比特幣（BTC）本週開始出現反轉區域，有進一步回檔的風險

比特幣 (BTC) 本週開局下跌，在短暫突破 60,000 美元之後，交投於 58,000 美元區間內。

Bitcoin (BTC) began the week trading within the $58,000 range after briefly surpassing $60,000. Analysts anticipate further correction for Bitcoin, with strong support around $54,000.

比特幣（BTC）在短暫突破 60,000 美元之後，本週開始在 58,000 美元區間內交易。分析師預計比特幣將進一步調整，在 54,000 美元附近有強勁支撐。

Bitcoin encountered a resistance zone after rising above $59,000 last week. This zone, identified by QCP Capital, could influence price movement and potentially lead to a drop below $58,000. However, analysts remain optimistic, expecting Bitcoin to find support around the $54,000 level.

比特幣在上周升至 59,000 美元上方後遇到阻力區。 QCP Capital 確定的這個區域可能會影響價格走勢，並可能導致價格跌破 58,000 美元。然而，分析師仍然樂觀，預計比特幣將在 54,000 美元左右找到支撐。

“After a drop below $58,000, BTC is likely to find strong support around the $54,000 level. This coincides with the 200-day moving average (MA), which has acted as a floor during previous downtrends,” QCP Capital stated.

「在跌破 58,000 美元之後，BTC 可能會在 54,000 美元附近找到強勁支撐。這與 200 日移動平均線 (MA) 重合，該移動平均線在先前的下跌趨勢中充當了底部，」QCP Capital 表示。

Bitcoin Faces Historical Challenges in September

比特幣在九月面臨歷史性挑戰

A further analysis by QCP highlights Bitcoin’s historical trend of a -4.5% return in September, suggesting a potential retracement to around $55,000. This aligns with historical performance data, which shows that the coin has consistently underperformed during September, with an average return of -4.78% since 2013.

QCP 的進一步分析強調了比特幣 9 月回報率 -4.5% 的歷史趨勢，顯示比特幣可能回撤至 55,000 美元左右。這與歷史表現數據一致，歷史表現數據顯示該代幣在 9 月表現不佳，自 2013 年以來平均回報率為 -4.78%。

Moreover, the third quarter (Q3) has generally been challenging for Bitcoin and the broader crypto market. This has led to caution among investors, as evident in the poor performance of Bitcoin ETFs, such as BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT).

此外，第三季（Q3）對於比特幣和更廣泛的加密市場來說總體上充滿挑戰。這導致投資者保持謹慎態度，貝萊德 iShares 比特幣信託 (IBIT) 等比特幣 ETF 表現不佳就證明了這一點。

According to a recent CryptoQuant report, there has been less stablecoin inflow into exchanges, indicating that investors believe the downtrend may continue.

根據 CryptoQuant 最近的一份報告，流入交易所的穩定幣減少，顯示投資者認為下降趨勢可能會持續。

“Investors are pulling their funds out of crypto exchanges at a faster rate than they are depositing, suggesting that they remain pessimistic about the immediate market trend,” the report states.

報告指出：“投資者從加密貨幣交易所撤資的速度快於存入資金的速度，這表明他們對當前的市場趨勢仍然感到悲觀。”

However, Daan Crypto Trades, a popular trader, points to the potential for a short-term pullback due to a new CME Gap near $59,000 and last week’s gap.

然而，受歡迎的交易商 Daan Crypto Trades 指出，由於 CME 缺口接近 59,000 美元以及上週的缺口，短期內可能會出現回調。

“A new CME Gap was made this weekend sitting at ~$59,000. Last week’s gap is also still partially open but the price did close most of it during that move to $61,000,” the trader wrote.

「本週末，CME 出現了新的缺口，約為 59,000 美元。上週的缺口也仍部分打開，但價格在上漲至 61,000 美元期間確實收窄了大部分缺口，」該交易員寫道。

A CME gap occurs when Bitcoin’s price on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) differs between the market’s close and its reopening after a weekend or holiday. These gaps are often filled as the price tends to return to the gap’s level.

當芝加哥商業交易所 (CME) 的比特幣價格在市場收盤價與週末或假日後重新開盤之間出現差異時，就會出現 CME 價差。當價格趨向於回到缺口水準時，這些缺口通常會被填補。

Amidst the current market volatility, Bitcoin whales are also making adjustments to their portfolios. For instance, one whale withdrew 1,100 BTC from Binance, while another whale bought 1,000 BTC, increasing their holdings.

在當前市場波動的情況下，比特幣鯨魚也在調整其投資組合。例如，一隻鯨魚從幣安提取了 1,100 BTC，而另一隻鯨魚則購買了 1,000 BTC，增加了其持有量。

Avinash Shekhar, Co-founder of Pi42, anticipates further fluctuations, especially with upcoming US economic events. He adds that a strong September employment report could lead to further market volatility.

Pi42 聯合創始人 Avinash Shekhar 預計會出現進一步波動，尤其是隨著即將到來的美國經濟事件。他補充說，強勁的 9 月就業報告可能會導致市場進一步波動。

“A strong September US employment report could temper expectations for easier monetary policy, potentially leading to further market volatility. However, there’s also a 50% chance of an upward trend,” Shekhar told BeInCrypto.

「強勁的 9 月美國就業報告可能會削弱對寬鬆貨幣政策的預期，從而可能導致市場進一步波動。然而，也有 50% 的可能性出現上升趨勢。

As of now, Bitcoin is trading at $58,391, down 0.31% in the last 24 hours.

截至目前，比特幣交易價格為 58,391 美元，過去 24 小時下跌 0.31%。