比特币减半倒计时：分析师预测“弹道式”价格走势

The countdown to Bitcoin's (BTC) highly anticipated halving event has begun, and top crypto analyst Willy Woo has made a bold prediction. In a recent tweet, Woo highlighted the significant impact the halving could have on Bitcoin's price, suggesting that the leading coin could go "ballistic" once the event takes place.

年度供应增长大幅下降市场影响广告备受期待的比特币（BTC）减半事件已经开始倒计时，顶级加密货币分析师 Willy Woo 做出了大胆的预测。在最近的一条推文中，Woo 强调了减半可能对比特币价格产生的重大影响，暗示一旦事件发生，领先的代币可能会“爆发”。

Bitcoin halving is a preprogrammed event that occurs approximately every four years, or after every 210,000 blocks are mined. During this event, the reward that miners receive for verifying transactions and adding them to the blockchain is halved. This reduction in mining rewards is designed to control inflation and ensure that the total supply of BTC remains limited to 21 million coins.

比特币减半是一个预先编程的事件，大约每四年发生一次，或者每开采 210,000 个区块后发生一次。在此活动期间，矿工验证交易并将其添加到区块链中获得的奖励将减半。挖矿奖励的减少旨在控制通货膨胀并确保 BTC 的总供应量仍限制在 2100 万枚。

Major drop in annual supply growth

According to Woo's analysis, the upcoming halving will lead to a dramatic reduction in Bitcoin's annual supply growth. Currently, the annual supply growth rate stands at 1.7%. However, after the halving, this rate will be cut in half to just 0.85%. To put this into perspective, Woo pointed out that gold's annual supply growth rate is 1.6%, meaning that BTC will soon have a lower supply growth rate than gold.

年度供应增长大幅下降根据 Woo 的分析，即将到来的减半将导致比特币年度供应增长大幅下降。目前，年供应增长率为1.7%。然而，减半后，这一比率将减半至仅 0.85%。 Woo指出，黄金的年供应增长率为1.6%，这意味着BTC的供应增长率很快就会低于黄金。

Woo also compared Bitcoin's supply growth rate to that of the U.S. dollar (USD), which is currently experiencing a negative growth rate of -1.7% due to inflation. He noted that the normal range for annual supply growth in fiat currencies is between 5% and 10%. When the USD supply growth reverts to this normal range, Woo predicts that Bitcoin's price will go "ballistic."

— Willy Woo (@woonomic) 2024 年 4 月 9 日 Woo 还将比特币的供应增长率与美元 (USD) 的供应增长率进行了比较，美元目前由于通货膨胀而出现 -1.7% 的负增长率。他指出，法定货币的年度供应增长的正常范围在 5% 至 10% 之间。当美元供应增长恢复到正常范围时，Woo 预测比特币的价格将“暴涨”。

Market implications

The halving event is widely viewed as a bullish indicator for BTC, as it reduces the rate at which new coins are introduced into circulation. This scarcity is often associated with increased demand and upward pressure on prices. Woo's prediction of Bitcoin going "ballistic" following the halving shows the growing optimism among investors regarding the coin's future price trajectory.

市场影响减半事件被广泛视为比特币的看涨指标，因为它降低了新币进入流通的速度。这种稀缺性往往与需求增加和价格上涨压力有关。吴对比特币在减半后将“爆发”的预测表明，投资者对该币未来的价格轨迹越来越乐观。

While Woo's prediction is certainly optimistic, other analysts and experts in the space have also expressed bullish sentiment about Bitcoin's prospects post-halving. Many believe that the reduced supply growth, combined with increasing adoption and institutional interest, could propel Bitcoin to new all-time highs in the coming months.

虽然吴的预测当然是乐观的，但该领域的其他分析师和专家也表达了对比特币减半后前景的看涨情绪。许多人认为，供应量增长的减少，加上采用率和机构兴趣的增加，可能会在未来几个月推动比特币创下历史新高。