比特幣眼睛有史以來新高？本週的活動可能是觸發

在花費時間合併約74,000美元左右後，BTC的價格飆升至近97,000美元，增長了30％以上。

The price of Bitcoin (BTC) has surged recently, and one analyst believes that it could be headed for a new all-time high if certain conditions fall into place.

比特幣（BTC）的價格最近飆升，一位分析師認為，如果某些條件到位，它可能會進入新的歷史最高水平。

This week will see a number of macroeconomic events that could influence the BTC price action, according to Crypto Patel.

Crypto Patel表示，本週將看到許多可能影響BTC價格行動的宏觀經濟事件。

"Huge week w/implications for crypto! We've got the FOMC meeting on Wednesday (no surprises expected, but Jerome Powell's tone on future rate cuts will be crucial). Also, keep an eye on 10yr/30yr Treasury auctions & Fed's balance sheet update—shapes investor sentiment & sets the tone for risk assets like #Bitcoin.

“對加密貨幣的影響很大！我們在周三舉行了FOMC會議（預計並不令人驚訝，但是杰羅姆·鮑威爾（Jerome Powell）對未來稅率的基調至關重要）。此外，請密切關注10歲/30歲的財政部拍賣和美聯儲資產負債表更新，形象投資者的情緒和諸如#BitCoin之類的風險收藏的基調。

…

"Finally, direct chain data-wise, ETH stablecoin activity is steadily rising & Solana chain revenue is showing strength (notable considering the recent DeFi frenzy). Overall, broader crypto market is picking up pace. Excited to see what the coming weeks hold, especially w/impressive price action in #BTC. If history rhymes, we might be seeing the early stages of a move as high as $134k. Interesting times ahead!"

“最後，直接鏈條數據，ETH StableCoin的活動正在穩步上升，Solana Chain收入顯示出強度（考慮到最近的Defi Frenzy）。總的來說，更廣泛的加密市場正在加快速度。很高興看到即將到來的幾週的成績，尤其是在#BTC中的令人印象深刻的價格行動。

This week will see the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) hold its meeting and make a decision on interest rates. Most analysts expect that the Fed will keep rates unchanged, with over 97% probability according to economists polled by TipRanks.

本週將使聯邦公開市場委員會（FOMC）舉行會議並就利率做出決定。大多數分析師預計，美聯儲將使利率保持不變，根據Tipranks的經濟學家的說法，概率超過97％。

However, what matters more to market participants is how Jerome Powell will frame the outlook and what hints he will provide about future moves.

但是，更重要的是，杰羅姆·鮑威爾（Jerome Powell）將如何構建前景以及他將為未來舉動提供什麼提示。

The markets tend to react more to Powell's tone and signals than to the actual rate decision, and the crypto space is no exception.

與實際利率決策相比，市場對鮑威爾的語氣和信號的反應更大，而加密空間也不例外。

As for other tidbits of data, there's a lot of anticipation around the 10-year and 30-year Treasury auctions, which could influence investor sentiment toward risk assets like Bitcoin.

至於其他數據，在10年和30年的國庫拍賣會上有很多期待，這可能會影響投資者對比特幣等風險資產的情緒。

Also, any updates on the Fed's balance sheet will be closely monitored, as they can indicate the central bank's broader economic plans.

同樣，美聯儲資產負債表上的任何更新都將受到密切監控，因為它們可以表明中央銀行的更廣泛的經濟計劃。

On the blockchain side, Patel highlighted the rising dominance in Ethereum's stablecoin activity and Solana's strong performance in chain revenue.

在區塊鏈方面，帕特爾強調了以太坊的Stablecoin活動和Solana在連鎖收入方面的出色表現。

This signals that the broader crypto market is gaining momentum, which could further boost Bitcoin.

這表明更廣泛的加密市場正在獲得動力，這可以進一步提高比特幣。

Patel is particularly interested in Bitcoin, noting that if history repeats itself, then BTC could rally as high as $134,000.

帕特爾（Patel）對比特幣特別感興趣，並指出如果歷史重演，那麼BTC可能會高達134,000美元。

This belief stems from observing Bitcoin's historical halving cycles. Each time a halving occurs, which reduces the new supply of BTC, the price tends to go on a major rally within the following 40 to 50 weeks.

這種信念源於觀察比特幣的歷史減半週期。每次發生減半，減少了BTC的新供應，價格往往會在接下來的40至50週內進行重大集會。

The most recent halving happened in April 2024. If the past is any guide, then we're now entering the window where the rally typically starts to accelerate.

最近的減半發生在2024年4月。如果過去是任何指南，那麼我們現在進入集會通常開始加速的窗戶。

Moreover, there's also the institutional factor. Bitcoin spot ETFs have brought in fresh demand from large investors, and that new wave of capital is creating stronger buying pressure.

此外，還有機構因素。比特幣現貨ETF帶來了大型投資者的新需求，而新的資本浪潮正在造成更大的購買壓力。

Overall, with the macroeconomic backdrop setting the stage and the blockchain data showing signs of promise, Patel believes that the conditions are falling into place for Bitcoin to continue surging and potentially reach new all-time highs.

總體而言，隨著宏觀經濟背景設定了舞台，區塊鏈數據顯示了承諾的跡象，帕特爾認為，比特幣繼續飆升並有可能達到新的歷史最高高點，情況正處於適當的狀態。