比特幣（BTC）長期圖表分析－預計秋季看跌

8 月 9 日，我們對 BTC/USD 長期圖表的分析指出，比特幣的價格正處於十字路口，在兩個通道的範圍內波動：

Our analysis of the long-term BTC/USD chart on 9 August noted that Bitcoin’s price was at a crossroads, moving within the bounds of two channels:

我們對 8 月 9 日 BTC/USD 長期圖表的分析指出，比特幣的價格正處於十字路口，在兩個通道的範圍內波動：

A bullish channel (shown in blue), which began forming in 2023 on the back of Bitcoin ETF approval rumours;

看漲通道（以藍色顯示），在比特幣 ETF 批准傳聞的背景下於 2023 年開始形成；

A bearish channel (shown in red), which started taking shape in March 2024, when the effect of Bitcoin ETF approval (which actually occurred on 11 January) seemed to have reached its peak, helping Bitcoin reach an all-time high.

看跌通道（以紅色顯示）於 2024 年 3 月開始形成，當時比特幣 ETF 批准的效果（實際上發生在 1 月 11 日）似乎已達到頂峰，幫助比特幣達到歷史新高。

Which path has the price taken?

價格採取了哪條路徑？

A glance at the current technical analysis of the BTC/USD chart suggests that the bearish arguments are now more compelling:

瀏覽 BTC/USD 圖表的當前技術分析表明，看跌論點現在更加引人注目：

Since 9 August, attempts to return to the bullish channel have been sporadic and lacked continuity;

自 8 月 9 日以來，重返看漲通道的嘗試一直零星且缺乏連續性；

Conversely, the price shows signs of “magnetism” (shown in a red oval) towards the median line of the descending channel, confirming its relevance;

相反，價格顯示朝向下降通道中線的「磁性」跡象（以紅色橢圓形顯示），證實了其相關性；

The growth attempt on 23 August faced resistance at the psychological level of $65k (shown with an arrow).

8 月 23 日的成長嘗試在 65,000 美元的心理水平（如箭頭所示）遇到阻力。

The decline in BTC/USD in late August was further impacted by Binance’s freezing of accounts linked to Palestinian military groups, undermining Bitcoin’s image as an anonymous and decentralised currency.

8 月下旬，幣安凍結與巴勒斯坦軍事組織有關的帳戶進一步影響了 BTC/USD 的下跌，損害了比特幣作為匿名和去中心化貨幣的形象。

Under these conditions, we can reasonably expect a bearish autumn, with more signs of weakness for buyers on the BTC/USD chart. It is possible that by the end of the year, we might see a new push towards the $50k level.

在這種情況下，我們可以合理預期秋季將出現看跌，比特幣/美元圖表上買家將出現更多疲軟跡象。到今年年底，我們可能會看到新的突破，達到 5 萬美元的水平。

FXOpen offers the world's most popular cryptocurrency CFDs*, including Bitcoin and Ethereum. Floating spreads, 1:2 leverage — at your service. Open your trading account now or learn more about crypto CFD trading with FXOpen.

FXOpen 提供全球最受歡迎的加密貨幣差價合約*，包括比特幣和以太幣。浮動點差、1:2 槓桿 — 為您服務。立即開設您的交易帳戶或透過 FXOpen 了解有關加密貨幣差價合約交易的更多資訊。

*At FXOpen UK and FXOpen AU, Cryptocurrency CFDs are only available for trading by those clients categorised as Professional clients under FCA Rules and Professional clients under ASIC Rules respectively. They are not available for trading by Retail clients.

*在 FXOpen UK 和 FXOpen AU，加密貨幣差價合約僅可供分別根據 FCA 規則歸類為專業客戶和根據 ASIC 規則歸類為專業客戶的客戶進行交易。它們不適用於零售客戶的交易。

This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

本文僅代表以 FXOpen 品牌營運的公司的意見。不得將其視為對以 FXOpen 品牌營運的公司提供的產品和服務的要約、招攬或推薦，也不得將其視為財務建議。