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分析師警告說,比特幣面臨潛在的崩潰,警告市場過熱和看跌信號。 BTC會跌倒還是抗拒新高點的機率和激增?
Bitcoin Crash Incoming? Analyst Warnings Fuel Bearish Sentiment
比特幣崩潰接入?分析師警告燃料看跌情緒
Bitcoin's been dancing near $110K, and while some are screaming 'to the moon!', whispers of a potential crash are getting louder. Is this a bull trap or a brief dip before the next surge?
比特幣在$ 110k的售價附近跳舞,雖然有些人尖叫著“月球!”,但潛在崩潰的耳語越來越大。這是下一次激增之前的公牛陷阱還是短暫傾斜?
Analyst Sounds the Alarm: 80% Bitcoin Crash Possible
分析師發出警報:80%的比特幣崩潰可能
Edward Farina, a respected crypto analyst, is raising eyebrows with his prediction of an 80% Bitcoin crash. He believes the market is overheating, fueled by a few whales rather than genuine widespread demand. He points to on-chain data showing early-era wallets moving coins to exchanges whenever the price nears $110,000. Each of these sell waves, he claims, has knocked Bitcoin down several percentage points within days.
受人尊敬的加密分析師愛德華·法琳娜(Edward Farina)通過預測80%的比特幣崩潰,揚起了眉毛。他認為,市場越來越熱,而不是真正的廣泛需求。他指出,每當價格接近110,000美元時,鏈上的數據表明,時代的錢包將硬幣移至交易所。他聲稱,這些銷售波中的每一個都在幾天內將比特幣擊倒了幾個百分點。
Farina isn't alone in his caution. Dr. Cat, another crypto analyst, has also forecasted a potential crash to $98,200, highlighting negative sentiment. Should that level break, a plunge into the $70,000 range becomes a real possibility.
Farina並不孤單。另一位加密分析師Cat博士還預測,潛在的撞車事故可能為98,200美元,強調了負面情緒。如果這種級別的休息時間,跌入70,000美元的範圍將成為一種真正的可能性。
Whale Activity and Weak Foundations
鯨魚活動和弱基
The concern isn't just about potential whale sell-offs. Farina highlights lower spot volume compared to previous all-time highs, suggesting a lack of new buyers. Coinbase order book data echoes this, showing fewer small bids. Without strong demand, a coordinated exit by large holders could send the price plummeting.
關注的不僅僅是潛在的鯨魚拋售。 Farina強調的是,與以前的歷史高點相比,斑點量較低,這表明缺乏新的買家。 Coinbase Order Book Data回應了這一點,顯示了更少的小型出價。沒有強勁的需求,大型持有人的協調退出可能會使價格下降。
Macroeconomic Concerns Add Fuel to the Fire
宏觀經濟問題為火增加了燃料
Farina also points to slowing US growth, arguing that the current Bitcoin rally isn't justified by the broader economic picture. He believes the foundation for today's price action is weak, leaving Bitcoin vulnerable to a sudden shock. A black swan event, like trouble at a major stablecoin issuer, could trigger the fall.
法利納還指出,美國的增長放緩,認為當前的比特幣集會並不是更廣泛的經濟形象為此證明。他認為,當今價格行動的基礎很弱,使比特幣容易受到突然震驚的攻擊。黑天鵝事件,例如在一家大型Stablecoin發行人的麻煩,可能會觸發跌倒。
Not Everyone's Convinced: Bulls Still Hopeful
並非每個人都相信:公牛仍然充滿希望
Despite the bearish warnings, some analysts remain optimistic. CryptoGoos disputes comparisons to past bearish patterns, suggesting the market structure remains strong. Jelle sees Bitcoin as "ripe for liftoff" after breaking out of a bullish pennant, with a potential target of $130,000 if it decisively breaks above $110,000. Merlijn The Trader highlights bullish technical setups on Bitcoin's daily chart, projecting a potential move to $140,000.
儘管有看跌警告,但一些分析師仍然樂觀。 Cryptogoos爭議與過去的看跌模式進行了比較,這表明市場結構仍然很強。傑爾(Jelle)從看漲的彭南特(Bullish Pennant)中脫穎而出後,將比特幣視為“成熟的升降機”,如果果斷地超過$ 110,000,則可能的目標為130,000美元。交易者Merlijn強調了比特幣每日圖表上看漲的技術設置,預計可能搬到140,000美元。
A Rare Bearish Signal Flashes
罕見的看跌信號閃爍
Adding to the uncertainty, analyst Ali Martinez points out that Bitcoin has triggered a Tom Demark (TD) Sequential sell-signal on the quarterly chart, a rare and historically reliable warning that has often preceded major drawdowns for the cryptocurrency. If this signal plays out similarly, Bitcoin could fall as low as $40,000.
分析師阿里·馬丁內斯(Ali Martinez)除了不確定性外,還指出,比特幣在季度圖表上觸發了湯姆·德馬克(TOM DEMARK(TD)順序賣出信號,這是一個罕見且歷史上可靠的警告,在加密貨幣的重大累積之前,它通常是在重大縮減之前。如果此信號類似地播放,則比特幣可能會低至40,000美元。
The Bottom Line: Buckle Up, It Could Be a Wild Ride
最重要的是:扣緊,可能是一個瘋狂的旅程
So, what's the verdict? The crypto crystal ball is definitely cloudy. We've got analysts predicting crashes, others forecasting new highs, and on-chain data painting a mixed picture. Whether Bitcoin's about to take a nosedive or soar to new heights, one thing's for sure: things are about to get interesting. So, grab your popcorn, keep an eye on those charts, and maybe, just maybe, don't bet the farm just yet. After all, in the world of crypto, anything can happen!
那麼,判決是什麼?加密水晶球絕對多雲。我們有分析師可以預測崩潰,其他人預測新高點,並在鏈上數據繪製了混合圖片。無論是比特幣即將將鼻子還是飆升到新的高度,都可以肯定的是:事情將會變得有趣。因此,抓住您的爆米花,請密切注意這些圖表,也許,也許不要敢打賭。畢竟,在加密貨幣世界中,任何事情都可能發生!
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