比特币和狗狗币正在朝着相同的方向移动，这可能是看跌的标志

彭博情报局的高级商品策略师迈克·麦格隆（Mike McGlone）发现了一些有趣且可能令人担忧的东西。他将比特币（与黄金）的运动与

Mike McGlone, Senior Commodity Strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence, has spotted something interesting and possibly worrying. Comparing the movement of Bitcoin (vs. gold) with Dogecoin, he found that both are following nearly the same path.

彭博情报局的高级商品策略师迈克·麦格隆（Mike McGlone）发现了一些有趣且可能令人担忧的东西。将比特币（与黄金）的运动与狗狗币的运动进行比较，他发现两者都遵循几乎相同的路径。

But this isn’t just about matching charts. It could be a sign of a Bearish Run.

但这不仅仅是匹配图表。这可能是看跌的标志。

Two Different Assets, One Similar Pattern

两个不同的资产，一种类似的模式

At first glance, Bitcoin and Dogecoin seem worlds apart. One is seen as “digital gold,” while the other started as a joke. But McGlone’s chart shows something surprising, their movements have been very similar for the past year.

乍一看，比特币和狗狗币似乎与众不同。一个被视为“数字黄金”，而另一个开始开玩笑。但是麦格隆的图表显示出令人惊讶的东西，过去一年的动作非常相似。

Both rose sharply at the end of 2023 and reached their peaks early in 2024. Since then, both have dropped and bounced around, following the same rhythm.

两者在2023年底都急剧上升，并于2024年初达到了高峰。从那时起，两者都在同一节奏之后掉落并弹跳。

Right now, both the Bitcoin-to-gold ratio and Dogecoin’s price are resting on a long-term upward trendline. This support level is like a safety net.

目前，比特币与金的比率和Dogecoin的价格都基于长期向上的趋势线。此支持水平就像一个安全网。

But McGlone doesn’t think it will last much longer. And he believes this isn’t a sign of a new bull market, just a bounce in a longer-term bear market.

但是麦格隆认为它不会持续更长的时间。他认为这不是新牛市的标志，只是在长期熊市中的反弹。

Also Read: Bitcoin Price Remains Above Key Level Despite U.S. Inflation Data

另请阅读：尽管美国通货膨胀数据，但比特币价格仍然高于关键水平

Recession Fears A Drop

经济衰退担心

McGlone thinks things could turn worse soon, as his main reason is the U.S. stock market. Many people thought a recession would happen in 2023, but it didn’t. Now, McGlone believes the recession was only delayed, not avoided.

麦格隆认为情况可能很快会变得更糟，因为他的主要原因是美国股市。许多人认为经济衰退会在2023年发生，但事实并非如此。现在，麦格隆认为衰退只会延迟，而不是避免。

He thinks it will still come, and when it does, risky assets like Bitcoin and Dogecoin could drop sharply.

他认为它仍然会来，当它这样做时，像比特币和狗狗等风险资产可能会急剧下降。

His message is clear. The recent crypto price bounce might not mean a bullish rally. It could just be a short break before prices fall again.

他的信息很清楚。最近的加密价格反弹可能并不意味着看涨的集会。在价格再次下跌之前，这可能只是短暂的休息。

Dogecoin – Bitcoin Price Update

Dogecoin - 比特币价格更新

Dogecoin is up nearly 10% in the past 24 hours and trades around $0.1827. The popular meme coin is now aiming for the $0.1885 price level. However, it must first break above the $0.186 resistance.

在过去的24小时内，Dogecoin上涨了近10％，交易约为0.1827美元。流行的模因硬币现在的目标是达到0.1885美元。但是，它必须首先超过0.186美元的电阻。

On the 4-hour chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has moved above 83, which suggests that Dogecoin is currently in an “overbought” zone. This usually means a short-term price correction could be on the way.

在4小时的图表上，相对强度指数（RSI）已移至83以上，这表明Dogecoin目前处于“超买”区域。这通常意味着短期价格纠正可能会发生。

Meanwhile, Bitcoin has also shown strength, breaking above the $94,000 mark. It is up nearly 6% in the last 24 hours.

同时，比特币也显示出强度，超过了94,000美元的大关。在过去的24小时内增长了近6％。