分析師警告比特幣價格將大幅調整，比特幣必須守住 58,000 美元

分析師警告稱，如果主要資產未能保持在 56,000 美元的最終支撐位之上，比特幣價格將出現重大調整。

Bitcoin price analysis reveals a crucial support level at $56,000, as stated by on-chain data analysis firm CryptoQuant.

鏈上數據分析公司 CryptoQuant 表示，比特幣價格分析顯示關鍵支撐位為 56,000 美元。

Bitcoin’s Greatest Support Level Is $56K — CryptoQuant

比特幣的最大支撐位為 56,000 美元 — CryptoQuant

Bitcoin has hovered around the $60,000 region for the past few days after dropping to $58,601 on Monday. The highest point BTC reached since the dip was $62,293 before settling around the $61,000 region.

比特幣週一跌至 58,601 美元後，過去幾天一直徘徊在 60,000 美元附近。 BTC 自下跌以來達到的最高點為 62,293 美元，然後穩定在 61,000 美元區域附近。

While this stability has allowed altcoins like Solana to see minor price recoveries, prominent market watchers believe the danger is not over yet.

雖然這種穩定性使得 Solana 等山寨幣的價格小幅回升，但著名的市場觀察家認為危險尚未結束。

According to a recent analysis by CryptoQuant, Bitcoin’s greatest support level is $56,000. This means that any significant bearish volatility can only be defended at this price point. CryptoQuant stressed that failure to defend this threshold could trigger another major price correction.

根據 CryptoQuant 最近的分析，比特幣的最大支撐位是 56,000 美元。這意味著任何重大的看跌波動都只能在這個價位上進行防禦。 CryptoQuant 強調，未能守住這項門檻可能會引發另一次重大價格調整。

The ultimate support level for #Bitcoin is $56K; falling below this could lead to a major correction. pic.twitter.com/ZD9xDN6wAm

#Bitcoin 的最終支撐位為 56,000 美元；跌破該水準可能會導致重大調整。 pic.twitter.com/ZD9xDN6wAm

— CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) June 28, 2024

— CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) 2024 年 6 月 28 日

Bitcoin Could Crash Further To $54K – Analyst

分析師：比特幣可能進一步跌至 5.4 萬美元

In a separate breakdown, analyst Willy Woo attributed Bitcoin’s recent retest of the $58,000 threshold to excessive leveraged positions that needed to be purged and a selling spree by miners.

在另一個細分中，分析師 Willy Woo 將比特幣最近重新測試 58,000 美元的門檻歸因於需要清理的過度槓桿頭寸以及礦工的瘋狂拋售。

According to Woo, speculators have resumed increasing their positions. He noted that the market is not yet prepared for an uptrend without a notable drop in such contracts. As a result, the analyst consented Bitcoin could further crash to $54,000.

吳表示，投機者已恢復增加部位。他指出，如果此類合約沒有顯著下跌，市場尚未準備好迎接上漲趨勢。因此，分析師同意比特幣可能進一步跌至 54,000 美元。

Spec chain analysis: recent price action has been interesting. A retest of the 0.58 floor, a level that was last touched during the miner selling spree and speculator leverage mania.

規格鏈分析：最近的價格走勢很有趣。重新測試 0.58 下限，這是礦商拋售熱潮和投機者槓桿狂熱期間最後觸及的水平。

Speculator leverage has not fully purged yet, and demand is still weak. Floor could easily crack.

投機槓桿尚未完全清除，需求依然疲軟。地板很容易開裂。

Price dropping to 0.54 levels would fully flush out the speculator cohort, setting up a strong floor for demand to return and begin the next wave up. Really depends on the strength of demand at these lower levels, but I’m not surprised if the floor cracks and we get one last drop before the next bull wave begins forming.

價格跌至 0.54 水準將完全淘汰投機者群體，為需求回歸並開始下一波上漲奠定堅實的基礎。確實取決於這些較低水平的需求強度，但如果底部破裂並且我們在下一輪牛市開始形成之前得到最後的下跌，我並不感到驚訝。

This is also supported by on-chain analysis, which shows that Bitcoin’s permanent holders are still accumulating at a rate of 72,000 BTC per month, which is down from 160,000 BTC per month in Q1 2024. However, this accumulation rate is still higher than the 68,000 BTC per month in May.

鏈上分析也支持了這一點，該分析顯示，比特幣的永久持有者仍在以每月72,000 BTC 的速度積累，低於2024 年第一季的每月160,000 BTC。仍高於5 月每月 68,000 BTC。

Demand From Permanent Holders Slowing Down

永久持有人的需求放緩

This demand from permanent holders has been a key driver of Bitcoin’s price rally to record highs in Q1. As a result, CryptoQuant argues that the market needs higher BTC demand from permanent holders to witness an upsurge.

永久持有者的這種需求是比特幣價格在第一季上漲至歷史新高的關鍵驅動力。因此，CryptoQuant 認為，市場需要永久持有者對 BTC 的需求增加，才能見證比特幣的飆升。

Furthermore, the report reveals that U.S. investors’ demand for Bitcoin has recently dropped into negative territory. Historically, growth in U.S. investor demand has coincided with Bitcoin’s uptrend.

此外，報告顯示，美國投資者對比特幣的需求最近已降至負值。從歷史上看，美國投資者需求的成長與比特幣的上漲趨勢一致。

Additionally, stablecoin liquidity is slowing down, with the 60-day growth in the USDT market cap slowing from $12.6 billion in late April to $2.5 billion in June. CryptoQuant notes that this is the slowest pace since the last quarter of 2023. The firm adds that faster liquidity growth from stablecoins is needed for prices to rally.

此外，穩定幣流動性正在放緩，USDT 市值的 60 天增長從 4 月下旬的 126 億美元放緩至 6 月的 25 億美元。 CryptoQuant 指出，這是自 2023 年最後一季以來最慢的成長速度。