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自從4月下降到75,000美元以下以來,比特幣在漲幅超過40%以上以上的交易超過104,000美元以來,進行了令人印象深刻的複出。
Bitcoin has staged an impressive comeback since plunging below $75,000 in April, now trading above $104,000 after a more than 40% surge.
自從4月下降到75,000美元以下以來,比特幣在漲幅超過40%以上以上的交易超過104,000美元以來,進行了令人印象深刻的複出。
But with momentum building, some analysts believe the rally is just getting started. One lesser known market watcher known as Mr. Wall Street has laid out a bold prediction: Bitcoin could yet hit $200,000 before this market cycle concludes.
但是,隨著動力的建設,一些分析師認為集會才剛剛開始。一位鮮為人知的市場觀察家被稱為華爾街先生,提出了一個大膽的預測:在這個市場週期結束之前,比特幣可能會達到200,000美元。
According to his analysis shared on social media, two key dynamics are driving the current run. First, a reported shortage of Bitcoin at over-the-counter (OTC) desks has forced institutional players to turn to public exchanges, triggering a sharp increase in demand and price.
根據他在社交媒體上分享的分析,兩個關鍵動態正在推動當前的運行。首先,據報導,非處方(OTC)辦公桌上的比特幣短缺迫使機構參與者轉向公共交流,從而引發了需求和價格的急劇上升。
Second, growing investor anxiety around macroeconomic factors — particularly changes to U.S. tariffs — has reignited interest in gold. Historically, Mr. Wall Street notes, a spike in gold investments has foreshadowed capital flowing into Bitcoin with a lag of about three months. Given gold’s significantly larger market cap, even a small shift in capital toward crypto can create disproportionate price movement in BTC.
其次,對宏觀經濟因素(尤其是對美國關稅的變化)的焦慮不斷增長,引起了人們對黃金的興趣。 Wall Street先生指出,黃金投資的飆升預示了大約三個月的資本資本流入比特幣。鑑於黃金的市值明顯更大,即使將資本轉向加密貨幣也可能導致BTC的價格不成比例。
This inflow trend is expected to continue playing out over the next few months, driving Bitcoin toward the $150,000–$180,000 range by the fall. The $200,000 level, in his view, would likely become the psychological ceiling for the cycle — similar to how the $100K mark acted in the past. After hitting that peak, the market could see a correction as early investors begin to lock in profits.
預計這種流入趨勢將在接下來的幾個月中繼續發揮作用,到秋季,將比特幣推向了15萬美元至180,000美元的範圍。在他看來,耗資200,000美元的水平可能會成為該週期的心理上限,類似於$ 10萬美元的商標過去的行為。達到高峰之後,隨著早期投資者開始鎖定利潤,市場可能會進行更正。
The projected post-peak phase includes a potential retracement of 50% to 70%, bringing BTC back toward $100,000 or even below. While such a drop may sound alarming, the analyst frames it as a typical and healthy part of the long-term market rhythm. For seasoned investors, that correction could present the next major accumulation window.
預計的峰值階段包括50%至70%的潛在回波,將BTC帶回了100,000美元甚至低於以下。儘管這樣的下降聽起來令人震驚,但分析師將其視為長期市場節奏的典型和健康的一部分。對於經驗豐富的投資者來說,這種更正可能會呈現下一個主要的積累窗口。
This outlook is one of the more ambitious among current projections, but it underscores how sentiment has shifted in recent weeks — from short-term recovery to renewed belief in Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory.
這種前景是當前預測中最雄心勃勃的觀點之一,但它強調了最近幾週的情感轉變 - 從短期恢復到對比特幣長期軌蹟的新信念。
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