比特币的流动性供应：保真度的预测及其对您意味着什么

富达预测比特币流动性不足的供应的激增。发现对价格和市场动态的潜在影响。

Bitcoin's Illiquid Supply: Fidelity's Forecast and What It Means for You

比特币的流动性供应：保真度的预测及其对您意味着什么

Bitcoin's future is looking interesting, with Fidelity Investments projecting a significant portion of its supply becoming illiquid. What does this mean for the average crypto enthusiast? Let's dive in.

比特币的未来看起来很有趣，因为富达投资预测其供应的很大一部分变得不流动。这对普通加密爱好者意味着什么？让我们潜水。

Fidelity's Prediction: A Bitcoin Squeeze?

富达的预测：比特币挤压？

According to a recent Fidelity report, around 42% of Bitcoin's circulating supply—that's about 8.3 million BTC—could be locked up by 2032. Fidelity identified long-term holders and publicly-traded companies with substantial Bitcoin holdings as the main drivers of this trend. These groups consistently increase their Bitcoin stashes, reducing the available supply on the open market.

根据最近的一份富达报告，到2032年，比特币循环供应量约为830万BTC。这些小组始终增加他们的比特币藏匿处，从而减少了公开市场上的可用供应。

The Illiquid Supply Effect

流动性供应效应

So, why does an illiquid supply matter? Simple: less Bitcoin available for trading could drive up the price. Fidelity estimates that by the end of 2025, these 'hodlers' could control over 28% of the total 21 million Bitcoin that will ever exist. That's a serious chunk of change!

那么，为什么流动性的供应量很重要？简单：可用于交易的比特币可能会提高价格。富达估计，到2025年底，这些“霍德尔人”可以控制有没有存在的2100万比特币的28％。这是一个严重的变化！

Whales and Potential Sell-Offs

鲸鱼和潜在的抛售

Of course, there's always a catch. The report also raises concerns about potential sell-offs by Bitcoin whales. These large holders, with Bitcoin worth hundreds of billions of dollars, could shake things up if they decide to cash out. We've already seen some whale activity recently, with significant amounts of BTC being sold.

当然，总会有一个捕获。该报告还引起了对比特币鲸的潜在抛售的担忧。这些大型持有人拥有价值数千亿美元的比特币，如果他们决定兑现，他们可能会动摇。最近，我们已经看到了一些鲸鱼活动，大量BTC出售。

Fidelity Exec's Bold Prediction and XRP

富达执行者的粗体预测和XRP

Back in 2021, Fidelity's Jurrien Timmer made a bold prediction: Bitcoin could hit $1 million by 2030 and possibly $1 billion by 2038. If Bitcoin were to reach such astronomical heights, altcoins like XRP would likely benefit. ChatGPT even chimed in, suggesting that if Bitcoin hits $1 billion while maintaining its current ratio with XRP, XRP could trade near $27,000. Wild, right?

早在2021年，富达的Jurrien Timmer做出了大胆的预测：到2030年，比特币可能会达到100万美元，到2038年可能会达到10亿美元。如果比特币要达到这样的天文高度，那么XRP等AltCoins可能会受益。 Chatgpt甚至陷入困境，这表明，如果比特币在与XRP保持当前比率的同时达到了10亿美元，则XRP可以交易27,000美元。狂野，对吗？

Market Dynamics and Rate Cuts

市场动态和削减速度

The broader market environment also plays a role. Recent stock market highs and anticipated Fed rate cuts could influence Bitcoin's price. While Bitcoin has shown some indecisiveness lately, analysts suggest that a rate cut could provide a boost.

更广泛的市场环境也起着作用。最近的股票市场高点和预期的美联储降低可能会影响比特币的价格。虽然比特币最近显示出一些优柔寡断，但分析师表明降低率可以提供提升。

Final Thoughts

最后的想法

Whether you're a seasoned crypto veteran or just dipping your toes in, these insights from Fidelity offer a glimpse into Bitcoin's potential future. Keep an eye on the illiquid supply, whale activity, and overall market trends. Who knows? Maybe Timmer's $1 billion Bitcoin prediction isn't so far-fetched after all. Happy hodling!

无论您是经验丰富的加密货币退伍军人，还是只是浸入脚趾，Fidelity的这些见解都可以瞥见比特币潜在的未来。密切关注流动性不足的供应，鲸鱼活动和整体市场趋势。谁知道？也许蒂默（Timmer）的10亿美元比特币预测毕竟并没有牵强。快乐的霍德林！