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投资者将未来的特朗普政府视为比特币和加密货币更广泛的积极发展

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) price hit a record high near $77,000 on Thursday, continuing a rally that began after Donald Trump's victory in the presidential election.
比特币(BTCUSD)价格周四创下近 77,000 美元的历史新高,延续了唐纳德·特朗普在总统选举中获胜后开始的涨势。
Investors are optimistic about a future Trump Administration for Bitcoin and cryptocurrency in general, particularly in terms of regulation and the possibility of creating a federal strategic bitcoin reserve, two topics the president-elect addressed in a speech at the Bitcoin 2024 conference in July.
总体而言,投资者对未来特朗普政府对比特币和加密货币持乐观态度,特别是在监管和建立联邦战略比特币储备的可能性方面,当选总统在 7 月的比特币 2024 会议上发表演讲时谈到了这两个主题。
The Trump-fueled momentum comes at an opportune time for the flagship cryptocurrency, which has largely traded sideways for the past seven months as enthusiasm waned after the launch of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in January and the asset's halving event in April. Bitcoin has gained about 80% since the start of the year, with the lion's share of those gains coming in the first quarter.
对于这一旗舰加密货币来说,特朗普推动的势头来得正是时候。在 1 月份推出现货比特币交易所交易基金 (ETF) 以及 4 月份该资产减半事件后,人们的热情逐渐减弱,过去 7 个月里,该加密货币基本上一直在横盘整理。 。自今年年初以来,比特币已上涨约 80%,其中大部分涨幅来自第一季度。
Below, we'll analyze the technicals on Bitcoin's weekly chart and identify key post-election price levels that investors may be watching.
下面,我们将分析比特币周线图上的技术面,并确定投资者可能关注的关键选举后价格水平。
Cup And Handle Pattern Breakout
杯柄图案突破
Bitcoin price has formed a cup and handle, a chart pattern that signals a continuation of the cryptocurrency's longer-term uptrend, since its November 2021 peak.
比特币价格已形成杯柄状图表模式,表明该加密货币自 2021 年 11 月峰值以来长期上涨趋势的延续。
In fact, the price broke out above the formation's upper trendline on Wednesday, potentially marking the start of a near-term move higher.
事实上,价格周三突破了该形态的上部趋势线,可能标志着近期走高的开始。
It's also noteworthy that while Coinbase (COIN) Bitcoin trading volumes remain below longer-term averages, they have increased in recent weeks, suggesting that investors may be returning from the sidelines.
还值得注意的是,虽然 Coinbase (COIN) 比特币交易量仍低于长期平均水平,但最近几周有所增加,这表明投资者可能正在从观望中回归。
Let's project a measured move price target and identify key support levels to watch during retracements.
让我们预测一个衡量的移动价格目标,并确定回调期间需要关注的关键支撑位。
Measured Move Price Target To Watch
值得关注的衡量移动价格目标
While there is limited overhead price action to work with, we can project a bullish target using a measured move, also known as the measuring principle.
虽然可利用的间接价格行为有限,但我们可以使用衡量的走势(也称为衡量原则)来预测看涨目标。
This charting technique calculates the depth of the "cup" portion of the cup and handle pattern and adds that amount to the formation's top trendline. In this case, we add $56,000 to $70,000, which yields a measured move target of $126,000.
这种图表技术计算杯形和手柄形态的“杯形”部分的深度,并将该深度添加到形态的顶部趋势线中。在本例中,我们将 56,000 美元添加到 70,000 美元,得出测量的移动目标为 126,000 美元。
Key Support Levels To Watch
值得关注的关键支撑位
On initial pullbacks, investors should keep their eyes peeled on the technically-important $70K level. A successful hold of this area could flip previous resistance into future support, setting a solid base for a potential move higher.
在最初的回调中,投资者应密切关注具有重要技术意义的 7 万美元水平。成功守住该区域可能会将之前的阻力位转变为未来的支撑位,为潜在的走高奠定坚实的基础。
Lastly, an inability by the bulls to defend this level could see Bitcoin price fall below the 50-week moving average and revisit lower support around $53,000, a region where the cryptocurrency could attract buying interest near the September 2021 peak and September 2024 trough.
最后,如果多头无法守住这一水平,比特币价格可能会跌破 50 周移动均线,并重新回到 53,000 美元左右的较低支撑位,在该区域,加密货币可能会在 2021 年 9 月的峰值和 2024 年 9 月的低谷附近吸引购买兴趣。
The commentary, opinions, and analyses expressed on Investopedia are for informational purposes only. Read our warranty and liability disclaimer for more info.
Investopedia 上表达的评论、意见和分析仅供参考。请阅读我们的保修和免责声明以获取更多信息。
As of the date this article was written, the author does not own any of the above securities.
截至本文撰写之日,作者不拥有任何上述证券。
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