比特币的优势推向关键的历史阈值

即使在价格校正期间，比特币对加密市场的主导地位仍在继续愤怒，这强调了4月的大部分价格行动。

Many crypto investors are anticipating a full-blown altcoin season where many altcoins outperform Bitcoin altogether. This sentiment is revealed through different outlooks, especially now that the Bitcoin dominance has risen to a major rejection zone. However, Bitcoin dominance is telling a different story.

许多加密货币投资者预计将有一个成熟的Altcoin季节，许多Altcoins的表现完全优于比特币。这种情绪通过不同的前景揭示出来，尤其是现在比特币的主导地位已上升到一个重大拒绝区。但是，比特币的主导地位讲述了一个不同的故事。

Notably, Bitcoin dominance has broken back above the 63.96% region and is approaching a critical zone around 64.45%. According to crypto analyst Rekt Capital, a close above this level could suppress any hopes of an altcoin season.

值得注意的是，比特币的优势已经落后于63.96％的地区，并且接近64.45％的关键区域。根据加密分析师Rekt Capital的说法，高于此水平的接近可能会抑制Altcoin季节的任何希望。

Bitcoin Dominance Pushes Toward Key Historical Threshold

比特币的优势推向关键的历史阈值

Bitcoin’s dominance over the crypto market has continued to rage on, even during its price correction, which has highlighted most of April’s price action. As it stands, the Bitcoin dominance is now at levels last seen in 2021, during the height of the bull rally.

即使在价格校正期间，比特币对加密市场的主导地位仍在继续愤怒，这强调了4月的大部分价格行动。就目前而言，在公牛拉力赛高峰期间，比特币的优势现在处于2021年的最后水平。

What makes the current Bitcoin dominance interesting is the consistency and duration of the trend. After breaking out of a multi-year downward channel in 2023, Bitcoin dominance has been riding a clean uptrend, supported by a strong ascending trendline. The most recent retest of the 57.68% to 59% area, marked by a black circle in the monthly BTC dominance chart below, has caused a new surge that now threatens to transform the 64% region from resistance into support.

使当前比特币优势有趣的是趋势的一致性和持续时间。在2023年突破了多年的向下渠道之后，比特币的优势一直在升级的清洁趋势中，并得到了强劲的上升趋势线的支持。下面每月BTC优势图中以黑色圆圈为标志的57.68％到59％的面积中的最新重新测试导致了新的激增，现在有可能将64％的地区从抵抗力转变为支撑。

This was highlighted in a post on X, where Rekt Capital noted that the dominance is now at its highest level not seen since early 2021. Now, the onus is on whether Bitcoin’s dominance manages to close the month of April above the 64% level, and especially if it flips the level into support on a retest, as it could delay or even suppress the strength of an altcoin rally.

在X上的一篇文章中强调了这一点，Rekt Capital指出，现在的主导地位是自2021年初以来未见的最高水平。现在，关于比特币的优势是否设法使4月份的统治地关闭超过64％的水平，尤其是如果它会延迟又一次的强度，则尤其是在重新支撑水平上的支持。

He explained that in such a scenario, Bitcoin’s dominance uptrend would be reinforced and would likely target the next historical resistance zone near 71%, a level last reached in 2019. Such an extension in Bitcoin dominance would naturally come at the expense of altcoin market share. In short, the longer Bitcoin is dominant, the smaller the window for an altcoin season.

他解释说，在这种情况下，比特币的主导地位上升趋势将得到加强，并可能针对接近71％的下一个历史抵抗区，这是2019年的最后水平。比特币支配地位的扩展自然会以牺牲Altcoin市场份额为代价。简而言之，较长的比特币是占主导地位的，山顶季节的窗口越小。

Short-Term Altcoin Window Still Possible

短期Altcoin窗口仍然可能

Rekt Capital acknowledged that a brief altcoin window could still come up if Bitcoin dominance begins to fluctuate near the 64% region. However, he warned that such a period would be marked by high volatility and likely be short-lived.

Rekt Capital承认，如果比特币优势在64％的地区开始波动，仍然可能会出现一个简短的Altcoin窗口。但是，他警告说，这样的时期将以高波动性为特征，可能是短暂的。

At the time of writing, Bitcoin dominance is at 63.2%, having recently reached a year-high of 63.6% in the past 24 hours.

在撰写本文时，比特币的优势为63.2％，最近24小时的一年高达63.6％。

A decisive monthly close in the next few days could determine the broader market structure heading into May. Altcoin holders hoping for a major rally may want to watch this chart more than any individual crypto setup, because if Bitcoin continues to dominate, the window for altcoins could be narrowing rapidly.

在接下来的几天中，每月的决定性都可以决定到5月的更广泛的市场结构。希望进行重大集会的Altcoin持有人可能希望比任何个人加密设置更能观看此图表，因为如果比特币继续占主导地位，那么Altcoins的窗口可能会迅速缩小。