比特幣，美國工作和風險開/關：導航加密貨幣景觀

分析比特幣對美國就業數據和風險情緒的反應，並洞悉OnChain流和市場趨勢。

Bitcoin, US Jobs, and Risk On/Off: Navigating the Crypto Landscape

比特幣，美國工作和風險開/關：導航加密貨幣景觀

Bitcoin's price action is heavily influenced by macroeconomic factors, particularly US jobs data and the resulting risk sentiment. Let's dive into the recent trends and what they mean for the crypto market.

比特幣的價格行動受到宏觀經濟因素的嚴重影響，尤其是美國就業數據和由此產生的風險情緒。讓我們深入了解最近的趨勢及其對加密貨幣市場的意義。

Bitcoin's Brief Surge and Subsequent Reversal

比特幣的短暫湧現和隨後的逆轉

Bitcoin experienced a brief surge to $113,000 before reversing course following weaker-than-expected US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data. The August jobs report revealed only 22,000 jobs added, significantly below the forecasted 75,000. This raised the unemployment rate to 4.3% and slowed wage growth to 3.7% year-over-year.

比特幣短暫增加到$ 113,000，然後在美國非農業薪資（NFP）數據較弱之後反轉課程。 8月份的工作報告顯示，只增加了22,000個工作崗位，大大低於預測的75,000個工作崗位。這使失業率提高到4.3％，並將工資增長降低到同比3.7％。

US Jobs Data and the Fed's Next Move

美國工作數據和美聯儲的下一步行動

Weaker labor market data strengthens the argument for Federal Reserve rate cuts. With the probability of a Fed cut at 88.2%, the report suggests cooling inflationary pressures and increases the likelihood of liquidity injections. Lower rates and dollar weakness generally benefit crypto markets.

較弱的勞動力市場數據加強了對美聯儲削減稅率的論點。該報告表明，隨著美聯儲削減為88.2％的可能性，該報告表明冷卻通貨膨脹壓力並增加了流動性注射的可能性。較低的利率和美元弱點通常使加密貨幣市場受益。

Onchain Signals: Stablecoin Inflows and Open Interest

OnChain信號：Stablecoin流入和開放興趣

Onchain data indicated that the market anticipated this outcome. Stablecoin inflows into exchanges surged to over $2 billion, suggesting traders were holding liquidity in anticipation of a catalyst. Bitcoin's open interest also climbed above $80 billion, near all-time highs, indicating leveraged positions were being built.

Onchain數據表明市場預期了這一結果。 Stablecoin流入交易所的流動飆升至20億美元，這表明貿易商持有催化劑的流動性。比特幣的開放興趣也攀升到800億美元以上，這表明正在建立槓杆位置。

Is the Bitcoin Bottom In?

比特幣底部嗎？

Following the NFP release, Bitcoin initially rose but quickly reversed, dropping 1.5% after the New York session open. This pushed BTC back below $111,000. While the one-hour chart remains constructive, a decisive weekly close above $112,500 is needed to confirm a lasting market bottom.

NFP發行後，比特幣最初上升，但很快倒轉，紐約會議開放後下降了1.5％。這將BTC推遲到111,000美元以下。雖然一個小時的圖表保持建設性，但需要每週的果斷收費超過$ 112,500才能確認持久的市場底層。

Derivatives Market Sentiment

衍生品市場情緒

The derivatives market reflects the negative sentiment. Perpetual funding rates have dropped, and put options (protection against price declines) dominate call options. Over $4.5 billion in options are set to expire on Deribit, with open interest tilted towards puts around the $105,000 to $110,000 strikes.

衍生品市場反映了負面情緒。永久籌資率下降了，並將選項（針對價格下降的保護）佔據了呼叫選項。超過45億美元的期權將在Deribit上過期，開放利息傾向於105,000美元至110,000美元的罷工。

Ruvi AI: A Potential Bitcoin Mirror?

Ruvi AI：潛在的比特幣鏡子？

Interestingly, the presale of Ruvi AI (RUVI) has seen significant traction, with analysts drawing comparisons to Bitcoin's early adoption patterns. The project's rapid fundraising, growing investor base, and strategic partnerships suggest strong organic demand and market confidence. Ruvi AI's utility token within the creator economy further sets it apart.

有趣的是，Ruvi AI（Ruvi）的預售吸引了很大的吸引力，分析師對比特幣的早期採用模式進行了比較。該項目的快速籌款，不斷增長的投資者基礎以及戰略合作夥伴關係表明有機需求和市場信心。 Ruvi AI在創作者經濟中的公用事業令牌進一步將其與眾不同。

Final Thoughts

最後的想法

Bitcoin's reaction to US jobs data highlights the interconnectedness of traditional finance and the crypto market. While short-term volatility is expected, the underlying trend remains upward. Keep an eye on those weekly closes and stay informed about onchain activity. Remember, in the world of crypto, it's always an adventure! Now, if you'll excuse me, I'm off to check my portfolio… again.

比特幣對美國就業數據的反應強調了傳統金融和加密市場的相互聯繫。儘管預計短期波動率，但潛在的趨勢仍在上升。請密切關注那些每週關閉，並了解OnChain活動。請記住，在加密貨幣世界中，這始終是一次冒險！現在，如果您能原諒我，我要去檢查我的投資組合……再次。