Bitcoin Could Hit $200K Before Cycle Ends, Analyst Predicts

Bitcoin has staged an impressive comeback since plunging below $75,000 in April, now trading above $104,000 after a more than 40% surge.

Bitcoin has staged an impressive comeback since plunging below $75,000 in April, now trading above $104,000 after a more than 40% surge.

But with momentum building, some analysts believe the rally is just getting started. One lesser known market watcher known as Mr. Wall Street has laid out a bold prediction: Bitcoin could yet hit $200,000 before this market cycle concludes.

According to his analysis shared on social media, two key dynamics are driving the current run. First, a reported shortage of Bitcoin at over-the-counter (OTC) desks has forced institutional players to turn to public exchanges, triggering a sharp increase in demand and price.

Second, growing investor anxiety around macroeconomic factors — particularly changes to U.S. tariffs — has reignited interest in gold. Historically, Mr. Wall Street notes, a spike in gold investments has foreshadowed capital flowing into Bitcoin with a lag of about three months. Given gold’s significantly larger market cap, even a small shift in capital toward crypto can create disproportionate price movement in BTC.

This inflow trend is expected to continue playing out over the next few months, driving Bitcoin toward the $150,000–$180,000 range by the fall. The $200,000 level, in his view, would likely become the psychological ceiling for the cycle — similar to how the $100K mark acted in the past. After hitting that peak, the market could see a correction as early investors begin to lock in profits.

The projected post-peak phase includes a potential retracement of 50% to 70%, bringing BTC back toward $100,000 or even below. While such a drop may sound alarming, the analyst frames it as a typical and healthy part of the long-term market rhythm. For seasoned investors, that correction could present the next major accumulation window.

This outlook is one of the more ambitious among current projections, but it underscores how sentiment has shifted in recent weeks — from short-term recovery to renewed belief in Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory.