比特币 (BTC) 可能飙升至 200,000 美元及以上，创下历史新高 (ATH)

比特币（BTC）可能正在准备四年市场周期的最后一次爆炸性上涨，传统上，这一上涨在减半事件开始时开始，并在下一个减半事件之前达到顶峰。

A crypto analyst is predicting that Bitcoin (BTC) could rally to $200,000 and above, setting new all-time highs and marking the peak of the bull market.

一位加密货币分析师预测，比特币 (BTC) 可能会反弹至 20 万美元及以上，创下历史新高，标志着牛市的顶峰。

The analyst, known as ‘Stockmoney Lizards,’ shared his prediction on X (formerly Twitter) on September 19. He noted that Bitcoin’s price tends to follow a cyclical pattern, with each cycle beginning at a halving event and culminating just before the next halving.

这位被称为“Stockmoney Lizards”的分析师于 9 月 19 日在 X（以前称为 Twitter）上分享了他的预测。他指出，比特币的价格往往遵循周期性模式，每个周期从减半事件开始，并在下一次减半之前达到顶峰。

According to Stockmoney Lizards, the market is currently at the start of the “final pump of the Bitcoin bull cycle.” Based on historical trend patterns following past halving events, the analyst said he has “high expectations” for Bitcoin to reach its cycle top between September and October 2024.

Stockmoney Lizards 表示，市场目前正处于“比特币牛市周期的最后一站”的开始。该分析师表示，根据过去减半事件后的历史趋势模式，他对比特币在 2024 年 9 月至 10 月期间达到周期顶部抱有“很高的期望”。

Cycle top here typically means the highest price level BTC can achieve during a bull market.

这里的周期顶部通常意味着 BTC 在牛市期间可以达到的最高价格水平。

Stockmoney Lizards also shared his personal price targets for Bitcoin during this last pump stage. He predicts that the crypto could reach a price between $200,000 and $260,000, identifying these targets as the potential cycle top for this market cycle.

Stockmoney Lizards 还分享了他在最后一个上涨阶段对比特币的个人价格目标。他预测加密货币的价格可能会达到 200,000 美元至 260,000 美元之间，并将这些目标确定为该市场周期的潜在周期顶部。

The analyst included a chart that depicts Bitcoin’s historical price movements from 2016 to present, highlighting the bullish and bearish events following each halving. He noted the last three cycle tops during past halving events, showing a trend where the market experiences an extended bull run after the Bitcoin halving, roughly every 48 months.

该分析师提供了一张图表，描绘了 2016 年至今比特币的历史价格走势，突出显示了每次减半后的看涨和看跌事件。他指出了过去减半事件中的最后三个周期顶部，这表明市场在比特币减半后大约每 48 个月经历一次长期牛市的趋势。

According to Stockmoney Lizards, this trend pattern is repeating in the current market cycle, which is leading him to predict that Bitcoin’s price will peak between $200,000 and $260,000.

Stockmoney Lizards 表示，这种趋势模式在当前的市场周期中正在重复，这使他预测比特币的价格将在 200,000 美元至 260,000 美元之间达到峰值。

This dramatic increase would represent a price surge of approximately 218% to 313% from Bitcoin’s current price of $63,000, as of writing.

截至撰写本文时，这一大幅上涨意味着比特币价格较目前 63,000 美元上涨约 218% 至 313%。

Bitcoin 200-Day SMA to Confirm Bull Market

比特币 200 天 SMA 确认牛市

While some would argue that the Bitcoin bull market has already begun, others believe that it is yet to arrive, potentially ushering in one of the biggest rallies in Bitcoin’s history.

虽然有些人认为比特币牛市已经开始，但另一些人则认为它尚未到来，可能会迎来比特币历史上最大的反弹之一。

According to Ali Martinez, a prominent crypto analyst, the timing for the highly anticipated Bitcoin bull run may soon be confirmed, as Bitcoin is once again testing the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA).

著名加密货币分析师阿里·马丁内斯 (Ali Martinez) 表示，备受期待的比特币牛市时机可能很快就会得到确认，因为比特币再次测试 200 天简单移动平均线 (SMA)。

Martinez noted that historically failing to claim this critical support level has led to steep price corrections for Bitcoin. He pointed to similar bearish trends observed in 2014, 2018 and 2020, when Bitcoin failed to reach this support.

马丁内斯指出，历史上未能达到这一关键支撑位导致比特币价格大幅调整。他指出了 2014 年、2018 年和 2020 年观察到的类似看跌趋势，当时比特币未能达到这一支撑位。

As a result, the analyst said that investors and market experts should pay close attention to Bitcoin’s current market trends, warning that a rejection at this point would spell trouble for the cryptocurrency.

因此，该分析师表示，投资者和市场专家应密切关注比特币当前的市场趋势，并警告称，此时拒绝比特币将给加密货币带来麻烦。