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投資者將未來的川普政府視為比特幣和加密貨幣更廣泛的積極發展

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) price hit a record high near $77,000 on Thursday, continuing a rally that began after Donald Trump's victory in the presidential election.
比特幣(BTCUSD)價格週四創下近 77,000 美元的歷史新高,延續了唐納德·川普在總統選舉中獲勝後開始的漲勢。
Investors are optimistic about a future Trump Administration for Bitcoin and cryptocurrency in general, particularly in terms of regulation and the possibility of creating a federal strategic bitcoin reserve, two topics the president-elect addressed in a speech at the Bitcoin 2024 conference in July.
總體而言,投資者對未來川普政府對比特幣和加密貨幣持樂觀態度,特別是在監管和建立聯邦戰略比特幣儲備的可能性方面,當選總統在7 月的比特幣2024 會議上發表演講時談到了這兩個主題。
The Trump-fueled momentum comes at an opportune time for the flagship cryptocurrency, which has largely traded sideways for the past seven months as enthusiasm waned after the launch of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in January and the asset's halving event in April. Bitcoin has gained about 80% since the start of the year, with the lion's share of those gains coming in the first quarter.
對於這款旗艦加密貨幣來說,川普推動的勢頭來得正是時候。在過去7 個月裡,該加密貨幣基本上一直在橫盤整理。自今年年初以來,比特幣已上漲約 80%,其中大部分漲幅來自第一季。
Below, we'll analyze the technicals on Bitcoin's weekly chart and identify key post-election price levels that investors may be watching.
下面,我們將分析比特幣週線圖上的技術面,並確定投資者可能關注的關鍵選舉後價格水準。
Cup And Handle Pattern Breakout
杯柄圖案突破
Bitcoin price has formed a cup and handle, a chart pattern that signals a continuation of the cryptocurrency's longer-term uptrend, since its November 2021 peak.
比特幣價格已形成杯柄狀圖表模式,顯示該加密貨幣自 2021 年 11 月高峰以來長期上漲趨勢的延續。
In fact, the price broke out above the formation's upper trendline on Wednesday, potentially marking the start of a near-term move higher.
事實上,價格週三突破了該型態的上部趨勢線,可能標誌著近期走高的開始。
It's also noteworthy that while Coinbase (COIN) Bitcoin trading volumes remain below longer-term averages, they have increased in recent weeks, suggesting that investors may be returning from the sidelines.
還值得注意的是,雖然 Coinbase (COIN) 比特幣交易量仍低於長期平均水平,但最近幾週有所增加,這表明投資者可能正在從觀望中回歸。
Let's project a measured move price target and identify key support levels to watch during retracements.
讓我們預測一個衡量的移動價格目標,並確定回檔期間需要關注的關鍵支撐位。
Measured Move Price Target To Watch
值得關注的衡量移動價格目標
While there is limited overhead price action to work with, we can project a bullish target using a measured move, also known as the measuring principle.
雖然可利用的間接價格行為有限,但我們可以使用衡量的走勢(也稱為衡量原則)來預測看漲目標。
This charting technique calculates the depth of the "cup" portion of the cup and handle pattern and adds that amount to the formation's top trendline. In this case, we add $56,000 to $70,000, which yields a measured move target of $126,000.
這種圖表技術計算杯形和手柄形態的「杯形」部分的深度,並將該深度添加到形態的頂部趨勢線中。在本例中,我們將 56,000 美元加到 70,000 美元,得出測量的移動目標為 126,000 美元。
Key Support Levels To Watch
值得關注的關鍵支撐位
On initial pullbacks, investors should keep their eyes peeled on the technically-important $70K level. A successful hold of this area could flip previous resistance into future support, setting a solid base for a potential move higher.
在最初的回調中,投資者應密切關注具有重要技術意義的 7 萬美元水準。成功守住該區域可能會將先前的阻力位轉變為未來的支撐位,為潛在的走高奠定堅實的基礎。
Lastly, an inability by the bulls to defend this level could see Bitcoin price fall below the 50-week moving average and revisit lower support around $53,000, a region where the cryptocurrency could attract buying interest near the September 2021 peak and September 2024 trough.
最後,如果多頭無法守住這一水平,比特幣價格可能會跌破50 週移動均線,並重新回到53,000 美元左右的較低支撐位,在該區域,加密貨幣可能會在2021 年9 月的峰值和2024 年9 月的低谷附近吸引購買興趣。
The commentary, opinions, and analyses expressed on Investopedia are for informational purposes only. Read our warranty and liability disclaimer for more info.
Investopedia 上表達的評論、意見和分析僅供參考。請閱讀我們的保固和免責聲明以獲取更多資訊。
As of the date this article was written, the author does not own any of the above securities.
截至本文撰寫之日,作者不擁有任何上述證券。
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