比特币（BTC）以240万美元的价格预测到2030

在ARK Invest大胆预测之后，比特币再次在财务讨论中占据了中心地位

Cathie Wood’s ARK Invest has once again set the financial world abuzz with a bold price prediction, this time for Bitcoin. As reported by Benzinga, the investment firm, known for its optimistic market outlooks, has updated its forecasts for the cryptocurrency.

Cathie Wood的ARK Invest再次以大胆的价格预测设置了金融界的垃圾，这次是比特币。正如本辛加（Benzinga）报道的那样，以其乐观的市场前景而闻名的投资公司已更新了对加密货币的预测。

According to ARK’s latest research, Bitcoin could soar to an astonishing $2.4 million by the year 2030. The prediction is based on three primary assumptions: increasing institutional adoption, Bitcoin’s rising appeal as “digital gold,” and its potential utility in emerging markets.

根据方舟的最新研究，到2030年，比特币可能会飙升至240万美元。预测基于三个主要假设：增加机构采用，比特币作为“数字黄金”的吸引力上升，以及其在新兴市场中的潜在效用。

According to the firm’s calculations, asset managers, corporate treasuries, and even government funds are beginning to treat Bitcoin as a strategic allocation, signaling a shift in how traditional finance views the cryptocurrency.

根据该公司的计算，资产经理，公司国库甚至政府资金都开始将比特币视为一种战略分配，这表明传统财务如何看待加密货币。

Moreover, ARK highlights Bitcoin’s capped supply of 21 million coins, in contrast to gold’s market capitalization of around $18 trillion. According to ARK, this evolving perception gives Bitcoin the potential to match or surpass gold’s historical role as a safe haven asset, especially with increased demand from emerging markets.

此外，ARK重点介绍了比特币的2100万枚硬币，与戈尔德市值约为18万亿美元相比。根据方舟的说法，这种不断发展的看法使比特币具有匹配或超过黄金作为避风港资产的历史作用的潜力，尤其是随着新兴市场需求的增加。

At its current price of just under $95,000, Bitcoin has already enjoyed a strong 2025, climbing steadily and currently showing bullish signals. Technical indicators like the Relative Strength Index and Chaikin Money Flow suggest that buyers are dominating the market.

比特币目前的价格不到95,000美元，已经享有2025年强劲的攀登，目前显示出看涨的信号。诸如相对强度指数和Chaikin货币流量之类的技术指标表明，买家在市场上占主导地位。

Analysts at AMBCrypto add that Bitcoin appears to be consolidating below the $96,000 level, with the possibility of a breakout toward $100,000 or even $103,000 in the near term, as liquidity builds in those zones.

Ambcrypto的分析师补充说，比特币似乎巩固了低于96,000美元的水平，随着这些地区的流动性建设，可能会在短期内突破100,000美元甚至103,000美元。

However, not everyone is convinced that a $2.4 million Bitcoin is feasible within five years. Critics argue that the assumptions behind such a forecast are highly optimistic. For Bitcoin to reach that level, its total market capitalization would need to surpass $49 trillion, eclipsing the combined GDPs of the United States and China.

但是，并不是每个人都坚信240万美元的比特币在五年内是可行的。批评家认为，这种预测背后的假设非常乐观。为了使比特币达到这一水平，其总市值将需要超过49万亿美元，从而黯然失色的美国和中国GDP。

Such a scenario would require extreme levels of institutional commitment, regulatory clarity, and public adoption—all within a relatively short timeframe.

这种情况将需要在相对较短的时间范围内极端的机构承诺，监管清晰度和公众采用。

Commentators across social media platforms have shared mixed views. Some praise the vision and long-term confidence, noting that Bitcoin’s fundamentals continue to improve.

社交媒体平台的评论员分享了不同的观点。有些人赞扬愿景和长期信心，并指出比特币的基本面继续改善。

The good news is that, despite the hype, Bitcoin's fundamentals continue to improve:

好消息是，尽管进行了炒作，但比特币的基本面仍在不断改善：

* Hashrate is at all-time highs.

* Hashrate一直处于历史最高点。

* Node count is also at all-time highs.

*节点计数也是历史最高点。

* We're getting closer to the next halving, which will decrease the rate of issuance.

*我们将越来越接近下一个减半，这将降低发行率。

* Relative to the broader market, it's down a lot less.

*相对于更广泛的市场，它的下降要少得多。

— Vijay Viswananath (@artofproblems) August 10, 2023

- Vijay Viswananath（@ArtofProblems）2023年8月10日

On the other hand, critics warn that these types of predictions can distort expectations, especially for new investors who may misinterpret speculative forecasts as certainties.

另一方面，批评家警告说，这些类型的预测会扭曲期望，尤其是对于可能误解投机性预测作为确定性的新投资者而言。

While ARK’s forecast is ambitious, it reflects growing confidence in Bitcoin’s evolution from a speculative asset to a potential cornerstone of the global financial system. Whether or not it reaches $2.4 million by 2030, the conversation it has fueled underscores just how influential Bitcoin has become.

尽管方舟的预测是雄心勃勃的，但它反映了对比特币从投机资产发展到全球金融体系潜在基石的信心的日益增强。到2030年，它是否达到240万美元，它的对话都强调了比特币的影响力。

As the market matures and adoption widens, even conservative projections are beginning to hint at a future where Bitcoin’s role in global finance could be more significant than ever before.

随着市场的成熟和采用的扩大，即使是保守的预测也开始暗示一个未来，在这个未来，比特币在全球金融中的作用可能比以往任何时候都更加重要。