比特币眼睛有史以来新高？本周的活动可能是触发

在花费时间合并约74,000美元左右后，BTC的价格飙升至近97,000美元，增长了30％以上。

The price of Bitcoin (BTC) has surged recently, and one analyst believes that it could be headed for a new all-time high if certain conditions fall into place.

比特币（BTC）的价格最近飙升，一位分析师认为，如果某些条件到位，它可能会进入新的历史最高水平。

This week will see a number of macroeconomic events that could influence the BTC price action, according to Crypto Patel.

Crypto Patel表示，本周将看到许多可能影响BTC价格行动的宏观经济事件。

"Huge week w/implications for crypto! We've got the FOMC meeting on Wednesday (no surprises expected, but Jerome Powell's tone on future rate cuts will be crucial). Also, keep an eye on 10yr/30yr Treasury auctions & Fed's balance sheet update—shapes investor sentiment & sets the tone for risk assets like #Bitcoin.

“对加密货币的影响很大！我们在周三举行了FOMC会议（预计并不令人惊讶，但是杰罗姆·鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）对未来税率的基调至关重要）。此外，请密切关注10岁/30岁的财政部拍卖和美联储资产负债表更新，形象投资者的情绪和诸如#BitCoin之类的风险收藏的基调。

…

"Finally, direct chain data-wise, ETH stablecoin activity is steadily rising & Solana chain revenue is showing strength (notable considering the recent DeFi frenzy). Overall, broader crypto market is picking up pace. Excited to see what the coming weeks hold, especially w/impressive price action in #BTC. If history rhymes, we might be seeing the early stages of a move as high as $134k. Interesting times ahead!"

“最后，直接链条数据，ETH StableCoin的活动正在稳步上升，Solana Chain收入显示出强度（考虑到最近的Defi Frenzy）。总的来说，更广泛的加密市场正在加快速度。很高兴看到即将到来的几周的成绩，尤其是在#BTC中的令人印象深刻的价格行动。

This week will see the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) hold its meeting and make a decision on interest rates. Most analysts expect that the Fed will keep rates unchanged, with over 97% probability according to economists polled by TipRanks.

本周将使联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）举行会议并就利率做出决定。大多数分析师预计，美联储将使利率保持不变，根据Tipranks的经济学家的说法，概率超过97％。

However, what matters more to market participants is how Jerome Powell will frame the outlook and what hints he will provide about future moves.

但是，更重要的是，杰罗姆·鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）将如何构建前景以及他将为未来举动提供什么提示。

The markets tend to react more to Powell's tone and signals than to the actual rate decision, and the crypto space is no exception.

与实际利率决策相比，市场对鲍威尔的语气和信号的反应更大，而加密空间也不例外。

As for other tidbits of data, there's a lot of anticipation around the 10-year and 30-year Treasury auctions, which could influence investor sentiment toward risk assets like Bitcoin.

至于其他数据，在10年和30年的国库拍卖会上有很多期待，这可能会影响投资者对比特币等风险资产的情绪。

Also, any updates on the Fed's balance sheet will be closely monitored, as they can indicate the central bank's broader economic plans.

同样，美联储资产负债表上的任何更新都将受到密切监控，因为它们可以表明中央银行的更广泛的经济计划。

On the blockchain side, Patel highlighted the rising dominance in Ethereum's stablecoin activity and Solana's strong performance in chain revenue.

在区块链方面，帕特尔强调了以太坊的Stablecoin活动和Solana在连锁收入方面的出色表现。

This signals that the broader crypto market is gaining momentum, which could further boost Bitcoin.

这表明更广泛的加密市场正在获得动力，这可以进一步提高比特币。

Patel is particularly interested in Bitcoin, noting that if history repeats itself, then BTC could rally as high as $134,000.

帕特尔（Patel）对比特币特别感兴趣，并指出如果历史重演，那么BTC可能会高达134,000美元。

This belief stems from observing Bitcoin's historical halving cycles. Each time a halving occurs, which reduces the new supply of BTC, the price tends to go on a major rally within the following 40 to 50 weeks.

这种信念源于观察比特币的历史减半周期。每次发生减半，减少了BTC的新供应，价格往往会在接下来的40至50周内进行重大集会。

The most recent halving happened in April 2024. If the past is any guide, then we're now entering the window where the rally typically starts to accelerate.

最近的减半发生在2024年4月。如果过去是任何指南，那么我们现在进入集会通常开始加速的窗户。

Moreover, there's also the institutional factor. Bitcoin spot ETFs have brought in fresh demand from large investors, and that new wave of capital is creating stronger buying pressure.

此外，还有机构因素。比特币现货ETF带来了大型投资者的新需求，而新的资本浪潮正在造成更大的购买压力。

Overall, with the macroeconomic backdrop setting the stage and the blockchain data showing signs of promise, Patel believes that the conditions are falling into place for Bitcoin to continue surging and potentially reach new all-time highs.

总体而言，随着宏观经济背景设定了舞台，区块链数据显示了承诺的迹象，帕特尔认为，比特币继续飙升并有可能达到新的历史最高高点，情况正处于适当的状态。