比特幣（BTC）以240萬美元的價格預測到2030

在ARK Invest大膽預測之後，比特幣再次在財務討論中佔據了中心地位

Cathie Wood’s ARK Invest has once again set the financial world abuzz with a bold price prediction, this time for Bitcoin. As reported by Benzinga, the investment firm, known for its optimistic market outlooks, has updated its forecasts for the cryptocurrency.

Cathie Wood的ARK Invest再次以大膽的價格預測設置了金融界的垃圾，這次是比特幣。正如本辛加（Benzinga）報導的那樣，以其樂觀的市場前景而聞名的投資公司已更新了對加密貨幣的預測。

According to ARK’s latest research, Bitcoin could soar to an astonishing $2.4 million by the year 2030. The prediction is based on three primary assumptions: increasing institutional adoption, Bitcoin’s rising appeal as “digital gold,” and its potential utility in emerging markets.

根據方舟的最新研究，到2030年，比特幣可能會飆升至240萬美元。預測基於三個主要假設：增加機構採用，比特幣作為“數字黃金”的吸引力上升，以及其在新興市場中的潛在效用。

According to the firm’s calculations, asset managers, corporate treasuries, and even government funds are beginning to treat Bitcoin as a strategic allocation, signaling a shift in how traditional finance views the cryptocurrency.

根據該公司的計算，資產經理，公司國庫甚至政府資金都開始將比特幣視為一種戰略分配，這表明傳統財務如何看待加密貨幣。

Moreover, ARK highlights Bitcoin’s capped supply of 21 million coins, in contrast to gold’s market capitalization of around $18 trillion. According to ARK, this evolving perception gives Bitcoin the potential to match or surpass gold’s historical role as a safe haven asset, especially with increased demand from emerging markets.

此外，ARK重點介紹了比特幣的2100萬枚硬幣，與戈爾德市值約為18萬億美元相比。根據方舟的說法，這種不斷發展的看法使比特幣具有匹配或超過黃金作為避風港資產的歷史作用的潛力，尤其是隨著新興市場需求的增加。

At its current price of just under $95,000, Bitcoin has already enjoyed a strong 2025, climbing steadily and currently showing bullish signals. Technical indicators like the Relative Strength Index and Chaikin Money Flow suggest that buyers are dominating the market.

比特幣目前的價格不到95,000美元，已經享有2025年強勁的攀登，目前顯示出看漲的信號。諸如相對強度指數和Chaikin貨幣流量之類的技術指標表明，買家在市場上占主導地位。

Analysts at AMBCrypto add that Bitcoin appears to be consolidating below the $96,000 level, with the possibility of a breakout toward $100,000 or even $103,000 in the near term, as liquidity builds in those zones.

Ambcrypto的分析師補充說，比特幣似乎鞏固了低於96,000美元的水平，隨著這些地區的流動性建設，可能會在短期內突破100,000美元甚至103,000美元。

However, not everyone is convinced that a $2.4 million Bitcoin is feasible within five years. Critics argue that the assumptions behind such a forecast are highly optimistic. For Bitcoin to reach that level, its total market capitalization would need to surpass $49 trillion, eclipsing the combined GDPs of the United States and China.

但是，並不是每個人都堅信240萬美元的比特幣在五年內是可行的。批評家認為，這種預測背後的假設非常樂觀。為了使比特幣達到這一水平，其總市值將需要超過49萬億美元，從而黯然失色的美國和中國GDP。

Such a scenario would require extreme levels of institutional commitment, regulatory clarity, and public adoption—all within a relatively short timeframe.

這種情況將需要在相對較短的時間範圍內極端的機構承諾，監管清晰度和公眾採用。

Commentators across social media platforms have shared mixed views. Some praise the vision and long-term confidence, noting that Bitcoin’s fundamentals continue to improve.

社交媒體平台的評論員分享了不同的觀點。有些人讚揚願景和長期信心，並指出比特幣的基本面繼續改善。

The good news is that, despite the hype, Bitcoin's fundamentals continue to improve:

好消息是，儘管進行了炒作，但比特幣的基本面仍在不斷改善：

* Hashrate is at all-time highs.

* Hashrate一直處於歷史最高點。

* Node count is also at all-time highs.

*節點計數也是歷史最高點。

* We're getting closer to the next halving, which will decrease the rate of issuance.

*我們將越來越接近下一個減半，這將降低發行率。

* Relative to the broader market, it's down a lot less.

*相對於更廣泛的市場，它的下降要少得多。

— Vijay Viswananath (@artofproblems) August 10, 2023

- Vijay Viswananath（@ArtofProblems）2023年8月10日

On the other hand, critics warn that these types of predictions can distort expectations, especially for new investors who may misinterpret speculative forecasts as certainties.

另一方面，批評家警告說，這些類型的預測會扭曲期望，尤其是對於可能誤解投機性預測作為確定性的新投資者而言。

While ARK’s forecast is ambitious, it reflects growing confidence in Bitcoin’s evolution from a speculative asset to a potential cornerstone of the global financial system. Whether or not it reaches $2.4 million by 2030, the conversation it has fueled underscores just how influential Bitcoin has become.

儘管方舟的預測是雄心勃勃的，但它反映了對比特幣從投機資產發展到全球金融體系潛在基石的信心的日益增強。到2030年，它是否達到240萬美元，它的對話都強調了比特幣的影響力。

As the market matures and adoption widens, even conservative projections are beginning to hint at a future where Bitcoin’s role in global finance could be more significant than ever before.

隨著市場的成熟和採用的擴大，即使是保守的預測也開始暗示一個未來，在這個未來，比特幣在全球金融中的作用可能比以往任何時候都更加重要。