比特币跌破 10 万美元：这是更大跌幅的开始吗？

比特币跌破10万美元！这是一个小挫折还是更深层次麻烦的征兆？我们详细分析最新的市场走势和专家意见。

Bitcoin's Dip Below $100,000: Is This the Beginning of a Bigger Fall?

比特币跌破 10 万美元：这是更大跌幅的开始吗？

Bitcoin's recent stumble below the $100,000 mark has everyone on edge. Is this a fleeting dip or the start of something more serious? Let's dive into what's happening in the wild world of crypto.

比特币最近跌破 10 万美元大关，让每个人都感到紧张。这是短暂的下降还是更严重的事情的开始？让我们深入了解加密世界中正在发生的事情。

The Bitcoin Plunge: What Happened?

比特币暴跌：发生了什么？

After a long climb toward the $100,000 milestone, Bitcoin took a nosedive, dropping over 7% and breaching that psychological barrier for the first time since June. This isn't just a minor wobble; it's a 20% drop from its peak just a month prior, and the whispers of further declines are getting louder.

在长期攀升至 10 万美元里程碑之后，比特币暴跌，下跌超过 7%，自 6 月份以来首次突破这一心理障碍。这不仅仅是一个轻微的晃动；与一个月前的峰值相比，下降了 20%，而且有关进一步下降的传言也越来越响亮。

Expert Opinions: Doom and Gloom?

专家观点：厄运和悲观？

Bloomberg reports that experts are drawing comparisons to last October's flash crash but warn that this dip could be different. Some are even suggesting Bitcoin might plummet to $90,000 or even $80,000. Options traders seem to agree, with substantial put options at the $80,000 level indicating expectations of further downside.

彭博社报道称，专家们正在与去年 10 月的闪电崩盘进行比较，但警告说，这次下跌可能会有所不同。有些人甚至暗示比特币可能会暴跌至 90,000 美元甚至 80,000 美元。期权交易员似乎也同意这一观点，大量看跌期权位于 80,000 美元水平，表明市场预期还会进一步下跌。

Whale Watch: Are Big Players Selling?

鲸鱼观察：大玩家在抛售吗？

Markus Thielen, founder of 10x Research, points out that long-term investors, including those holding significant amounts of Bitcoin (100 to 1,000 BTC), are selling off. He notes that whales aren't buying, which could prolong the decline potentially into next spring. A large sell-off, similar to the 2021-2022 bear market, might be in the cards, with a potential drop to $85,000.

10x Research 创始人 Markus Thielen 指出，长期投资者，包括那些持有大量比特币（100 至 1,000 BTC）的投资者，正在抛售。他指出，鲸鱼没有购买，这可能会将下降趋势延长到明年春天。可能会出现类似于 2021-2022 年熊市的大规模抛售，价格可能跌至 85,000 美元。

Spot ETF Outflows and Market Sentiment

现货 ETF 资金流出与市场情绪

Adding fuel to the fire, Bitcoin and Ethereum Spot ETF products in the U.S. are experiencing significant outflows. Sky-high stock valuations triggered a sell-off in Wall Street which soon spilled over to the digital assets space, dampening overall market sentiment. The CMC Fear and Greed Index is also deep in “fear” territory, reflecting the anxiety among investors.

火上浇油的是，美国的比特币和以太坊现货 ETF 产品正在经历大量资金外流。天价股票估值引发了华尔街的抛售，并很快蔓延到数字资产领域，削弱了整体市场情绪。 CMC恐惧与贪婪指数也深陷“恐惧”区间，反映出投资者的焦虑情绪。

Ethereum's Woes: Below the 200-Day EMA

以太坊的困境：低于 200 天均线

It's not just Bitcoin feeling the pressure. Ethereum has also taken a hit, dropping below its 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) for the first time in almost nine months. This key indicator, which usually acts as a strong support level, has been breached, signaling a weakening bullish trend.

感受到压力的不仅仅是比特币。以太坊也受到打击，近九个月来首次跌破 200 天指数移动平均线 (EMA)。这一通常充当强劲支撑位的关键指标已被突破，表明看涨趋势正在减弱。

A Contrarian View: Tom Lee's Enduring Optimism

逆向观点：汤姆·李持久的乐观主义

Despite the bearish signals, some remain optimistic. Bloomberg Senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas has defended BitMine Chairman Tom Lee's bullish predictions, emphasizing that even if Lee's exact targets are sometimes off, his overall bullish stance has paid off for investors who stayed the course. Tom Lee even forecast that Bitcoin (BTC) could surge to $3 million, noting that the coin is not capped by gold.

尽管出现了看跌信号，但一些人仍然保持乐观。彭博社高级 ETF 分析师埃里克·巴尔丘纳斯 (Eric Balchunas) 为 BitMine 董事长汤姆·李 (Tom Lee) 的看涨预测进行了辩护，他强调，即使李的具体目标有时会偏离，但他的整体看涨立场已经为坚持到底的投资者带来了回报。 Tom Lee 甚至预测比特币 (BTC) 可能会飙升至 300 万美元，并指出该货币不受黄金的限制。

Final Thoughts: Buckle Up, Buttercup!

最后的想法：系好安全带，毛茛！

So, where does this leave us? The crypto market is never boring, is it? Whether this Bitcoin dip is a temporary blip or the beginning of a more significant correction remains to be seen. One thing's for sure: it's time to keep a close eye on the charts, listen to the experts (but always with a grain of salt), and maybe, just maybe, buy the dip... or not! As always, do your own research, and remember, past performance is not indicative of future results. Now, if you'll excuse me, I'm off to check my portfolio... wish me luck!

那么，这会给我们带来什么影响呢？加密市场永远不会无聊，不是吗？比特币的下跌是暂时的现象还是更重大调整的开始还有待观察。有一点是肯定的：是时候密切关注图表，听取专家的意见（但始终持保留态度），也许，只是也许，逢低买入……或者不买！一如既往，进行自己的研究，并记住，过去的表现并不代表未来的结果。现在，请原谅，我要去检查我的投资组合......祝我好运！