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即使在價格校正期間,比特幣對加密市場的主導地位仍在繼續憤怒,這強調了4月的大部分價格行動。
Many crypto investors are anticipating a full-blown altcoin season where many altcoins outperform Bitcoin altogether. This sentiment is revealed through different outlooks, especially now that the Bitcoin dominance has risen to a major rejection zone. However, Bitcoin dominance is telling a different story.
許多加密貨幣投資者預計將有一個成熟的Altcoin季節,許多Altcoins的表現完全優於比特幣。這種情緒通過不同的前景揭示出來,尤其是現在比特幣的主導地位已上升到一個重大拒絕區。但是,比特幣的主導地位講述了一個不同的故事。
Notably, Bitcoin dominance has broken back above the 63.96% region and is approaching a critical zone around 64.45%. According to crypto analyst Rekt Capital, a close above this level could suppress any hopes of an altcoin season.
值得注意的是,比特幣的優勢已經落後於63.96%的地區,並且接近64.45%的關鍵區域。根據加密分析師Rekt Capital的說法,高於此水平的接近可能會抑制Altcoin季節的任何希望。
Bitcoin Dominance Pushes Toward Key Historical Threshold
比特幣的優勢推向關鍵的歷史閾值
Bitcoin’s dominance over the crypto market has continued to rage on, even during its price correction, which has highlighted most of April’s price action. As it stands, the Bitcoin dominance is now at levels last seen in 2021, during the height of the bull rally.
即使在價格校正期間,比特幣對加密市場的主導地位仍在繼續憤怒,這強調了4月的大部分價格行動。就目前而言,在公牛拉力賽高峰期間,比特幣的優勢現在處於2021年的最後水平。
What makes the current Bitcoin dominance interesting is the consistency and duration of the trend. After breaking out of a multi-year downward channel in 2023, Bitcoin dominance has been riding a clean uptrend, supported by a strong ascending trendline. The most recent retest of the 57.68% to 59% area, marked by a black circle in the monthly BTC dominance chart below, has caused a new surge that now threatens to transform the 64% region from resistance into support.
使當前比特幣優勢有趣的是趨勢的一致性和持續時間。在2023年突破了多年的向下渠道之後,比特幣的優勢一直在升級的清潔趨勢中,並得到了強勁的上升趨勢線的支持。下面每月BTC優勢圖中以黑色圓圈為標誌的57.68%到59%的面積中的最新重新測試導致了新的激增,現在有可能將64%的地區從抵抗力轉變為支撐。
This was highlighted in a post on X, where Rekt Capital noted that the dominance is now at its highest level not seen since early 2021. Now, the onus is on whether Bitcoin’s dominance manages to close the month of April above the 64% level, and especially if it flips the level into support on a retest, as it could delay or even suppress the strength of an altcoin rally.
在X上的一篇文章中強調了這一點,Rekt Capital指出,現在的主導地位是自2021年初以來未見的最高水平。現在,關於比特幣的優勢是否設法使4月份的統治地關閉超過64%的水平,尤其是如果它會延遲又一次的強度,則尤其是在重新支撐水平上的支持。
He explained that in such a scenario, Bitcoin’s dominance uptrend would be reinforced and would likely target the next historical resistance zone near 71%, a level last reached in 2019. Such an extension in Bitcoin dominance would naturally come at the expense of altcoin market share. In short, the longer Bitcoin is dominant, the smaller the window for an altcoin season.
他解釋說,在這種情況下,比特幣的主導地位上升趨勢將得到加強,並可能針對接近71%的下一個歷史抵抗區,這是2019年的最後水平。比特幣支配地位的擴展自然會以犧牲Altcoin市場份額為代價。簡而言之,較長的比特幣是占主導地位的,山頂季節的窗口越小。
Short-Term Altcoin Window Still Possible
短期Altcoin窗口仍然可能
Rekt Capital acknowledged that a brief altcoin window could still come up if Bitcoin dominance begins to fluctuate near the 64% region. However, he warned that such a period would be marked by high volatility and likely be short-lived.
Rekt Capital承認,如果比特幣優勢在64%的地區開始波動,仍然可能會出現一個簡短的Altcoin窗口。但是,他警告說,這樣的時期將以高波動性為特徵,可能是短暫的。
At the time of writing, Bitcoin dominance is at 63.2%, having recently reached a year-high of 63.6% in the past 24 hours.
在撰寫本文時,比特幣的優勢為63.2%,最近24小時的一年高達63.6%。
A decisive monthly close in the next few days could determine the broader market structure heading into May. Altcoin holders hoping for a major rally may want to watch this chart more than any individual crypto setup, because if Bitcoin continues to dominate, the window for altcoins could be narrowing rapidly.
在接下來的幾天中,每月的決定性都可以決定到5月的更廣泛的市場結構。希望進行重大集會的Altcoin持有人可能希望比任何個人加密設置更能觀看此圖表,因為如果比特幣繼續占主導地位,那麼Altcoins的窗口可能會迅速縮小。
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