比特幣公牛運行：分析師在2025年底的Eye Peak？

分析師正處於比特幣目前牛的潛在末端，預測指向2025年底的高峰。這就是崩潰。

Bitcoin Bull Run: Analysts Eye Peak in Late 2025?

比特幣公牛運行：分析師在2025年底的Eye Peak？

Is the Bitcoin bull run nearing its grand finale? Analysts are buzzing about when the music might stop, with late 2025 being a hot topic. Let's dive into what the experts are saying.

比特幣公牛奔跑接近結局嗎？分析師正在嗡嗡作響，因為音樂何時可能停止，而2025年後期是一個熱門話題。讓我們深入了解專家在說什麼。

Rekt Capital's Perspective: A Historical View

Rekt Capital的觀點：歷史觀點

Rekt Capital, a well-known market analyst, suggests Bitcoin might be in the final stretch of its current bull cycle. Comparing the present market to past halving cycles, Rekt Capital's breakdown estimates a potential market peak between late September and mid-October 2025. This prediction is rooted in historical patterns where Bitcoin tends to peak 518 to 550 days post-halving.

著名的市場分析師Rekt Capital認為比特幣可能處於目前的牛週期的最後。將目前的市場與過去減半週期進行比較，Rekt Capital的崩潰估計了2025年9月下旬至2025年10月中旬之間的潛在市場達到頂峰。該預測植根於歷史模式，在這些模式中，比特幣傾向於在久之後518至550天峰值。

While some are hoping for a longer run into 2026, Rekt Capital cautions against straying too far from established patterns. The analyst highlights the extended reaccumulation period after the April 2024 halving as a key characteristic of this cycle, necessary to offset earlier gains.

雖然有些人希望能長期持續到2026年，但Rekt Capital警告不希望與既定模式相處太遠。分析師強調了2024年4月後的延長重新計算期，這是該週期的關鍵特徵，這是抵消早期收益所必需的。

Navigating the Final Phase

導航最後階段

Even with Bitcoin consolidating near its all-time high, Rekt Capital points out that similar slowdowns or “price discovery corrections” have occurred in past cycles (2017 and 2021). These phases often precede a surge in momentum leading to the bull market's climax.

Rekt Capital即使比特幣鞏固的固定率接近其歷史最高，也指出，過去的周期（2017和2021年）也發生了類似的放緩或“價格發現更正”。這些階段通常在動量激增之前，導致牛市的高潮。

However, it's crucial to remember that the risk-to-reward ratio shifts as the cycle matures. While further upside is possible, the potential gains diminish compared to the risk of a significant correction. Drawing from history, drawdowns of 60-70% have followed previous bull market peaks. Managing risk and bracing for volatility are now paramount.

但是，要記住，隨著周期的成熟，風險與獎勵比率發生了變化。儘管有可能進一步的上升空間，但與重大糾正的風險相比，潛在的收益減少了。從歷史上講，跌幅為60-70％，這是先前的牛市峰值。現在，管理風險和支撐以進行波動至關重要。

The $110,000 Battleground

110,000美元的戰場

Bitcoin's recent flirtation with $110,000 underscores the market's current tension. After briefly surpassing this level, driven by institutional buying, Bitcoin faced immediate rejection. Order books reveal substantial sell orders at $110,000, a tactic often employed to trap overly enthusiastic bulls. Analyst KillaXBT notes that market reversals often follow periods of excessive bullish sentiment.

比特幣最近以110,000美元的價格調情強調了市場當前的緊張局勢。在機構購買的驅動下，短暫超過了這個水平，比特幣立即面臨拒絕。訂單書籍顯示，賣出的賣出訂單為110,000美元，這是一種經常用於捕獲過分熱情的公牛的策略。分析師Killaxbt指出，市場逆轉通常遵循過度看漲情緒的時期。

Adding to the uncertainty, funding rates remain surprisingly flat, indicating a lack of euphoria among speculators. Vetle Lunde observes that perpetual contracts are trading at a discount to spot prices, suggesting a limited appetite for risk.

除了不確定性外，資金率仍然令人驚訝地持平，這表明投機者缺乏欣喜。 Vetle Lunde觀察到，永久合同正在以折扣價交易現貨價格，這表明風險有限。

Compressed Spring: Volatility on the Horizon

壓縮彈簧：地平線波動

Technical indicators suggest mounting tension beneath the surface. The Squeeze Momentum Indicator signals contracting volatility, akin to a compressed spring ready to explode. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers at 60, leaving room for a potential upward push without overheating. However, the Average Directional Index (ADX) sits at 12, indicating a lack of a clear trend.

技術指標表明將張力安裝在地面下。擠壓動量指示信號信號會收縮波動，類似於準備爆炸的壓縮彈簧。相對強度指數（RSI）在60處徘徊，為潛在的向上推動而沒有過熱。但是，平均方向指數（ADX）為12，表明缺乏明顯的趨勢。

Pseudonymous analyst Byzantine General speculates that a price breakout combined with rising open interest could lead to a surge towards $112,000. However, conflicting technical indicators and trader hesitation create an atmosphere of caution.

化名分析師拜占庭一般人推測，價格突破與開放興趣的上升可能會導致112,000美元的增長。但是，衝突的技術指標和交易者猶豫會引起謹慎的氛圍。

Final Thoughts

最後的想法

So, will Bitcoin peak in late 2025? Maybe. The analysts have laid out their cases, pointing to historical patterns and current market dynamics. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just dipping your toes into the crypto waters, keeping a close eye on these trends is essential. Remember, nobody can predict the future, but staying informed is always a smart move. Now, go forth and trade wisely… or just HODL and enjoy the ride!

那麼，比特幣會在2025年末達到頂峰嗎？或許。分析師提出了案件，指出了歷史模式和當前的市場動態。無論您是經驗豐富的投資者，還是只是將腳趾浸入加密貨幣水域，密切關注這些趨勢都是必不可少的。請記住，沒有人可以預測未來，但是保持知情始終是一個明智的舉動。現在，出去明智地進行交易……或者只是霍德（Hodl）享受旅程！