比特币公牛运行：分析师在2025年底的Eye Peak？

分析师正处于比特币目前牛的潜在末端，预测指向2025年底的高峰。这就是崩溃。

Bitcoin Bull Run: Analysts Eye Peak in Late 2025?

比特币公牛运行：分析师在2025年底的Eye Peak？

Is the Bitcoin bull run nearing its grand finale? Analysts are buzzing about when the music might stop, with late 2025 being a hot topic. Let's dive into what the experts are saying.

比特币公牛奔跑接近结局吗？分析师正在嗡嗡作响，因为音乐何时可能停止，而2025年后期是一个热门话题。让我们深入了解专家在说什么。

Rekt Capital's Perspective: A Historical View

Rekt Capital的观点：历史观点

Rekt Capital, a well-known market analyst, suggests Bitcoin might be in the final stretch of its current bull cycle. Comparing the present market to past halving cycles, Rekt Capital's breakdown estimates a potential market peak between late September and mid-October 2025. This prediction is rooted in historical patterns where Bitcoin tends to peak 518 to 550 days post-halving.

著名的市场分析师Rekt Capital认为比特币可能处于目前的牛周期的最后。将目前的市场与过去减半周期进行比较，Rekt Capital的崩溃估计了2025年9月下旬至2025年10月中旬之间的潜在市场达到顶峰。该预测植根于历史模式，在这些模式中，比特币倾向于在久之后518至550天峰值。

While some are hoping for a longer run into 2026, Rekt Capital cautions against straying too far from established patterns. The analyst highlights the extended reaccumulation period after the April 2024 halving as a key characteristic of this cycle, necessary to offset earlier gains.

虽然有些人希望能长期持续到2026年，但Rekt Capital警告不希望与既定模式相处太远。分析师强调了2024年4月后的延长重新计算期，这是该周期的关键特征，这是抵消早期收益所必需的。

Navigating the Final Phase

导航最后阶段

Even with Bitcoin consolidating near its all-time high, Rekt Capital points out that similar slowdowns or “price discovery corrections” have occurred in past cycles (2017 and 2021). These phases often precede a surge in momentum leading to the bull market's climax.

Rekt Capital即使比特币巩固的固定率接近其历史最高，也指出，过去的周期（2017和2021年）也发生了类似的放缓或“价格发现更正”。这些阶段通常在动量激增之前，导致牛市的高潮。

However, it's crucial to remember that the risk-to-reward ratio shifts as the cycle matures. While further upside is possible, the potential gains diminish compared to the risk of a significant correction. Drawing from history, drawdowns of 60-70% have followed previous bull market peaks. Managing risk and bracing for volatility are now paramount.

但是，要记住，随着周期的成熟，风险与奖励比率发生了变化。尽管有可能进一步的上升空间，但与重大纠正的风险相比，潜在的收益减少了。从历史上讲，跌幅为60-70％，这是先前的牛市峰值。现在，管理风险和支撑以进行波动至关重要。

The $110,000 Battleground

110,000美元的战场

Bitcoin's recent flirtation with $110,000 underscores the market's current tension. After briefly surpassing this level, driven by institutional buying, Bitcoin faced immediate rejection. Order books reveal substantial sell orders at $110,000, a tactic often employed to trap overly enthusiastic bulls. Analyst KillaXBT notes that market reversals often follow periods of excessive bullish sentiment.

比特币最近以110,000美元的价格调情强调了市场当前的紧张局势。在机构购买的驱动下，短暂超过了这个水平，比特币立即面临拒绝。订单书籍显示，卖出的卖出订单为110,000美元，这是一种经常用于捕获过分热情的公牛的策略。分析师Killaxbt指出，市场逆转通常遵循过度看涨情绪的时期。

Adding to the uncertainty, funding rates remain surprisingly flat, indicating a lack of euphoria among speculators. Vetle Lunde observes that perpetual contracts are trading at a discount to spot prices, suggesting a limited appetite for risk.

除了不确定性外，资金率仍然令人惊讶地持平，这表明投机者缺乏欣喜。 Vetle Lunde观察到，永久合同正在以折扣价交易现货价格，这表明风险有限。

Compressed Spring: Volatility on the Horizon

压缩弹簧：地平线波动

Technical indicators suggest mounting tension beneath the surface. The Squeeze Momentum Indicator signals contracting volatility, akin to a compressed spring ready to explode. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers at 60, leaving room for a potential upward push without overheating. However, the Average Directional Index (ADX) sits at 12, indicating a lack of a clear trend.

技术指标表明将张力安装在地面下。挤压动量指示信号信号会收缩波动，类似于准备爆炸的压缩弹簧。相对强度指数（RSI）在60处徘徊，为潜在的向上推动而没有过热。但是，平均方向指数（ADX）为12，表明缺乏明显的趋势。

Pseudonymous analyst Byzantine General speculates that a price breakout combined with rising open interest could lead to a surge towards $112,000. However, conflicting technical indicators and trader hesitation create an atmosphere of caution.

化名分析师拜占庭一般人推测，价格突破与开放兴趣的上升可能会导致112,000美元的增长。但是，冲突的技术指标和交易者犹豫会引起谨慎的氛围。

Final Thoughts

最后的想法

So, will Bitcoin peak in late 2025? Maybe. The analysts have laid out their cases, pointing to historical patterns and current market dynamics. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just dipping your toes into the crypto waters, keeping a close eye on these trends is essential. Remember, nobody can predict the future, but staying informed is always a smart move. Now, go forth and trade wisely… or just HODL and enjoy the ride!

那么，比特币会在2025年末达到顶峰吗？或许。分析师提出了案件，指出了历史模式和当前的市场动态。无论您是经验丰富的投资者，还是只是将脚趾浸入加密货币水域，密切关注这些趋势都是必不可少的。请记住，没有人可以预测未来，但是保持知情始终是一个明智的举动。现在，出去明智地进行交易……或者只是霍德（Hodl）享受旅程！