比特币（BTC）本周伊始就出现反转区域，有进一步回调的风险

比特币 (BTC) 本周开局下跌，在短暂突破 60,000 美元之后，交投于 58,000 美元区间内。

Bitcoin (BTC) began the week trading within the $58,000 range after briefly surpassing $60,000. Analysts anticipate further correction for Bitcoin, with strong support around $54,000.

比特币（BTC）在短暂突破 60,000 美元之后，本周开始在 58,000 美元区间内交易。分析师预计比特币将进一步调整，在 54,000 美元附近有强劲支撑。

Bitcoin encountered a resistance zone after rising above $59,000 last week. This zone, identified by QCP Capital, could influence price movement and potentially lead to a drop below $58,000. However, analysts remain optimistic, expecting Bitcoin to find support around the $54,000 level.

比特币在上周升至 59,000 美元上方后遇到阻力区。 QCP Capital 确定的这个区域可能会影响价格走势，并可能导致价格跌破 58,000 美元。然而，分析师仍然乐观，预计比特币将在 54,000 美元左右找到支撑。

“After a drop below $58,000, BTC is likely to find strong support around the $54,000 level. This coincides with the 200-day moving average (MA), which has acted as a floor during previous downtrends,” QCP Capital stated.

“在跌破 58,000 美元之后，BTC 可能会在 54,000 美元附近找到强劲支撑。这与 200 日移动平均线 (MA) 重合，该移动平均线在之前的下跌趋势中充当了底部，”QCP Capital 表示。

Bitcoin Faces Historical Challenges in September

比特币在九月份面临历史性挑战

A further analysis by QCP highlights Bitcoin’s historical trend of a -4.5% return in September, suggesting a potential retracement to around $55,000. This aligns with historical performance data, which shows that the coin has consistently underperformed during September, with an average return of -4.78% since 2013.

QCP 的进一步分析强调了比特币 9 月份回报率 -4.5% 的历史趋势，表明比特币可能回撤至 55,000 美元左右。这与历史表现数据一致，历史表现数据显示该代币在 9 月份一直表现不佳，自 2013 年以来平均回报率为 -4.78%。

Moreover, the third quarter (Q3) has generally been challenging for Bitcoin and the broader crypto market. This has led to caution among investors, as evident in the poor performance of Bitcoin ETFs, such as BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT).

此外，第三季度（Q3）对于比特币和更广泛的加密市场来说总体上充满挑战。这导致投资者保持谨慎态度，贝莱德 iShares 比特币信托 (IBIT) 等比特币 ETF 表现不佳就证明了这一点。

According to a recent CryptoQuant report, there has been less stablecoin inflow into exchanges, indicating that investors believe the downtrend may continue.

根据 CryptoQuant 最近的一份报告，流入交易所的稳定币减少，表明投资者认为下降趋势可能会持续。

“Investors are pulling their funds out of crypto exchanges at a faster rate than they are depositing, suggesting that they remain pessimistic about the immediate market trend,” the report states.

报告指出：“投资者从加密货币交易所撤资的速度快于存入资金的速度，这表明他们对当前的市场趋势仍然感到悲观。”

However, Daan Crypto Trades, a popular trader, points to the potential for a short-term pullback due to a new CME Gap near $59,000 and last week’s gap.

然而，受欢迎的交易商 Daan Crypto Trades 指出，由于 CME 缺口接近 59,000 美元以及上周的缺口，短期内可能出现回调。

“A new CME Gap was made this weekend sitting at ~$59,000. Last week’s gap is also still partially open but the price did close most of it during that move to $61,000,” the trader wrote.

“本周末，CME 出现了新的缺口，约为 59,000 美元。上周的缺口也仍部分打开，但价格在上涨至 61,000 美元期间确实收窄了大部分缺口，”该交易员写道。

A CME gap occurs when Bitcoin’s price on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) differs between the market’s close and its reopening after a weekend or holiday. These gaps are often filled as the price tends to return to the gap’s level.

当芝加哥​​商业交易所 (CME) 的比特币价格在市场收盘价与周末或节假日后重新开盘之间出现差异时，就会出现 CME 价差。当价格趋向于回到缺口水平时，这些缺口通常会被填补。

Amidst the current market volatility, Bitcoin whales are also making adjustments to their portfolios. For instance, one whale withdrew 1,100 BTC from Binance, while another whale bought 1,000 BTC, increasing their holdings.

在当前市场波动的情况下，比特币鲸鱼也在调整其投资组合。例如，一只鲸鱼从币安提取了 1,100 BTC，而另一只鲸鱼购买了 1,000 BTC，增加了其持有量。

Avinash Shekhar, Co-founder of Pi42, anticipates further fluctuations, especially with upcoming US economic events. He adds that a strong September employment report could lead to further market volatility.

Pi42 联合创始人阿维纳什·谢卡尔 (Avinash Shekhar) 预计会出现进一步波动，尤其是随着即将到来的美国经济事件。他补充说，强劲的 9 月份就业报告可能会导致市场进一步波动。

“A strong September US employment report could temper expectations for easier monetary policy, potentially leading to further market volatility. However, there’s also a 50% chance of an upward trend,” Shekhar told BeInCrypto.

“强劲的 9 月份美国就业报告可能会削弱对宽松货币政策的预期，从而可能导致市场进一步波动。然而，也有 50% 的可能性出现上升趋势。”Shekhar 告诉 BeInCrypto。

As of now, Bitcoin is trading at $58,391, down 0.31% in the last 24 hours.

截至目前，比特币交易价格为 58,391 美元，过去 24 小时下跌 0.31%。