比特幣在市場塑造減半之前進入關鍵“危險區”

比特幣在 5 月 11 日減半事件之前進入關鍵階段。市場經歷了大幅回調，進入“危險區”，歷史模式顯示減半前回調 19.5%。隨著比特幣接近危險區回撤的終點，分析師預計到 6 月比特幣將反彈至 74,000 美元以上的新紀錄高點，這反映了市場情緒和潛在的價格波動。

Bitcoin Enters Critical Phase Ahead of Halving Event, Marking a Pivotal Juncture for Market Dynamics

比特幣在減半事件之前進入關鍵階段，標誌著市場動態的關鍵時刻

NAIROBI, Kenya (XXXX) - Bitcoin, the world's leading cryptocurrency, is poised to undergo a significant transformation as it approaches the highly anticipated halving event. This momentous occasion, scheduled to occur in the coming weeks, has historically signaled profound shifts in the cryptocurrency market.

肯亞內羅畢 (XXXX) - 比特幣作為世界領先的加密貨幣，隨著備受期待的減半事件的臨近，它即將經歷重大轉變。這一重要時刻預計將在未來幾週內發生，從歷史上看，它標誌著加密貨幣市場的深刻轉變。

The "Danger Zone": A Precursor to Price Fluctuations

「危險區」：價格波動的前兆

As the halving event draws near, Bitcoin enters a crucial phase known as the "Danger Zone." This period, identified by market analyst Rekt Capital, is characterized by substantial price retracements in the lead-up to and immediately following halving events.

隨著減半事件的臨近，比特幣進入了一個被稱為「危險區」的關鍵階段。市場分析師 Rekt Capital 指出，這段時期的特點是在減半事件之前和之後立即出現價格大幅回檔。

Rekt Capital's technical analysis reveals that Bitcoin has embarked upon a significant retracement within the "Danger Zone." This retracement, currently standing at approximately 18%, bears striking resemblance to the 19.5% retracement observed after the third halving event on March 11, 2020.

Rekt Capital 的技術分析顯示，比特幣已在「危險區域」內開始大幅回檔。目前的回撤約為 18%，與 2020 年 3 月 11 日第三次減半事件後觀察到的 19.5% 回撤驚人相似。

Historical Patterns and Market Expectations

歷史模式與市場預期

Historical price patterns of Bitcoin suggest that a substantial price surge often precedes halving events. This surge is typically driven by market participants anticipating the reduction in Bitcoin's issuance rate, which occurs during the halving process. As a result, traders often seek to capitalize on these price gains by selling their holdings at the height of the rally.

比特幣的歷史價格模式表明，價格大幅上漲往往發生在減半事件之前。這種飆升通常是由市場參與者預期比特幣發行率下降所推動的，這種情況發生在減半過程中。因此，交易者通常會在漲勢最高峰時出售所持股票，以利用這些價格上漲的機會。

Analysts believe that the current retracement phase may represent an opportunity for investors to accumulate Bitcoin at a discounted price. From a fractal perspective, Bitcoin is expected to complete its "Danger Zone" retracement and rebound towards a new record high above $74,000 by June.

分析師認為，目前的回檔階段可能是投資者以折扣價累積比特幣的機會。從分形角度來看，比特幣預計將在 6 月完成「危險區」回撤並反彈至 74,000 美元以上的新紀錄高點。

Current Price Dynamics and Market Sentiment

當前的價格動態和市場情緒

At the time of this analysis, Bitcoin is trading at $65,615.00, with a 24-hour change of -5.91%. This decline reflects the market's response to both the "Danger Zone" and the impending halving event. Despite this temporary setback, Bitcoin remains the dominant player in the cryptocurrency landscape, boasting a market capitalization of $1.29 trillion.

截至本分析時，比特幣交易價格為 65,615.00 美元，24 小時變動為 -5.91%。這種下跌反映了市場對「危險區」和即將到來的減半事件的反應。儘管出現暫時的挫折，比特幣仍然是加密貨幣領域的主導者，市值高達 1.29 兆美元。

The trading volume over the last 24 hours has surged by 44.97%, reaching $50.69 billion. This surge in activity underscores the heightened interest and speculation surrounding Bitcoin's halving event. Investors are closely monitoring market developments, recognizing the potential impact of this event on price dynamics.

過去24小時交易量飆漲44.97%，達506.9億美元。這種活動的激增凸顯了圍繞比特幣減半事件的濃厚興趣和猜測。投資者正在密切關注市場發展，並認識到這一事件對價格動態的潛在影響。

On-Chain Metrics and Network Activity

鏈上指標和網路活動

On-chain metrics provide valuable insights into Bitcoin's network activity and health. The number of Daily Active Users (DAU) has surpassed 605,400, while the number of daily transactions has approached 326,400. Furthermore, the Total Value Locked (TVL) on Bitcoin stands at $779 million.

鏈上指標提供了有關比特幣網路活動和健康狀況的寶貴見解。日活躍用戶數（DAU）已超過605,400，每日交易數接近326,400。此外，比特幣的總鎖定價值（TVL）為 7.79 億美元。

These on-chain metrics, in conjunction with Rekt Capital's analysis, paint a compelling picture of a market on the cusp of significant change. The "Danger Zone" presents a period of heightened volatility and potential price swings, offering both risks and opportunities for investors. As the halving event approaches, market participants are advised to exercise caution and make informed decisions based on thorough research and analysis.

這些鏈上指標與 Rekt Capital 的分析相結合，描繪了一幅令人信服的市場圖景，該圖景正處於重大變革的風口浪尖。 「危險區」代表了波動性加劇和潛在價格波動的時期，為投資者提供了風險和機會。隨著減半事件的臨近，建議市場參與者謹慎行事，並在充分研究和分析的基礎上做出明智的決定。