比特幣（BTC）和大多數頂級山寨幣集會作為標準普爾500索引鏡1998 V形恢復

比特幣（BTC）和大多數頂級山寨幣本週都取得了巨大的收益，因為全球金融市場表現出複甦的跡象

Bitcoin (BTC) and most of the top altcoins have made significant gains this week as global financial markets show signs of a recovery despite the ongoing fears of the US and China not reaching a trade deal. Most importantly, the S&P500 index (SPX) is repeating a 1998 pattern where a V-shaped recovery ensued after a sharp market decline.

比特幣（BTC）和大多數頂級替代幣本週取得了巨大的收益，儘管全球金融市場表現出恢復的跡象，儘管人們對美國和中國沒有達成貿易協議的持續擔憂。最重要的是，S＆P500指數（SPX）正在重複1998年的模式，在市場下降急劇下降後隨後發生了V形恢復。

As risk assets rebound, here is what traders should expect from BTC, ETH, XRP and SOL price.

隨著風險資產的反彈，這是交易者對BTC，ETH，XRP和SOL價格的期望。

S&P500 Index Mirrors 1998 Cycle

標普500索引鏡1998週期

Analyst Julien Bittel on X noted that the S&P500 index underwent a correction that mirrors what happened in 1998 when financial markets crashed after Russia defaulted on debt. This crash caused the market sentiment to become overly bearish before a rally ensued to form a V-shaped recovery.

X上的分析師朱利安·比特爾（Julien Bittel）指出，標準普爾500指數進行了更正，這反映了1998年在俄羅斯拖欠債務後金融市場墜毀時發生的事情。這次崩潰導致市場情緒變得過於看跌，隨後集會形成V形恢復。

Bittel noted that this pattern appears to be in play again as the stock and crypto markets record price gains. After hitting lows in April following fear around the US-China trade war, the S&P500 has bounced by 12%, the Nasdaq 100 is up 15%, while the BTC price has surged by 26%.

Bittel指出，隨著股票和加密貨幣市場創紀錄的價格上漲，這種模式似乎再次發揮作用。在美國 - 中國貿易戰爭擔心後，四月份達到低點之後，標準普爾500指數彈跳了12％，納斯達克100人數增長了15％，而BTC的價格飆升了26％。

If this pattern plays out like it did nearly three decades ago, it would mean that a parabolic rally for risk assets. However, the US dollar continues to struggle after the recent DXY decline to a four-year low, indicating that tariffs remain a major risk to US economic growth. This may cause investors to adopt a risk-off stance, which will impact Bitcoin and altcoins.

如果這種模式像將近三十年前一樣播放，那將意味著風險資產的拋物線集會。但是，在最近的DXY下降到四年低點之後，美元繼續掙扎，這表明關稅仍然是美國經濟增長的主要風險。這可能會導致投資者採取風險立場，這將影響比特幣和山寨幣。

The risk of the US economy falling into a recession this year also remains high, with data from Polymarket showing that 63% of traders anticipate this event to happen in 2025. At the same time, the lack of any breakthrough in the ongoing China-US trade war suggests that investor confidence remains low, and this may have an effect on the S&P500 and how crypto prices perform in the short term.

美國經濟今年陷入衰退的風險也仍然很高，來自Polymarket的數據表明，有63％的交易者預計這一事件將在2025年發生。與此同時，正在進行的中國貿易戰中缺乏任何突破，這表明投資者的信心表明投資者的信心仍然很低，並且這可能對S＆P500和短期效果產生影響。

Bitcoin Price Technical Analysis as Bulls Eye $115,000

比特幣價格技術分析，因為公牛眼$ 115,000

The Bitcoin daily price chart shows that the bullish momentum is strong after the RSI broke out from a falling wedge pattern, and eyes a 21% surge to $115,000. The RSI further supports the bullish Bitcoin price prediction after soaring to 70, marking its highest level in 2025.

比特幣每日價格圖表明，RSI從掉落的楔形圖案中爆發出來後，看漲的勢頭很強，眼睛飆升至115,000美元。 RSI在飆升至70後進一步支持看漲的比特幣價格預測，標誌著其2025年的最高水平。

As BTC rallies, it first needs to overcome resistance at $99,689. Doing so will confirm the momentum and the breakout from the falling wedge, and if it crosses the psychological level of $100,000, a new all-time high will be in sight.

作為BTC集會，它首先需要克服99,689美元的阻力。這樣做將證實勢頭的勢頭和突破，如果它超過了100,000美元的心理水平，將會有一個新的歷史最高水平。

Ethereum Price Technical Analysis Amid Bearish Headwinds

以太坊價格分析在看跌逆風的情況下

Ethereum’s weekly price chart shows that the largest altcoin remains under bearish pressure despite its bounce from the recent lows below $1,400 after the S&P500 fueled financial market recovery. If it can sustain the upward momentum, it may surge past $2,120 before aiming for the next resistance of $2,800.

以太坊的每週價格表顯示，儘管在標準普爾500指數加油後的金融市場回收率之後，最大的山寨幣仍處於看跌壓力下。如果它可以維持向上的勢頭，它可能會超過2,120美元，然後才能獲得2,800美元的下一個阻力。

However, the RSI and the MACD show a grim outlook. The RSI has plunged to 38, suggesting that ETH is under a bearish momentum, while the MACD is also negative, confirming this bearish thesis. To confirm a bullish Ethereum price prediction, both the RSI and MACD need to cross into bull territory.

但是，RSI和MACD表現出嚴峻的前景。 RSI跌至38，表明ETH處於看跌勢頭的勢頭，而MACD也是負面的，證實了這一看跌論文。為了確認看漲的以太坊價格預測，RSI和MACD都需要跨入牛領土。

XRP Price Technical Analysis as Ripple Eyes $3

XRP價格技術分析作為Ripple Eyes $ 3

The daily XRP price chart also shows an upward trend after breaking out of a symmetrical triangle pattern. This breakout hints towards an 11% rally to resistance at $2.50. If Ripple flips this resistance level, it may form the next bullish break past $2.93 to potentially create new highs, with this formation supporting a bullish XRP price forecast.

每日XRP價格圖還顯示出脫離對稱三角形模式後的上升趨勢。這一突破暗示了11％的抵抗力為2.50美元。如果Ripple將這種阻力水平翻轉，它可能會形成下一個看漲的休息時間，超過2.93美元，可能會創造新的高點，而這種形式支持看漲的XRP價格預測。

Solana Price Technical Analysis

索拉納價格技術分析

Solana price also eyes massive gains alongside the S&P500, with the monthly chart indicating that a parabolic 2,440% rally is looming that may push SOL past $400. This upswing is seen in the rounding bottom pattern, where a breakout to these highs will be confirmed if SOL overcomes resistance at the neckline of $208.

Solana Price還在標準普爾500指數的情況下大量收穫，每月圖表表明，拋物面2,440％的集會正迫在眉睫，可能會將SOL超過400美元。在圓形底部圖案中可以看到這種上升，如果SOL在$ 208的領口中克服了阻力，將確認對這些高點的突破。