比特币崩溃接入？分析师警告燃料看跌情绪

分析师警告说，比特币面临潜在的崩溃，警告市场过热和看跌信号。 BTC会跌倒还是抗拒新高点的几率和激增？

Bitcoin Crash Incoming? Analyst Warnings Fuel Bearish Sentiment

比特币崩溃接入？分析师警告燃料看跌情绪

Bitcoin's been dancing near $110K, and while some are screaming 'to the moon!', whispers of a potential crash are getting louder. Is this a bull trap or a brief dip before the next surge?

比特币在$ 110k的售价附近跳舞，虽然有些人尖叫着“月球！”，但潜在崩溃的耳语越来越大。这是下一次激增之前的公牛陷阱还是短暂倾斜？

Analyst Sounds the Alarm: 80% Bitcoin Crash Possible

分析师发出警报：80％的比特币崩溃可能

Edward Farina, a respected crypto analyst, is raising eyebrows with his prediction of an 80% Bitcoin crash. He believes the market is overheating, fueled by a few whales rather than genuine widespread demand. He points to on-chain data showing early-era wallets moving coins to exchanges whenever the price nears $110,000. Each of these sell waves, he claims, has knocked Bitcoin down several percentage points within days.

受人尊敬的加密分析师爱德华·法琳娜（Edward Farina）通过预测80％的比特币崩溃，扬起了眉毛。他认为，市场越来越热，而不是真正的广泛需求。他指出，每当价格接近110,000美元时，链上的数据表明，时代的钱包将硬币移至交易所。他声称，这些销售波中的每一个都在几天内将比特币击倒了几个百分点。

Farina isn't alone in his caution. Dr. Cat, another crypto analyst, has also forecasted a potential crash to $98,200, highlighting negative sentiment. Should that level break, a plunge into the $70,000 range becomes a real possibility.

Farina并不孤单。另一位加密分析师Cat博士还预测，潜在的撞车事故可能为98,200美元，强调了负面情绪。如果这种级别的休息时间，跌入70,000美元的范围将成为一种真正的可能性。

Whale Activity and Weak Foundations

鲸鱼活动和弱基

The concern isn't just about potential whale sell-offs. Farina highlights lower spot volume compared to previous all-time highs, suggesting a lack of new buyers. Coinbase order book data echoes this, showing fewer small bids. Without strong demand, a coordinated exit by large holders could send the price plummeting.

关注的不仅仅是潜在的鲸鱼抛售。 Farina强调的是，与以前的历史高点相比，斑点量较低，这表明缺乏新的买家。 Coinbase Order Book Data回应了这一点，显示了更少的小型出价。没有强劲的需求，大型持有人的协调退出可能会使价格下降。

Macroeconomic Concerns Add Fuel to the Fire

宏观经济问题为火增加了燃料

Farina also points to slowing US growth, arguing that the current Bitcoin rally isn't justified by the broader economic picture. He believes the foundation for today's price action is weak, leaving Bitcoin vulnerable to a sudden shock. A black swan event, like trouble at a major stablecoin issuer, could trigger the fall.

法利纳还指出，美国的增长放缓，认为当前的比特币集会并不是更广泛的经济形象为此证明​​。他认为，当今价格行动的基础很弱，使比特币容易受到突然震惊的攻击。黑天鹅事件，例如在一家大型Stablecoin发行人的麻烦，可能会触发跌倒。

Not Everyone's Convinced: Bulls Still Hopeful

并非每个人都相信：公牛仍然充满希望

Despite the bearish warnings, some analysts remain optimistic. CryptoGoos disputes comparisons to past bearish patterns, suggesting the market structure remains strong. Jelle sees Bitcoin as "ripe for liftoff" after breaking out of a bullish pennant, with a potential target of $130,000 if it decisively breaks above $110,000. Merlijn The Trader highlights bullish technical setups on Bitcoin's daily chart, projecting a potential move to $140,000.

尽管有看跌警告，但一些分析师仍然乐观。 Cryptogoos争议与过去的看跌模式进行了比较，这表明市场结构仍然很强。杰尔（Jelle）从看涨的彭南特（Bullish Pennant）中脱颖而出后，将比特币视为“成熟的升降机”，如果果断地超过$ 110,000，则可能的目标为130,000美元。交易者Merlijn强调了比特币每日图表上看涨的技术设置，预计可能搬到140,000美元。

A Rare Bearish Signal Flashes

罕见的看跌信号闪烁

Adding to the uncertainty, analyst Ali Martinez points out that Bitcoin has triggered a Tom Demark (TD) Sequential sell-signal on the quarterly chart, a rare and historically reliable warning that has often preceded major drawdowns for the cryptocurrency. If this signal plays out similarly, Bitcoin could fall as low as $40,000.

分析师阿里·马丁内斯（Ali Martinez）除了不确定性外，还指出，比特币在季度图表上触发了汤姆·德马克（TOM DEMARK（TD）顺序卖出信号，这是一个罕见且历史上可靠的警告，在加密货币的重大累积之前，它通常是在重大缩减之前。如果此信号类似地播放，则比特币可能会低至40,000美元。

The Bottom Line: Buckle Up, It Could Be a Wild Ride

最重要的是：扣紧，可能是一个疯狂的旅程

So, what's the verdict? The crypto crystal ball is definitely cloudy. We've got analysts predicting crashes, others forecasting new highs, and on-chain data painting a mixed picture. Whether Bitcoin's about to take a nosedive or soar to new heights, one thing's for sure: things are about to get interesting. So, grab your popcorn, keep an eye on those charts, and maybe, just maybe, don't bet the farm just yet. After all, in the world of crypto, anything can happen!

那么，判决是什么？加密水晶球绝对多云。我们有分析师可以预测崩溃，其他人预测新高点，并在链上数据绘制了混合图片。无论是比特币即将将鼻子还是飙升到新的高度，都可以肯定的是：事情将会变得有趣。因此，抓住您的爆米花，请密切注意这些图表，也许，也许不要敢打赌。毕竟，在加密货币世界中，任何事情都可能发生！