比特币，美国工作和风险开/关：导航加密货币景观

分析比特币对美国就业数据和风险情绪的反应，并洞悉OnChain流和市场趋势。

Bitcoin, US Jobs, and Risk On/Off: Navigating the Crypto Landscape

比特币，美国工作和风险开/关：导航加密货币景观

Bitcoin's price action is heavily influenced by macroeconomic factors, particularly US jobs data and the resulting risk sentiment. Let's dive into the recent trends and what they mean for the crypto market.

比特币的价格行动受到宏观经济因素的严重影响，尤其是美国就业数据和由此产生的风险情绪。让我们深入了解最近的趋势及其对加密货币市场的意义。

Bitcoin's Brief Surge and Subsequent Reversal

比特币的短暂涌现和随后的逆转

Bitcoin experienced a brief surge to $113,000 before reversing course following weaker-than-expected US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data. The August jobs report revealed only 22,000 jobs added, significantly below the forecasted 75,000. This raised the unemployment rate to 4.3% and slowed wage growth to 3.7% year-over-year.

比特币短暂增加到$ 113,000，然后在美国非农业薪资（NFP）数据较弱之后反转课程。 8月份的工作报告显示，只增加了22,000个工作岗位，大大低于预测的75,000个工作岗位。这使失业率提高到4.3％，并将工资增长降低到同比3.7％。

US Jobs Data and the Fed's Next Move

美国工作数据和美联储的下一步行动

Weaker labor market data strengthens the argument for Federal Reserve rate cuts. With the probability of a Fed cut at 88.2%, the report suggests cooling inflationary pressures and increases the likelihood of liquidity injections. Lower rates and dollar weakness generally benefit crypto markets.

较弱的劳动力市场数据加强了对美联储削减税率的论点。该报告表明，随着美联储削减为88.2％的可能性，该报告表明冷却通货膨胀压力并增加了流动性注射的可能性。较低的利率和美元弱点通常使加密货币市场受益。

Onchain Signals: Stablecoin Inflows and Open Interest

OnChain信号：Stablecoin流入和开放兴趣

Onchain data indicated that the market anticipated this outcome. Stablecoin inflows into exchanges surged to over $2 billion, suggesting traders were holding liquidity in anticipation of a catalyst. Bitcoin's open interest also climbed above $80 billion, near all-time highs, indicating leveraged positions were being built.

Onchain数据表明市场预期了这一结果。 Stablecoin流入交易所的流动飙升至20亿美元，这表明贸易商持有催化剂的流动性。比特币的开放兴趣也攀升到800亿美元以上，这表明正在建立杠杆位置。

Is the Bitcoin Bottom In?

比特币底部吗？

Following the NFP release, Bitcoin initially rose but quickly reversed, dropping 1.5% after the New York session open. This pushed BTC back below $111,000. While the one-hour chart remains constructive, a decisive weekly close above $112,500 is needed to confirm a lasting market bottom.

NFP发行后，比特币最初上升，但很快倒转，纽约会议开放后下降了1.5％。这将BTC推迟到111,000美元以下。虽然一个小时的图表保持建设性，但需要每周的果断收费超过$ 112,500才能确认持久的市场底层。

Derivatives Market Sentiment

衍生品市场情绪

The derivatives market reflects the negative sentiment. Perpetual funding rates have dropped, and put options (protection against price declines) dominate call options. Over $4.5 billion in options are set to expire on Deribit, with open interest tilted towards puts around the $105,000 to $110,000 strikes.

衍生品市场反映了负面情绪。永久筹资率下降了，并将选项（针对价格下降的保护）占据了呼叫选项。超过45亿美元的期权将在Deribit上过期，开放利息倾向于105,000美元至110,000美元的罢工。

Ruvi AI: A Potential Bitcoin Mirror?

Ruvi AI：潜在的比特币镜子？

Interestingly, the presale of Ruvi AI (RUVI) has seen significant traction, with analysts drawing comparisons to Bitcoin's early adoption patterns. The project's rapid fundraising, growing investor base, and strategic partnerships suggest strong organic demand and market confidence. Ruvi AI's utility token within the creator economy further sets it apart.

有趣的是，Ruvi AI（Ruvi）的预售吸引了很大的吸引力，分析师对比特币的早期采用模式进行了比较。该项目的快速筹款，不断增长的投资者基础以及战略合作伙伴关系表明有机需求和市场信心。 Ruvi AI在创作者经济中的公用事业令牌进一步将其与众不同。

Final Thoughts

最后的想法

Bitcoin's reaction to US jobs data highlights the interconnectedness of traditional finance and the crypto market. While short-term volatility is expected, the underlying trend remains upward. Keep an eye on those weekly closes and stay informed about onchain activity. Remember, in the world of crypto, it's always an adventure! Now, if you'll excuse me, I'm off to check my portfolio… again.

比特币对美国就业数据的反应强调了传统金融和加密市场的相互联系。尽管预计短期波动率，但潜在的趋势仍在上升。请密切关注那些每周关闭，并了解OnChain活动。请记住，在加密货币世界中，这始终是一次冒险！现在，如果您能原谅我，我要去检查我的投资组合……再次。