在聯準會的影響下，比特幣的宏觀相關性推動價格走勢

比特幣與宏觀經濟事件的關聯越來越緊密，特別是聯準會的利率決策。儘管市場預計將出現重大突破，但其時機存在分歧。在有利的通膨數據發布後，BTC 暴漲 7.5%，凸顯其對宏觀事件的敏感度。

Bitcoin's Growing Correlation to Macroeconomic Events Impacts Price Trajectory

比特幣與宏觀經濟事件的相關性日益增強，影響著價格軌跡

New York, NY, [Date] - Bitcoin (BTC), the world's leading cryptocurrency, has exhibited a notable correlation with macroeconomic events, particularly Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decisions. This correlation has intensified recently, as evidenced by Bitcoin's price rally following the release of lower-than-expected US inflation data.

紐約州紐約，[日期] - 比特幣 (BTC) 作為世界領先的加密貨幣，與宏觀經濟事件，特別是美聯儲 (Fed) 的利率決策表現出顯著的相關性。這種相關性最近加劇，美國通膨數據低於預期後比特幣價格上漲就證明了這一點。

Rob Hadick, General Partner at crypto-venture firm Dragonfly, has described Bitcoin as a "macro" asset, suggesting that its price movements are influenced by the availability of liquidity in the market. Hadick further explains that any significant event impacting liquidity, such as quantitative easing, balance sheet reductions, or Fed rate decisions, will have a corresponding impact on the cryptocurrency's price.

加密創投公司 Dragonfly 的普通合夥人 Rob Hadick 將比特幣描述為「宏觀」資產，表明其價格走勢受到市場流動性可用性的影響。哈迪克進一步解釋說，任何影響流動性的重大事件，例如量化寬鬆、資產負債表縮減或聯準會利率決定，都會對加密貨幣的價格產生相應的影響。

According to data from CoinShares, the correlation between BTC and macroeconomic events, particularly Fed rate decisions, has strengthened recently, coinciding with a decline in inflows into new US spot BTC ETFs. Several market observers attribute Bitcoin's subdued price action over the past few weeks to a slowdown in overall liquidity. Crypto-analyst Jamie Coutts notes that while global liquidity is trending upwards, momentum has been flat.

CoinShares 的數據顯示，比特幣與宏觀經濟事件（尤其是聯準會利率決定）之間的相關性最近有所加強，同時美國新現貨 BTC ETF 的流入量也在下降。一些市場觀察家將過去幾週比特幣價格走勢低迷歸因於整體流動性放緩。加密貨幣分析師 Jamie Coutts 指出，雖然全球流動性呈上升趨勢，但動能一直持平。

Willy Woo, a prominent Bitcoin analyst, has projected a liquidity-driven breakout for the cryptocurrency in October 2024. Woo's analysis is based on the formation of a bullish ascending triangle pattern in global liquidity.

著名比特幣分析師 Willy Woo 預計，該加密貨幣將在 2024 年 10 月出現流動性驅動的突破。

"International liquidity forming a bullish ascending triangle. Anticipated breakout before Oct 2024. #Bitcoin 2025 shall be one for the file books." - Willy Woo

“國際流動性形成看漲上升三角形。預計 2024 年 10 月之前突破。#Bitcoin 2025 將成為歷史記錄之一。” - 吳威利

Woo's forecast suggests that BTC may continue its current consolidation phase, within a range of $60,000 to $72,000, until the projected liquidity breakout in early autumn 2024. This timeline differs from the predictions of Mike Novogratz, Founder of Galaxy Digital, who anticipates a range breakout by the end of Q2 2023.

Woo 的預測表明，BTC 可能會繼續當前的盤整階段，在60,000 美元至72,000 美元的範圍內，直到預計的2024 年初秋流動性突破。者預計會出現區間突破到 2023 年第二季末。

Philip Swift, founder of the analysis platform Look Into Bitcoin, has also weighed in on the cryptocurrency's potential price movement. Swift employs the Golden Ratio Multiplier (GR Multiplier) to gauge short and long-term price projections based on Bitcoin's adoption curve and market cycles.

分析平台 Look Into Bitcoin 的創辦人 Philip Swift 也對加密貨幣的潛在價格趨勢發表了看法。 Swift 採用黃金比例乘數（GR Multiplier）根據比特幣的採用曲線和市場週期來衡量短期和長期價格預測。

"The GR Multiplier did an excellent job in Bitcoin's adoption phase. We're now getting into a new phase (supercycle?! kek)" - Philip Swift

「GR 乘數在比特幣採用階段表現出色。我們現在正在進入一個新階段（超級週期？！kek）」- Philip Swift

Swift believes that the current GR Multiplier 'high' suggests that BTC's adoption phase is nearing completion.

Swift 認為，目前 GR 乘數的「高位」表明 BTC 的採用階段已接近完成。

"Bitcoin is coming to the tip of its Adoption progress part and getting into a extra mature part, built-in into international markets. See latest Bitcoin ETF's as proof." - Philip Swift

“比特幣正處於其採用進程的頂端，並進入一個更加成熟的階段，融入國際市場。請參閱最新的比特幣 ETF 作為證明。” ——菲利普‧史威夫特

Overall, analysts anticipate a breakout from Bitcoin's current trading range and a subsequent surge in price. However, they vary in their estimates of the timing of this breakout. In the short term, BTC may target the range high of $71,000 after flipping both the lower and higher timeframe market structures to bullish.

總體而言，分析師預計比特幣將突破當前交易區間並隨後價格飆升。然而，他們對這項突破時間的估計各不相同。短期內，在將較低和較高時間框架市場結構轉為看漲之後，BTC 可能會瞄準 71,000 美元的區間高點。

Technical Analysis

技術分析

A technical analysis of Bitcoin's price chart on the TradingView platform shows that the cryptocurrency has flipped both the lower and higher timeframe market structures to bullish. This suggests that BTC is likely to continue its upward trajectory in the near term, with the immediate target being the range high of $71,000.

TradingView 平台上對比特幣價格圖表的技術分析表明，加密貨幣已將較低和較高時間框架市場結構翻轉為看漲。這表明 BTC 可能會在短期內繼續其上行軌跡，近期目標是 71,000 美元的區間高點。

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Cryptocurrency investments are subject to high volatility and carry significant risk. Investors should conduct thorough research and due diligence before making any investment decisions.

免責聲明：本文提供的資訊僅供參考，不應被視為投資建議。加密貨幣投資波動性較大，且風險較大。投資者在做出任何投資決定之前應進行徹底的研究和盡職調查。