比特币（BTC）和大多数顶级山寨币集会作为标准普尔500索引镜1998 V形恢复

比特币（BTC）和大多数顶级山寨币本周都取得了巨大的收益，因为全球金融市场表现出复苏的迹象

Bitcoin (BTC) and most of the top altcoins have made significant gains this week as global financial markets show signs of a recovery despite the ongoing fears of the US and China not reaching a trade deal. Most importantly, the S&P500 index (SPX) is repeating a 1998 pattern where a V-shaped recovery ensued after a sharp market decline.

比特币（BTC）和大多数顶级替代币本周取得了巨大的收益，尽管全球金融市场表现出恢复的迹象，尽管人们对美国和中国没有达成贸易协议的持续担忧。最重要的是，S＆P500指数（SPX）正在重复1998年的模式，在市场下降急剧下降后随后发生了V形恢复。

As risk assets rebound, here is what traders should expect from BTC, ETH, XRP and SOL price.

随着风险资产的反弹，这是交易者对BTC，ETH，XRP和SOL价格的期望。

S&P500 Index Mirrors 1998 Cycle

标普500索引镜1998周期

Analyst Julien Bittel on X noted that the S&P500 index underwent a correction that mirrors what happened in 1998 when financial markets crashed after Russia defaulted on debt. This crash caused the market sentiment to become overly bearish before a rally ensued to form a V-shaped recovery.

X上的分析师朱利安·比特尔（Julien Bittel）指出，标准普尔500指数进行了更正，这反映了1998年在俄罗斯拖欠债务后金融市场坠毁时发生的事情。这次崩溃导致市场情绪变得过于看跌，随后集会形成V形恢复。

Bittel noted that this pattern appears to be in play again as the stock and crypto markets record price gains. After hitting lows in April following fear around the US-China trade war, the S&P500 has bounced by 12%, the Nasdaq 100 is up 15%, while the BTC price has surged by 26%.

Bittel指出，随着股票和加密货币市场创纪录的价格上涨，这种模式似乎再次发挥作用。在美国 - 中国贸易战争担心后，四月份达到低点之后，标准普尔500指数弹跳了12％，纳斯达克100人数增长了15％，而BTC的价格飙升了26％。

If this pattern plays out like it did nearly three decades ago, it would mean that a parabolic rally for risk assets. However, the US dollar continues to struggle after the recent DXY decline to a four-year low, indicating that tariffs remain a major risk to US economic growth. This may cause investors to adopt a risk-off stance, which will impact Bitcoin and altcoins.

如果这种模式像将近三十年前一样播放，那将意味着风险资产的抛物线集会。但是，在最近的DXY下降到四年低点之后，美元继续挣扎，这表明关税仍然是美国经济增长的主要风险。这可能会导致投资者采取风险立场，这将影响比特币和山寨币。

The risk of the US economy falling into a recession this year also remains high, with data from Polymarket showing that 63% of traders anticipate this event to happen in 2025. At the same time, the lack of any breakthrough in the ongoing China-US trade war suggests that investor confidence remains low, and this may have an effect on the S&P500 and how crypto prices perform in the short term.

美国经济今年陷入衰退的风险也仍然很高，来自Polymarket的数据表明，有63％的交易者预计这一事件将在2025年发生。与此同时，正在进行的中国贸易战中缺乏任何突破，这表明投资者的信心表明投资者的信心仍然很低，并且这可能对S＆P500和短期效果产生影响。

Bitcoin Price Technical Analysis as Bulls Eye $115,000

比特币价格技术分析，因为公牛眼$ 115,000

The Bitcoin daily price chart shows that the bullish momentum is strong after the RSI broke out from a falling wedge pattern, and eyes a 21% surge to $115,000. The RSI further supports the bullish Bitcoin price prediction after soaring to 70, marking its highest level in 2025.

比特币每日价格图表明，RSI从掉落的楔形图案中爆发出来后，看涨的势头很强，眼睛飙升至115,000美元。 RSI在飙升至70后进一步支持看涨的比特币价格预测，标志着其2025年的最高水平。

As BTC rallies, it first needs to overcome resistance at $99,689. Doing so will confirm the momentum and the breakout from the falling wedge, and if it crosses the psychological level of $100,000, a new all-time high will be in sight.

作为BTC集会，它首先需要克服99,689美元的阻力。这样做将证实势头的势头和突破，如果它超过了100,000美元的心理水平，将会有一个新的历史最高水平。

Ethereum Price Technical Analysis Amid Bearish Headwinds

以太坊价格分析在看跌逆风的情况下

Ethereum’s weekly price chart shows that the largest altcoin remains under bearish pressure despite its bounce from the recent lows below $1,400 after the S&P500 fueled financial market recovery. If it can sustain the upward momentum, it may surge past $2,120 before aiming for the next resistance of $2,800.

以太坊的每周价格表显示，尽管在标准普尔500指数加油后的金融市场回收率之后，最大的山寨币仍处于看跌压力下。如果它可以维持向上的势头，它可能会超过2,120美元，然后才能获得2,800美元的下一个阻力。

However, the RSI and the MACD show a grim outlook. The RSI has plunged to 38, suggesting that ETH is under a bearish momentum, while the MACD is also negative, confirming this bearish thesis. To confirm a bullish Ethereum price prediction, both the RSI and MACD need to cross into bull territory.

但是，RSI和MACD表现出严峻的前景。 RSI跌至38，表明ETH处于看跌势头的势头，而MACD也是负面的，证实了这一看跌论文。为了确认看涨的以太坊价格预测，RSI和MACD都需要跨入牛领土。

XRP Price Technical Analysis as Ripple Eyes $3

XRP价格技术分析作为Ripple Eyes $ 3

The daily XRP price chart also shows an upward trend after breaking out of a symmetrical triangle pattern. This breakout hints towards an 11% rally to resistance at $2.50. If Ripple flips this resistance level, it may form the next bullish break past $2.93 to potentially create new highs, with this formation supporting a bullish XRP price forecast.

每日XRP价格图还显示出脱离对称三角形模式后的上升趋势。这一突破暗示了11％的抵抗力为2.50美元。如果Ripple将这种阻力水平翻转，它可能会形成下一个看涨的休息时间，超过2.93美元，可能会创造新的高点，而这种形式支持看涨的XRP价格预测。

Solana Price Technical Analysis

索拉纳价格技术分析

Solana price also eyes massive gains alongside the S&P500, with the monthly chart indicating that a parabolic 2,440% rally is looming that may push SOL past $400. This upswing is seen in the rounding bottom pattern, where a breakout to these highs will be confirmed if SOL overcomes resistance at the neckline of $208.

Solana Price还在标准普尔500指数的情况下大量收获，每月图表表明，抛物面2,440％的集会正迫在眉睫，可能会将SOL超过400美元。在圆形底部图案中可以看到这种上升，如果SOL在$ 208的领口中克服了阻力，将确认对这些高点的突破。