距离比特币牛市可能还有两个月

加密货币分析师 Quinten François 最近强调了一个周期指标，这意味着比特币牛市即将开始。

Acclaimed crypto analyst Quinten François recently brought attention to a cycle indicator that suggests the Bitcoin bull run is about to begin. The crypto analyst highlighted several fundamentals that paint a bullish picture for BTC heading into this bull run.

著名的加密货币分析师 Quinten François 最近引起了人们对周期指标的关注，该指标表明比特币牛市即将开始。这位加密货币分析师强调了几个基本面，这些基本面为比特币进入本次牛市描绘了看涨的前景。

Bitcoin Bull Run Might Be Two Months Away

距离比特币牛市可能还有两个月

In an X (formerly Twitter) post, Quinten reminded the crypto community that the typical cycle begins 170 days after the Bitcoin halving. He added that it has been 121 days since the halving event, which means the bull run may be two months away and likely begin sometime in October.

在 X（以前的 Twitter）帖子中，Quinten 提醒加密社区，典型的周期在比特币减半后 170 天开始。他补充说，距离减半事件已经过去了 121 天，这意味着牛市可能还有两个月的时间，并可能在 10 月份的某个时候开始。

In a subsequent X post, the crypto analyst highlighted Bitcoin’s good setup for the bull run that’s about to start. He remarked that the German government is finished selling its BTC holdings while outflows from Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) have drastically diminished. Moreover, Quinten noted that global liquidity is set to blow up again, which means more liquidity will likely flow into Bitcoin soon enough.

在随后的 X 帖子中，这位加密货币分析师强调了比特币为即将开始的牛市做好了准备。他表示，德国政府已完成出售其持有的比特币，而灰度比特币信托基金（GBTC）的资金流出已大幅减少。此外，昆顿指出，全球流动性将再次激增，这意味着更多的流动性可能很快就会流入比特币。

FTX creditors are also said to be on the verge of receiving their repayments, and Quinten believes that the majority of this money will flow into Bitcoin. Meanwhile, BTC supply on exchanges is historically low, which signifies that investors are aggressively accumulating the flagship crypto. Most of these investors are believed to be mainly institutions, as the crypto analyst noted that they are stacking more than 450 BTC, which is mined each day.

据说 FTX 债权人也即将收到还款，Quinten 相信这笔钱的大部分将流入比特币。与此同时，交易所的 BTC 供应量处于历史低位，这意味着投资者正在积极积累旗舰加密货币。据信，这些投资者中的大多数主要是机构，因为加密货币分析师指出，他们每天都有超过 450 枚比特币被开采。

Having highlighted these bullish fundamentals, Quinten asserted that the boring summer months are nearly over and that the bull run for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies is about to begin. As to how high BTC might reach in this bull run, Quinten shared a chart displaying that the flagship crypto might rise to as high as $250,000 at the peak of this market cycle.

在强调了这些看涨的基本面之后，昆顿断言，无聊的夏季即将结束，比特币和其他加密货币的牛市即将开始。至于 BTC 在本轮牛市中可能达到多高，Quinten 分享了一张图表，显示旗舰加密货币在本次市场周期的顶峰可能会升至 25 万美元。

This price prediction was primarily based on Bitcoin’s price action in earlier cycles from its cycle bottom to cycle prime. Quinten believes the US election might significantly influence BTC’s price as he highlighted how the fourth quarter of the year seems to be good for the flagship crypto.

该价格预测主要基于比特币在早期周期（从周期底部到周期高峰）的价格走势。 Quinten 认为美国大选可能会对 BTC 的价格产生重大影响，因为他强调今年第四季度似乎对旗舰加密货币有利。

What The Bull Run Will Look Like

牛市会是什么样子

Crypto analyst Smiley Capital recently offered insights into what the bull run might seem like when it finally begins. He stated that Bitcoin will rally so hard that it “paralyzes the entire market.” He added that there shall be periods of consolidation for Bitcoin after “face-melting rallies,” which will lead to a reset in the open interest (OI). Once that’s done, BTC will once again continue its uptrend.

加密货币分析师 Smiley Capital 最近提供了有关牛市最终开始时可能会是什么样子的见解。他表示，比特币将大幅反弹，以至于“整个市场瘫痪”。他补充说，在“彻底的反弹”之后，比特币将会出现一段时间的盘整，这将导致未平仓合约（OI）的重置。一旦完成，比特币将再次继续其上涨趋势。

Meanwhile, after BTC was finished, Smiley claimed that Ethereum would have an even stronger rally, bringing the entire market up. This will cause altcoins to have “weeks, months of inhumane moves.” However, the analyst warned that there could be short-term corrections to wipe out leverages but suggested that these coins will enjoy even greater rallies from such lows.

与此同时，在BTC收盘后，Smiley声称以太坊将会出现更强劲的反弹，带动整个市场上涨。这将导致山寨币出现“数周、数月的不人道举动”。然而，分析师警告称，可能会出现短期调整以消除杠杆作用，但他表示，这些代币将从如此低点开始享受更大的反弹。

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at around $60,600, up over 2% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

根据 CoinMarketCap 的数据，截至撰写本文时，比特币交易价格约为 60,600 美元，在过去 24 小时内上涨了 2% 以上。

Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

使用 Dall.E 创建的特色图片，图表来自 Tradingview.com