比特幣 (BTC) 可能飆升至 20 萬美元及以上，創下歷史新高 (ATH)

比特幣（BTC）可能正在準備四年市場週期的最後一次爆炸性上漲，傳統上，這一上漲在減半事件開始時開始，並在下一個減半事件之前達到頂峰。

A crypto analyst is predicting that Bitcoin (BTC) could rally to $200,000 and above, setting new all-time highs and marking the peak of the bull market.

一位加密貨幣分析師預測，比特幣 (BTC) 可能會反彈至 20 萬美元及以上，創下歷史新高，標誌著牛市的頂峰。

The analyst, known as ‘Stockmoney Lizards,’ shared his prediction on X (formerly Twitter) on September 19. He noted that Bitcoin’s price tends to follow a cyclical pattern, with each cycle beginning at a halving event and culminating just before the next halving.

這位被稱為「Stockmoney Lizards」的分析師於9 月19 日在X（以前稱為Twitter）上分享了他的預測。半事件開始，並在下一次減半之前達到頂峰。

According to Stockmoney Lizards, the market is currently at the start of the “final pump of the Bitcoin bull cycle.” Based on historical trend patterns following past halving events, the analyst said he has “high expectations” for Bitcoin to reach its cycle top between September and October 2024.

Stockmoney Lizards 表示，市場目前正處於「比特幣牛市週期的最後一站」的開始。該分析師表示，根據過去減半事件後的歷史趨勢模式，他對比特幣在 2024 年 9 月至 10 月期間達到週期頂部抱有「很高的期望」。

Cycle top here typically means the highest price level BTC can achieve during a bull market.

這裡的周期頂部通常意味著 BTC 在牛市期間可以達到的最高價格水準。

Stockmoney Lizards also shared his personal price targets for Bitcoin during this last pump stage. He predicts that the crypto could reach a price between $200,000 and $260,000, identifying these targets as the potential cycle top for this market cycle.

Stockmoney Lizards 也分享了他在最後一個上漲階段對比特幣的個人價格目標。他預測加密貨幣的價格可能會達到 20 萬美元至 26 萬美元之間，並將這些目標確定為該市場週期的潛在週期頂部。

The analyst included a chart that depicts Bitcoin’s historical price movements from 2016 to present, highlighting the bullish and bearish events following each halving. He noted the last three cycle tops during past halving events, showing a trend where the market experiences an extended bull run after the Bitcoin halving, roughly every 48 months.

該分析師提供了一張圖表，描繪了 2016 年至今比特幣的歷史價格走勢，突顯了每次減半後的看漲和看跌事件。他指出了過去減半事件中的最後三個週期頂部，這表明市場在比特幣減半後大約每 48 個月經歷一次長期牛市的趨勢。

According to Stockmoney Lizards, this trend pattern is repeating in the current market cycle, which is leading him to predict that Bitcoin’s price will peak between $200,000 and $260,000.

Stockmoney Lizards 表示，這種趨勢模式在當前的市場週期中正在重複，這使他預測比特幣的價格將在 20 萬美元至 26 萬美元之間達到高峰。

This dramatic increase would represent a price surge of approximately 218% to 313% from Bitcoin’s current price of $63,000, as of writing.

截至撰寫本文時，這一大幅上漲意味著比特幣價格較目前 63,000 美元上漲約 218% 至 313%。

Bitcoin 200-Day SMA to Confirm Bull Market

比特幣 200 天 SMA 確認牛市

While some would argue that the Bitcoin bull market has already begun, others believe that it is yet to arrive, potentially ushering in one of the biggest rallies in Bitcoin’s history.

雖然有些人認為比特幣牛市已經開始，但其他人則認為它尚未到來，可能會迎來比特幣歷史上最大的反彈之一。

According to Ali Martinez, a prominent crypto analyst, the timing for the highly anticipated Bitcoin bull run may soon be confirmed, as Bitcoin is once again testing the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA).

著名加密貨幣分析師阿里馬丁內斯 (Ali Martinez) 表示，備受期待的比特幣牛市時機可能很快就會得到確認，因為比特幣再次測試 200 天簡單移動平均線 (SMA)。

Martinez noted that historically failing to claim this critical support level has led to steep price corrections for Bitcoin. He pointed to similar bearish trends observed in 2014, 2018 and 2020, when Bitcoin failed to reach this support.

馬丁內斯指出，歷史上未能達到這個關鍵支撐位導致比特幣價格大幅調整。他指出了 2014 年、2018 年和 2020 年觀察到的類似看跌趨勢，當時比特幣未能達到這一支撐位。

As a result, the analyst said that investors and market experts should pay close attention to Bitcoin’s current market trends, warning that a rejection at this point would spell trouble for the cryptocurrency.

因此，該分析師表示，投資者和市場專家應密切關注比特幣當前的市場趨勢，並警告稱，此時拒絕比特幣將給加密貨幣帶來麻煩。