比特幣和狗狗幣正在朝著相同的方向移動，這可能是看跌的標誌

彭博情報局的高級商品策略師邁克·麥格隆（Mike McGlone）發現了一些有趣且可能令人擔憂的東西。他將比特幣（與黃金）的運動與

Mike McGlone, Senior Commodity Strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence, has spotted something interesting and possibly worrying. Comparing the movement of Bitcoin (vs. gold) with Dogecoin, he found that both are following nearly the same path.

彭博情報局的高級商品策略師邁克·麥格隆（Mike McGlone）發現了一些有趣且可能令人擔憂的東西。將比特幣（與黃金）的運動與狗狗幣的運動進行比較，他發現兩者都遵循幾乎相同的路徑。

But this isn’t just about matching charts. It could be a sign of a Bearish Run.

但這不僅僅是匹配圖表。這可能是看跌的標誌。

Two Different Assets, One Similar Pattern

兩個不同的資產，一種類似的模式

At first glance, Bitcoin and Dogecoin seem worlds apart. One is seen as “digital gold,” while the other started as a joke. But McGlone’s chart shows something surprising, their movements have been very similar for the past year.

乍一看，比特幣和狗狗幣似乎與眾不同。一個被視為“數字黃金”，而另一個開始開玩笑。但是麥格隆的圖表顯示出令人驚訝的東西，過去一年的動作非常相似。

Both rose sharply at the end of 2023 and reached their peaks early in 2024. Since then, both have dropped and bounced around, following the same rhythm.

兩者在2023年底都急劇上升，並於2024年初達到了高峰。從那時起，兩者都在同一節奏之後掉落並彈跳。

Right now, both the Bitcoin-to-gold ratio and Dogecoin’s price are resting on a long-term upward trendline. This support level is like a safety net.

目前，比特幣與金的比率和Dogecoin的價格都基於長期向上的趨勢線。此支持水平就像一個安全網。

But McGlone doesn’t think it will last much longer. And he believes this isn’t a sign of a new bull market, just a bounce in a longer-term bear market.

但是麥格隆認為它不會持續更長的時間。他認為這不是新牛市的標誌，只是在長期熊市中的反彈。

Also Read: Bitcoin Price Remains Above Key Level Despite U.S. Inflation Data

另請閱讀：儘管美國通貨膨脹數據，但比特幣價格仍然高於關鍵水平

Recession Fears A Drop

經濟衰退擔心

McGlone thinks things could turn worse soon, as his main reason is the U.S. stock market. Many people thought a recession would happen in 2023, but it didn’t. Now, McGlone believes the recession was only delayed, not avoided.

麥格隆認為情況可能很快會變得更糟，因為他的主要原因是美國股市。許多人認為經濟衰退會在2023年發生，但事實並非如此。現在，麥格隆認為衰退只會延遲，而不是避免。

He thinks it will still come, and when it does, risky assets like Bitcoin and Dogecoin could drop sharply.

他認為它仍然會來，當它這樣做時，像比特幣和狗狗等風險資產可能會急劇下降。

His message is clear. The recent crypto price bounce might not mean a bullish rally. It could just be a short break before prices fall again.

他的信息很清楚。最近的加密價格反彈可能並不意味著看漲的集會。在價格再次下跌之前，這可能只是短暫的休息。

Dogecoin – Bitcoin Price Update

Dogecoin - 比特幣價格更新

Dogecoin is up nearly 10% in the past 24 hours and trades around $0.1827. The popular meme coin is now aiming for the $0.1885 price level. However, it must first break above the $0.186 resistance.

在過去的24小時內，Dogecoin上漲了近10％，交易約為0.1827美元。流行的模因硬幣現在的目標是達到0.1885美元。但是，它必須首先超過0.186美元的電阻。

On the 4-hour chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has moved above 83, which suggests that Dogecoin is currently in an “overbought” zone. This usually means a short-term price correction could be on the way.

在4小時的圖表上，相對強度指數（RSI）已移至83以上，這表明Dogecoin目前處於“超買”區域。這通常意味著短期價格糾正可能會發生。

Meanwhile, Bitcoin has also shown strength, breaking above the $94,000 mark. It is up nearly 6% in the last 24 hours.

同時，比特幣也顯示出強度，超過了94,000美元的大關。在過去的24小時內增長了近6％。