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富達預測比特幣流動性不足的供應的激增。發現對價格和市場動態的潛在影響。
Bitcoin's Illiquid Supply: Fidelity's Forecast and What It Means for You
比特幣的流動性供應:保真度的預測及其對您意味著什麼
Bitcoin's future is looking interesting, with Fidelity Investments projecting a significant portion of its supply becoming illiquid. What does this mean for the average crypto enthusiast? Let's dive in.
比特幣的未來看起來很有趣,因為富達投資預測其供應的很大一部分變得不流動。這對普通加密愛好者意味著什麼?讓我們潛水。
Fidelity's Prediction: A Bitcoin Squeeze?
富達的預測:比特幣擠壓?
According to a recent Fidelity report, around 42% of Bitcoin's circulating supply—that's about 8.3 million BTC—could be locked up by 2032. Fidelity identified long-term holders and publicly-traded companies with substantial Bitcoin holdings as the main drivers of this trend. These groups consistently increase their Bitcoin stashes, reducing the available supply on the open market.
根據最近的一份富達報告,到2032年,比特幣循環供應量約為830萬BTC。這些小組始終增加他們的比特幣藏匿處,從而減少了公開市場上的可用供應。
The Illiquid Supply Effect
流動性供應效應
So, why does an illiquid supply matter? Simple: less Bitcoin available for trading could drive up the price. Fidelity estimates that by the end of 2025, these 'hodlers' could control over 28% of the total 21 million Bitcoin that will ever exist. That's a serious chunk of change!
那麼,為什麼流動性的供應量很重要?簡單:可用於交易的比特幣可能會提高價格。富達估計,到2025年底,這些“霍德爾人”可以控制有沒有存在的2100萬比特幣的28%。這是一個嚴重的變化!
Whales and Potential Sell-Offs
鯨魚和潛在的拋售
Of course, there's always a catch. The report also raises concerns about potential sell-offs by Bitcoin whales. These large holders, with Bitcoin worth hundreds of billions of dollars, could shake things up if they decide to cash out. We've already seen some whale activity recently, with significant amounts of BTC being sold.
當然,總會有一個捕獲。該報告還引起了對比特幣鯨的潛在拋售的擔憂。這些大型持有人擁有價值數千億美元的比特幣,如果他們決定兌現,他們可能會動搖。最近,我們已經看到了一些鯨魚活動,大量BTC出售。
Fidelity Exec's Bold Prediction and XRP
富達執行者的粗體預測和XRP
Back in 2021, Fidelity's Jurrien Timmer made a bold prediction: Bitcoin could hit $1 million by 2030 and possibly $1 billion by 2038. If Bitcoin were to reach such astronomical heights, altcoins like XRP would likely benefit. ChatGPT even chimed in, suggesting that if Bitcoin hits $1 billion while maintaining its current ratio with XRP, XRP could trade near $27,000. Wild, right?
早在2021年,富達的Jurrien Timmer做出了大膽的預測:到2030年,比特幣可能會達到100萬美元,到2038年可能會達到10億美元。如果比特幣要達到這樣的天文高度,那麼XRP等AltCoins可能會受益。 Chatgpt甚至陷入困境,這表明,如果比特幣在與XRP保持當前比率的同時達到了10億美元,則XRP可以交易27,000美元。狂野,對嗎?
Market Dynamics and Rate Cuts
市場動態和削減速度
The broader market environment also plays a role. Recent stock market highs and anticipated Fed rate cuts could influence Bitcoin's price. While Bitcoin has shown some indecisiveness lately, analysts suggest that a rate cut could provide a boost.
更廣泛的市場環境也起著作用。最近的股票市場高點和預期的美聯儲降低可能會影響比特幣的價格。雖然比特幣最近顯示出一些優柔寡斷,但分析師表明降低率可以提供提升。
Final Thoughts
最後的想法
Whether you're a seasoned crypto veteran or just dipping your toes in, these insights from Fidelity offer a glimpse into Bitcoin's potential future. Keep an eye on the illiquid supply, whale activity, and overall market trends. Who knows? Maybe Timmer's $1 billion Bitcoin prediction isn't so far-fetched after all. Happy hodling!
無論您是經驗豐富的加密貨幣退伍軍人,還是只是浸入腳趾,Fidelity的這些見解都可以瞥見比特幣潛在的未來。密切關注流動性不足的供應,鯨魚活動和整體市場趨勢。誰知道?也許蒂默(Timmer)的10億美元比特幣預測畢竟並沒有牽強。快樂的霍德林!
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