in the third chart. The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is another TA indicator that’s used for gauging momentum.

最后，MACD中还显示了第三张图表中的看跌开发。移动平均值收敛/发散（MACD）是用于测量动量的另一个TA指标。

It involves two lines: the MACD line calculated by taking the difference between the 12-day and 26-day exponential moving averages (EMAs) of the price and the signal line determined as the 9-day EMA of the MACD line. Recently, the MACD line for Bitcoin has dipped under the signal line, which is usually considered as a bearish crossover.

它涉及两条线：MACD线是通过将价格的12天和26天的指数移动平均值（EMA）和信号线确定为MACD线的9天EMA所计算的。最近，比特币的MACD系列已下降到信号线下，通常被认为是看跌的交叉。

Overall, these patterns suggest that momentum is stalling for BTC. It now remains to be seen how the asset would develop in the coming days and if a reversal to the downside would happen.

总体而言，这些模式表明，BTC的动量正在停滞不前。现在，在接下来的几天里以及是否会发生不利的一面是如何发展资产的情况，还有待观察。