比特幣減半倒數：分析師預測「彈道式」價格走勢

The countdown to Bitcoin's (BTC) highly anticipated halving event has begun, and top crypto analyst Willy Woo has made a bold prediction. In a recent tweet, Woo highlighted the significant impact the halving could have on Bitcoin's price, suggesting that the leading coin could go "ballistic" once the event takes place.

年度供應成長大幅下降市場影響廣告備受期待的比特幣（BTC）減半事件已經開始倒數計時，頂級加密貨幣分析師 Willy Woo 做出了大膽的預測。在最近的一條推文中，Woo 強調了減半可能對比特幣價格產生的重大影響，暗示一旦事件發生，領先的代幣可能會「爆發」。

Bitcoin halving is a preprogrammed event that occurs approximately every four years, or after every 210,000 blocks are mined. During this event, the reward that miners receive for verifying transactions and adding them to the blockchain is halved. This reduction in mining rewards is designed to control inflation and ensure that the total supply of BTC remains limited to 21 million coins.

比特幣減半是一個預先編程的事件，大約每四年發生一次，或每開採 210,000 個區塊後發生一次。在此活動期間，礦工驗證交易並將其添加到區塊鏈中獲得的獎勵將減半。挖礦獎勵的減少旨在控制通貨膨脹並確保 BTC 的總供應量仍限制在 2,100 萬枚。

Major drop in annual supply growth

According to Woo's analysis, the upcoming halving will lead to a dramatic reduction in Bitcoin's annual supply growth. Currently, the annual supply growth rate stands at 1.7%. However, after the halving, this rate will be cut in half to just 0.85%. To put this into perspective, Woo pointed out that gold's annual supply growth rate is 1.6%, meaning that BTC will soon have a lower supply growth rate than gold.

年度供應增長大幅下降根據 Woo 的分析，即將到來的減半將導致比特幣年度供應增長大幅下降。目前，年供應成長率為1.7%。然而，減半後，這一比率將減半至僅 0.85%。 Woo指出，黃金的年供應成長率為1.6%，這意味著BTC的供應成長率很快就會低於黃金。

Woo also compared Bitcoin's supply growth rate to that of the U.S. dollar (USD), which is currently experiencing a negative growth rate of -1.7% due to inflation. He noted that the normal range for annual supply growth in fiat currencies is between 5% and 10%. When the USD supply growth reverts to this normal range, Woo predicts that Bitcoin's price will go "ballistic."

— Willy Woo (@woonomic) 2024 年 4 月 9 日 Woo 也將比特幣的供應增長率與美元 (USD) 的供應增長率進行了比較，美元目前由於通貨膨脹而出現 -1.7% 的負增長率。他指出，法定貨幣的年度供應成長的正常範圍在 5% 至 10% 之間。當美元供應成長恢復到正常範圍時，Woo 預測比特幣的價格將「暴漲」。

Market implications

The halving event is widely viewed as a bullish indicator for BTC, as it reduces the rate at which new coins are introduced into circulation. This scarcity is often associated with increased demand and upward pressure on prices. Woo's prediction of Bitcoin going "ballistic" following the halving shows the growing optimism among investors regarding the coin's future price trajectory.

市場影響減半事件被廣泛視為比特幣的看漲指標，因為它降低了新幣進入流通的速度。這種稀缺性往往與需求增加和物價上漲壓力有關。吳對比特幣在減半後將「爆發」的預測表明，投資者對該幣未來的價格軌跡越來越樂觀。

While Woo's prediction is certainly optimistic, other analysts and experts in the space have also expressed bullish sentiment about Bitcoin's prospects post-halving. Many believe that the reduced supply growth, combined with increasing adoption and institutional interest, could propel Bitcoin to new all-time highs in the coming months.

雖然吳的預測當然是樂觀的，但該領域的其他分析師和專家也表達了對比特幣減半後前景的看漲情緒。許多人認為，供應量成長的減少，加上採用率和機構興趣的增加，可能會在未來幾個月推動比特幣創下歷史新高。