比特幣跌破 10 萬美元：這是更大跌幅的開始嗎？

比特幣跌破10萬美元！這是一個小挫折還是更深層次麻煩的徵兆？我們詳細分析最新的市場走勢和專家意見。

Bitcoin's Dip Below $100,000: Is This the Beginning of a Bigger Fall?

比特幣跌破 10 萬美元：這是更大跌幅的開始嗎？

Bitcoin's recent stumble below the $100,000 mark has everyone on edge. Is this a fleeting dip or the start of something more serious? Let's dive into what's happening in the wild world of crypto.

比特幣最近跌破 10 萬美元大關，讓每個人都感到緊張。這是短暫的下降還是更嚴重的事情的開始？讓我們深入了解加密世界中正在發生的事情。

The Bitcoin Plunge: What Happened?

比特幣暴跌：發生了什麼？

After a long climb toward the $100,000 milestone, Bitcoin took a nosedive, dropping over 7% and breaching that psychological barrier for the first time since June. This isn't just a minor wobble; it's a 20% drop from its peak just a month prior, and the whispers of further declines are getting louder.

在長期攀升至 10 萬美元里程碑之後，比特幣暴跌，下跌超過 7%，自 6 月份以來首次突破這一心理障礙。這不僅僅是一個輕微的晃動；與一個月前的峰值相比，下降了 20%，而且有關進一步下降的傳言也越來越響亮。

Expert Opinions: Doom and Gloom?

專家觀點：厄運和悲觀？

Bloomberg reports that experts are drawing comparisons to last October's flash crash but warn that this dip could be different. Some are even suggesting Bitcoin might plummet to $90,000 or even $80,000. Options traders seem to agree, with substantial put options at the $80,000 level indicating expectations of further downside.

彭博社報導稱，專家們正在與去年 10 月的閃電崩盤進行比較，但警告說，這次下跌可能會有所不同。有些人甚至暗示比特幣可能會暴跌至 90,000 美元甚至 80,000 美元。期權交易員似乎也同意這一觀點，大量看跌期權位於 80,000 美元水平，表明市場預期還會進一步下跌。

Whale Watch: Are Big Players Selling?

鯨魚觀察：大玩家在拋售嗎？

Markus Thielen, founder of 10x Research, points out that long-term investors, including those holding significant amounts of Bitcoin (100 to 1,000 BTC), are selling off. He notes that whales aren't buying, which could prolong the decline potentially into next spring. A large sell-off, similar to the 2021-2022 bear market, might be in the cards, with a potential drop to $85,000.

10x Research 創始人 Markus Thielen 指出，長期投資者，包括那些持有大量比特幣（100 至 1,000 BTC）的投資者，正在拋售。他指出，鯨魚沒有購買，這可能會將下降趨勢延長到明年春天。可能會出現類似於 2021-2022 年熊市的大規模拋售，價格可能跌至 85,000 美元。

Spot ETF Outflows and Market Sentiment

現貨 ETF 資金流出與市場情緒

Adding fuel to the fire, Bitcoin and Ethereum Spot ETF products in the U.S. are experiencing significant outflows. Sky-high stock valuations triggered a sell-off in Wall Street which soon spilled over to the digital assets space, dampening overall market sentiment. The CMC Fear and Greed Index is also deep in “fear” territory, reflecting the anxiety among investors.

火上澆油的是，美國的比特幣和以太坊現貨 ETF 產品正在經歷大量資金外流。天價股票估值引發了華爾街的拋售，並很快蔓延到數字資產領域，削弱了整體市場情緒。 CMC恐懼與貪婪指數也深陷“恐懼”區間，反映出投資者的焦慮情緒。

Ethereum's Woes: Below the 200-Day EMA

以太坊的困境：低於 200 天均線

It's not just Bitcoin feeling the pressure. Ethereum has also taken a hit, dropping below its 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) for the first time in almost nine months. This key indicator, which usually acts as a strong support level, has been breached, signaling a weakening bullish trend.

感受到壓力的不僅僅是比特幣。以太坊也受到打擊，近九個月來首次跌破 200 天指數移動平均線 (EMA)。這一通常充當強勁支撐位的關鍵指標已被突破，表明看漲趨勢正在減弱。

A Contrarian View: Tom Lee's Enduring Optimism

逆向觀點：湯姆·李持久的樂觀主義

Despite the bearish signals, some remain optimistic. Bloomberg Senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas has defended BitMine Chairman Tom Lee's bullish predictions, emphasizing that even if Lee's exact targets are sometimes off, his overall bullish stance has paid off for investors who stayed the course. Tom Lee even forecast that Bitcoin (BTC) could surge to $3 million, noting that the coin is not capped by gold.

儘管出現了看跌信號，但一些人仍然保持樂觀。彭博社高級 ETF 分析師埃里克·巴爾丘納斯 (Eric Balchunas) 為 BitMine 董事長湯姆·李 (Tom Lee) 的看漲預測進行了辯護，他強調，即使李的具體目標有時會偏離，但他的整體看漲立場已經為堅持到底的投資者帶來了回報。 Tom Lee 甚至預測比特幣 (BTC) 可能會飆升至 300 萬美元，並指出該貨幣不受黃金的限制。

Final Thoughts: Buckle Up, Buttercup!

最後的想法：係好安全帶，毛茛！

So, where does this leave us? The crypto market is never boring, is it? Whether this Bitcoin dip is a temporary blip or the beginning of a more significant correction remains to be seen. One thing's for sure: it's time to keep a close eye on the charts, listen to the experts (but always with a grain of salt), and maybe, just maybe, buy the dip... or not! As always, do your own research, and remember, past performance is not indicative of future results. Now, if you'll excuse me, I'm off to check my portfolio... wish me luck!

那麼，這會給我們帶來什麼影響呢？加密市場永遠不會無聊，不是嗎？比特幣的下跌是暫時的現像還是更重大調整的開始還有待觀察。有一點是肯定的：是時候密切關注圖表，聽取專家的意見（但始終持保留態度），也許，只是也許，逢低買入……或者不買！一如既往，進行自己的研究，並記住，過去的表現並不代表未來的結果。現在，請原諒，我要去檢查我的投資組合......祝我好運！