距離比特幣牛市可能還有兩個月

加密貨幣分析師 Quinten François 最近強調了一個週期指標，這意味著比特幣牛市即將開始。

Acclaimed crypto analyst Quinten François recently brought attention to a cycle indicator that suggests the Bitcoin bull run is about to begin. The crypto analyst highlighted several fundamentals that paint a bullish picture for BTC heading into this bull run.

著名的加密貨幣分析師 Quinten François 最近引起了人們對週期指標的關注，該指標表明比特幣牛市即將開始。這位加密貨幣分析師強調了幾個基本面，這些基本面為比特幣進入本次牛市描繪了看漲的前景。

Bitcoin Bull Run Might Be Two Months Away

距離比特幣牛市可能還有兩個月

In an X (formerly Twitter) post, Quinten reminded the crypto community that the typical cycle begins 170 days after the Bitcoin halving. He added that it has been 121 days since the halving event, which means the bull run may be two months away and likely begin sometime in October.

在 X（以前的 Twitter）貼文中，Quinten 提醒加密社區，典型的周期在比特幣減半後 170 天開始。他補充說，距離減半事件已經過去了 121 天，這意味著牛市可能還有兩個月的時間，並可能在 10 月的某個時候開始。

In a subsequent X post, the crypto analyst highlighted Bitcoin’s good setup for the bull run that’s about to start. He remarked that the German government is finished selling its BTC holdings while outflows from Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) have drastically diminished. Moreover, Quinten noted that global liquidity is set to blow up again, which means more liquidity will likely flow into Bitcoin soon enough.

在隨後的 X 帖子中，這位加密貨幣分析師強調了比特幣為即將開始的牛市做好了準備。他表示，德國政府已完成出售持有的比特幣，而灰階比特幣信託基金（GBTC）的資金流出已大幅減少。此外，昆頓指出，全球流動性將​​再次激增，這意味著更多的流動性可能很快就會流入比特幣。

FTX creditors are also said to be on the verge of receiving their repayments, and Quinten believes that the majority of this money will flow into Bitcoin. Meanwhile, BTC supply on exchanges is historically low, which signifies that investors are aggressively accumulating the flagship crypto. Most of these investors are believed to be mainly institutions, as the crypto analyst noted that they are stacking more than 450 BTC, which is mined each day.

據說 FTX 債權人也即將收到還款，Quinten 相信這筆錢的大部分將流入比特幣。同時，交易所的 BTC 供應量處於歷史低位，這意味著投資者正在積極累積旗艦加密貨幣。據信，這些投資者中的大多數主要是機構，因為加密貨幣分析師指出，他們每天都有超過 450 枚比特幣被開採。

Having highlighted these bullish fundamentals, Quinten asserted that the boring summer months are nearly over and that the bull run for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies is about to begin. As to how high BTC might reach in this bull run, Quinten shared a chart displaying that the flagship crypto might rise to as high as $250,000 at the peak of this market cycle.

在強調了這些看漲的基本面之後，昆頓斷言，無聊的夏天即將結束，比特幣和其他加密貨幣的牛市即將開始。至於 BTC 在本輪牛市中可能達到多高，Quinten 分享了一張圖表，顯示旗艦加密貨幣在本次市場週期的頂峰可能會升至 25 萬美元。

This price prediction was primarily based on Bitcoin’s price action in earlier cycles from its cycle bottom to cycle prime. Quinten believes the US election might significantly influence BTC’s price as he highlighted how the fourth quarter of the year seems to be good for the flagship crypto.

此價格預測主要基於比特幣在早期週期（從週期底部到週期高峰）的價格走勢。 Quinten 認為美國大選可能會對 BTC 的價格產生重大影響，因為他強調今年第四季似乎對旗艦加密貨幣有利。

What The Bull Run Will Look Like

牛市會是什麼樣子

Crypto analyst Smiley Capital recently offered insights into what the bull run might seem like when it finally begins. He stated that Bitcoin will rally so hard that it “paralyzes the entire market.” He added that there shall be periods of consolidation for Bitcoin after “face-melting rallies,” which will lead to a reset in the open interest (OI). Once that’s done, BTC will once again continue its uptrend.

加密貨幣分析師 Smiley Capital 最近提供了有關牛市最終開始時可能會是什麼樣子的見解。他表示，比特幣將大幅反彈，以至於「整個市場癱瘓」。他補充說，在「徹底的反彈」之後，比特幣將會出現一段時間的盤整，這將導致未平倉合約（OI）的重置。一旦完成，比特幣將再次繼續其上漲趨勢。

Meanwhile, after BTC was finished, Smiley claimed that Ethereum would have an even stronger rally, bringing the entire market up. This will cause altcoins to have “weeks, months of inhumane moves.” However, the analyst warned that there could be short-term corrections to wipe out leverages but suggested that these coins will enjoy even greater rallies from such lows.

同時，在BTC收盤後，Smiley聲稱以太坊將會出現更強勁的反彈，帶動整個市場上漲。這將導致山寨幣出現「數週、數月的不人道舉動」。然而，分析師警告稱，可能會出現短期調整以消除槓桿作用，但他表示，這些代幣將從如此低點開始享受更大的反彈。

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at around $60,600, up over 2% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

根據 CoinMarketCap 的數據，截至撰寫本文時，比特幣交易價格約為 60,600 美元，在過去 24 小時內上漲了 2% 以上。

Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

使用 Dall.E 創建的特色圖片，圖表來自 Tradingview.com